Sakya Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? NoPolitics 55.93 shares	80.5¢ / 96.7¢	$9.08 (20.2%)	$45 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 9:45 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? WonYesEconomics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (22.5%)	$61.1 · 8	$74.8 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:23 AM
Will Trump attend UFC 319? WonNoSports	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.5 (26.5%)	$51 · 2	$64.5 · 1	$0	Aug 17, 2025 7:49 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonNoCulture	53.1¢ / 0.0¢	$13 (65.0%)	$20 · 1	$33 · 1	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 18? WonYesCrypto	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (107.2%)	$10 · 1	$20.7 · 1	$0	Sep 18, 2025 6:30 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.88 (47.1%)	$21 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 1, 2025 11:11 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.62 (14.9%)	$51 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 11, 2025 4:55 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.23 (7.2%)	$100 · 1	$107 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:17 AM
Harvard international students ban ended by August 31? WonNoPolitics	76.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (30.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 2, 2025 3:29 AM
Will France win on 2026-07-09? WonYesSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (59.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 10:37 PM
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.83 (6.4%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 19, 2025 8:01 AM
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? WonYesSports	73.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.62 (35.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 5:18 AM
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance WonFranceSports	78.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.58 (27.4%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 10:30 PM
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonNoCulture	35.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.58 (178.8%)	$2 · 1	$5.57 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:39 AM
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? WonNoPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (33.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 22, 2025 12:08 PM
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31? WonNoCulture	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.16 (31.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 1, 2025 7:34 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? WonYesTech	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (2.7%)	$60 · 1	$12.7 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 3:25 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.11 (2.2%)	$50 · 1	$51.1 · 1	$0	Sep 17, 2025 9:27 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	46.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.65 (12.9%)	$5 · 1	$5.65 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:18 PM
US forces enter Iran by March 14? WonNoPolitics	89.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (11.2%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 15, 2026 2:39 PM
Will Trump sue the BBC? WonNoPolitics	62.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.24 (1.6%)	$15 · 2	$15.2 · 2	$0	Dec 16, 2025 2:37 AM
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 mee… WonNoEconomics	72.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.21 (2.1%)	$10 · 2	$10.2 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:54 AM
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	81.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (1.1%)	$10 · 1	$10.3 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:30 AM
Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1? WonYesCrypto	97.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (2.4%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 2, 2025 2:20 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	29.0¢ / 29.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$6 · 1	$6 · 1	$0	Dec 16, 2025 11:00 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? LostYesCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.18 (-18.3%)	$1 · 1	$0.82 · 1	$0	Nov 21, 2025 9:47 AM

					Merge
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? NoPolitics 55.93 shares	80.5¢ / 96.7¢	$9.08 (20.2%)	$45 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 9:45 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? WonYesEconomics	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (22.5%)	$61.1 · 8	$74.8 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:23 AM
Will Trump attend UFC 319? WonNoSports	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.5 (26.5%)	$51 · 2	$64.5 · 1	$0	Aug 17, 2025 7:49 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonNoCulture	53.1¢ / 0.0¢	$13 (65.0%)	$20 · 1	$33 · 1	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 18? WonYesCrypto	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (107.2%)	$10 · 1	$20.7 · 1	$0	Sep 18, 2025 6:30 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.88 (47.1%)	$21 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 1, 2025 11:11 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.62 (14.9%)	$51 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 11, 2025 4:55 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.23 (7.2%)	$100 · 1	$107 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:17 AM
Harvard international students ban ended by August 31? WonNoPolitics	76.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (30.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 2, 2025 3:29 AM
Will France win on 2026-07-09? WonYesSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (59.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 10:37 PM
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.83 (6.4%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 19, 2025 8:01 AM
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? WonYesSports	73.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.62 (35.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 5:18 AM
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance WonFranceSports	78.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.58 (27.4%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 9, 2026 10:30 PM
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonNoCulture	35.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.58 (178.8%)	$2 · 1	$5.57 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:39 AM
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? WonNoPolitics	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.33 (33.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 22, 2025 12:08 PM
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31? WonNoCulture	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.16 (31.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 1, 2025 7:34 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? WonYesTech	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (2.7%)	$60 · 1	$12.7 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 3:25 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.11 (2.2%)	$50 · 1	$51.1 · 1	$0	Sep 17, 2025 9:27 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	46.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.65 (12.9%)	$5 · 1	$5.65 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:18 PM
US forces enter Iran by March 14? WonNoPolitics	89.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (11.2%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 15, 2026 2:39 PM
Will Trump sue the BBC? WonNoPolitics	62.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.24 (1.6%)	$15 · 2	$15.2 · 2	$0	Dec 16, 2025 2:37 AM
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 mee… WonNoEconomics	72.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.21 (2.1%)	$10 · 2	$10.2 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:54 AM
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	81.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (1.1%)	$10 · 1	$10.3 · 1	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:30 AM
Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1? WonYesCrypto	97.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (2.4%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 2, 2025 2:20 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	29.0¢ / 29.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$6 · 1	$6 · 1	$0	Dec 16, 2025 11:00 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? LostYesCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.18 (-18.3%)	$1 · 1	$0.82 · 1	$0	Nov 21, 2025 9:47 AM

