GrupoM4 -$1.19K PnL · Polymarket

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Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? YesPolitics 36.69 shares	84.2¢ / 25.0¢	-$61.6 (-73.4%)	$82.7 · 1	$13.2 · 7	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 282.70 shares	26.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$57.7 (-77.0%)	$75 · 1	$0.29 · 1	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:00 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? WonNoCrypto	79.8¢ / 100.0¢	$59.3 (25.3%)	$230 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 18, 2026 9:28 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonNoPolitics	57.9¢ / 100.0¢	$58.8 (47.0%)	$125 · 1	$184 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 7:01 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? WonYesPolitics	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$44.9 (40.8%)	$110 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 9, 2026 1:28 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? WonYesPolitics	67.3¢ / 100.0¢	$41.4 (43.6%)	$95 · 1	$136 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2026 1:51 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait… WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$33.7 (35.1%)	$96 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2026 12:25 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? WonNoPolitics	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$31 (16.6%)	$186 · 2	$217 · 1	$0	May 19, 2026 9:50 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? WonYesPolitics	78.4¢ / 100.0¢	$27.5 (27.5%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februar… WonYesFinance	93.1¢ / 100.0¢	$25.7 (7.5%)	$345 · 5	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 2:58 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	62.3¢ / 100.0¢	$21.2 (46.2%)	$44.3 · 1	$67.2 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 9:21 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.1 (16.0%)	$125 · 1	$145 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 7:41 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27? WonNoCrypto	71.5¢ / 100.0¢	$19.9 (39.8%)	$48.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 28, 2026 5:02 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	69.0¢ / 0.0¢	$17.4 (17.4%)	$100 · 1	$117 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech? WonNoMentions	24.6¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (306.7%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 28, 2026 2:48 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.9 (31.0%)	$44.8 · 1	$58.7 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:27 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? WonYesCrypto	85.7¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (16.6%)	$75 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 6:56 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25? WonNoCrypto	91.3¢ / 100.0¢	$12.5 (9.5%)	$130 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 26, 2026 5:55 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? WonNoPolitics	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (9.9%)	$125 · 1	$137 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 6:54 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? WonNoFinance	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (64.5%)	$18.2 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 4:19 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? WonYesPolitics	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (27.8%)	$40 · 1	$51.1 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26? WonNoCrypto	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (12.5%)	$84.7 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 5:42 AM
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February? WonNoFinance	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.71 (17.6%)	$55 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 28, 2026 5:16 PM
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? WonUpFinance	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.57 (63.8%)	$15 · 1	$24.6 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 11:49 PM
Seahawks vs. Patriots WonSeahawksSports	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$8.62 (23.3%)	$37 · 2	$0	$0	Feb 10, 2026 9:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET WonUpCrypto	12.9¢ / 0.0¢	$7.97 (118.2%)	$6 · 6	$14.7 · 3	$0	Jul 11, 2026 8:26 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	27.5¢ / 0.0¢	$7.83 (99.9%)	$7 · 2	$15.7 · 2	$0	Jul 11, 2026 6:18 PM

					Merge
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? YesPolitics 36.69 shares	84.2¢ / 25.0¢	-$61.6 (-73.4%)	$82.7 · 1	$13.2 · 7	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 282.70 shares	26.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$57.7 (-77.0%)	$75 · 1	$0.29 · 1	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:00 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? WonNoCrypto	79.8¢ / 100.0¢	$59.3 (25.3%)	$230 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 18, 2026 9:28 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonNoPolitics	57.9¢ / 100.0¢	$58.8 (47.0%)	$125 · 1	$184 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 7:01 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? WonYesPolitics	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$44.9 (40.8%)	$110 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 9, 2026 1:28 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? WonYesPolitics	67.3¢ / 100.0¢	$41.4 (43.6%)	$95 · 1	$136 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2026 1:51 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait… WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$33.7 (35.1%)	$96 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2026 12:25 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? WonNoPolitics	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$31 (16.6%)	$186 · 2	$217 · 1	$0	May 19, 2026 9:50 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? WonYesPolitics	78.4¢ / 100.0¢	$27.5 (27.5%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februar… WonYesFinance	93.1¢ / 100.0¢	$25.7 (7.5%)	$345 · 5	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 2:58 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	62.3¢ / 100.0¢	$21.2 (46.2%)	$44.3 · 1	$67.2 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 9:21 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.1 (16.0%)	$125 · 1	$145 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 7:41 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27? WonNoCrypto	71.5¢ / 100.0¢	$19.9 (39.8%)	$48.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 28, 2026 5:02 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	69.0¢ / 0.0¢	$17.4 (17.4%)	$100 · 1	$117 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech? WonNoMentions	24.6¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (306.7%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 28, 2026 2:48 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.9 (31.0%)	$44.8 · 1	$58.7 · 1	$0	May 12, 2026 3:27 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? WonYesCrypto	85.7¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (16.6%)	$75 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2026 6:56 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25? WonNoCrypto	91.3¢ / 100.0¢	$12.5 (9.5%)	$130 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 26, 2026 5:55 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? WonNoPolitics	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (9.9%)	$125 · 1	$137 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 6:54 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? WonNoFinance	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (64.5%)	$18.2 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 4:19 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? WonYesPolitics	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (27.8%)	$40 · 1	$51.1 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26? WonNoCrypto	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (12.5%)	$84.7 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 5:42 AM
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February? WonNoFinance	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.71 (17.6%)	$55 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 28, 2026 5:16 PM
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? WonUpFinance	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.57 (63.8%)	$15 · 1	$24.6 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 11:49 PM
Seahawks vs. Patriots WonSeahawksSports	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$8.62 (23.3%)	$37 · 2	$0	$0	Feb 10, 2026 9:31 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET WonUpCrypto	12.9¢ / 0.0¢	$7.97 (118.2%)	$6 · 6	$14.7 · 3	$0	Jul 11, 2026 8:26 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	27.5¢ / 0.0¢	$7.83 (99.9%)	$7 · 2	$15.7 · 2	$0	Jul 11, 2026 6:18 PM

