
Volume
$819K
Txns
7,184
Traders
900
Fees
$82
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 78%$5.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x6de9...67a8e5 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | 0x4c68...106162 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,018.71 | $1.02K | |
| 1mo | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +1,018.71 | $1.02K | |
| 1mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | nikitaxce | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1mo | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1mo | policestici | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | readyplayer6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +3,505.86 | $3.5K | |
| 1mo | akunai | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | lordedward | No / 99.7¢ | +818.70 | $816 | |
| 1mo | Gr33d | No / 99.7¢ | -718.80 | $717 | |
| 1mo | kiddddddd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -6.25 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | seisui | Yes / 0.9¢ | -3.75 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | FischerCore | No / 99.1¢ | -10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -300.00 | $3.6 | |
| 1mo | BetterFish | No / 99.0¢ | +231.12 | $229 | |
| 1mo | wwyy | No / 96.4¢ | +15.15 | $14.6 | |
| 1mo | testoo7 | Yes / 1.1¢ | -89.00 | $0.98 | |
| 1mo | cy6erpunker | No / 97.0¢ | +100.00 | $97 | |
| 1mo | Gr33d | No / 98.5¢ | +359.40 | $354 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 1.9¢ | -8.98 | $0.17 |
1–25