Sakya Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.21

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open-$103

High-$103

Low-$103

Close-$103

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$0.77

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.77

Open-$103

High-$103

Low-$104

Close-$103

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3$0.56

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.56

Open-$103

High-$102

Low-$103

Close-$102

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4-$0.74

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open-$102

High-$102

Low-$103

Close-$103

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5$1.3

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.3

Open-$103

High-$102

Low-$103

Close-$102

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6-$0.56

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.56

Open-$102

High-$102

Low-$102

Close-$102

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7$3.38

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.38

Open-$102

High-$98.7

Low-$112

Close-$98.7

Open positions5

USD balance$813

8$0.41

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.41

Open-$98.7

High-$98.3

Low-$101

Close-$98.3

Open positions5

USD balance$813

9$12.5

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$12.5

Open-$98.3

High-$84.8

Low-$102

Close-$85.9

Open positions5

USD balance$813

10-$2.07

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.07

Open-$85.9

High-$84.9

Low-$88.6

Close-$87.9

Open positions3

USD balance$832

11-$21.9

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$21.9

Open-$87.9

High-$74.5

Low-$110

Close-$110

Open positions4

USD balance$806

12-$0.83

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.83

Open-$110

High-$109

Low-$112

Close-$111

Open positions3

USD balance$806

13$0.59

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$111

High-$110

Low-$112

Close-$110

Open positions4

USD balance$782

14-$52.2

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$52.2

Open-$110

High-$110

Low-$162

Close-$162

Open positions3

USD balance$782

15-$9.79

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.79

Open-$162

High-$158

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$782

16-$0.06

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$173

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$782

17-$0.41

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.41

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$173

Close-$173

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.41

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.41

Open-$173

High-$172

Low-$173

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$0.17

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20-$0

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$0.23

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.23

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$0.23

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.23

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$0.34

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24-$0.11

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.17

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open-$172

High-$172

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.39

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$172

High-$171

Low-$172

Close-$171

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$0.09

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open-$171

High-$171

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$0

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$172

High-$171

Low-$172

Close-$172

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29$0.09

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.09

Open-$172

High-$171

Low-$172

Close-$171

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.097D $0.5630D -$68.3

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

58.1%

Profit Factor

2.01x

Avg Win

$4.48

Avg Loss

-$3.09

Total Wins

$112

Total Losses

-$55.6

Avg. Hold Time

3d 19h 43m 18s

Best Win

$6.02

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Worst Loss

-$28.6

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Period

Best Period

$41.4, Aug 15 – Aug 21

Worst Period

-$103, Sep 1 – Sep 7

Longest Streak

6d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$216 (-497.6%)

Current DD

-$215 (-495.2%)

Max Runup

$59.5 (63.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.08(31)

Sakya

Analytics

Analytics

Sakya

Sakya

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Sakya

Trader DNA

Trader DNA