GrupoM4 -$1.19K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$5.79

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.79

Open-$928

High-$805

Low-$951

Close-$922

Open positions14

USD balance$0

2-$64.1

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$64.1

Open-$922

High-$918

Low-$994

Close-$986

Open positions13

USD balance$15.3

3-$5.87

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.87

Open-$986

High-$981

Low-$995

Close-$992

Open positions13

USD balance$15.3

4-$11.2

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.2

Open-$992

High-$989

Low-$1.01K

Close-$1K

Open positions11

USD balance$15.3

5-$9.83

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.83

Open-$1K

High-$1K

Low-$1.02K

Close-$1.01K

Open positions11

USD balance$15.3

6-$23

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$23

Open-$1.01K

High-$1.01K

Low-$1.04K

Close-$1.04K

Open positions11

USD balance$15.3

7-$21.8

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$21.8

Open-$1.04K

High-$1.03K

Low-$1.06K

Close-$1.06K

Open positions9

USD balance$15.3

8-$16.6

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16.6

Open-$1.06K

High-$1.05K

Low-$1.08K

Close-$1.07K

Open positions9

USD balance$15.3

9-$8.71

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.71

Open-$1.07K

High-$1.07K

Low-$1.09K

Close-$1.08K

Open positions8

USD balance$11.8

10$2.04

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.04

Open-$1.08K

High-$1.08K

Low-$1.09K

Close-$1.08K

Open positions8

USD balance$11.8

11-$36.5

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$36.5

Open-$1.08K

High-$1.07K

Low-$1.13K

Close-$1.12K

Open positions6

USD balance$16.2

12-$32.5

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$32.5

Open-$1.12K

High-$1.12K

Low-$1.15K

Close-$1.15K

Open positions3

USD balance$0.01

13-$11.9

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.9

Open-$1.15K

High-$1.15K

Low-$1.16K

Close-$1.16K

Open positions3

USD balance$0.01

14$3.76

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.76

Open-$1.16K

High-$1.15K

Low-$1.16K

Close-$1.16K

Open positions3

USD balance$0.01

15-$5.81

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.81

Open-$1.16K

High-$1.15K

Low-$1.16K

Close-$1.16K

Open positions3

USD balance$0.01

16-$2.67

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.67

Open-$1.16K

High-$1.16K

Low-$1.17K

Close-$1.17K

Open positions3

USD balance$0.01

17$4.31

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.31

Open-$1.17K

High-$1.16K

Low-$1.17K

Close-$1.16K

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$1.08

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.08

Open-$1.16K

High-$1.16K

Low-$1.17K

Close-$1.16K

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$13.2

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$13.2

Open-$1.16K

High-$1.16K

Low-$1.17K

Close-$1.17K

Open positions2

USD balance$14.1

20-$8.82

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.82

Open-$1.17K

High-$1.17K

Low-$1.2K

Close-$1.18K

Open positions2

USD balance$7.36

21-$2.83

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.83

Open-$1.18K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.19K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$2.14

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.14

Open-$1.19K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.18K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$1.06

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.06

Open-$1.18K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.18K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$5.65

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.65

Open-$1.18K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.19K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0.37

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.37

Open-$1.19K

High-$1.19K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.19K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$5.65

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.65

Open-$1.19K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.18K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$7.08

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.08

Open-$1.18K

High-$1.18K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.19K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$1.06

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.06

Open-$1.19K

High-$1.19K

Low-$1.19K

Close-$1.19K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.377D -$5.2930D -$290

Markets

303

Won

198

Lost

Win Rate

77.3%

Profit Factor

1.21x

Avg Win

$4.5

Avg Loss

-$12.7

Total Wins

$891

Total Losses

-$737

Avg. Hold Time

10d 15h 45m 57s

Best Win

$59.3

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?

Worst Loss

-$293

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Period

Best Period

$158, Mar 12 – Mar 18

Worst Period

-$353, Jan 30 – Feb 5

Longest Streak

6d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$1.2K (-9130.1%)

Current DD

-$1.2K (-9122.0%)

Max Runup

$319 (40.9%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

GrupoM4

Analytics

Analytics

GrupoM4

GrupoM4

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

GrupoM4

Trader DNA

Trader DNA