Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$4M
Txns
41,483
Traders
3,795
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$4M
Txns
41,483
Traders
3,795
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/). This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.3Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.76Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.56Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 61%$1.81Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | escaladh | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Euan | No / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1C6B64718E93576F8eF5BE0958516aF7d2b5287-1761389358999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -11.11 | $11.1 | |
| 5mo | Euan | No / 0.1¢ | -11.11 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xf5ed...4e0820 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -66.84 | $66.5 | |
| 5mo | Malganis | Yes / 99.5¢ | +27.75 | $27.6 | |
| 5mo | gdyhv | Yes / 99.4¢ | +39.09 | $38.9 | |
| 5mo | omg1789 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -21.71 | $21.6 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.5¢ | +21.71 | $21.6 | |
| 5mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.9¢ | +35.53 | $35.5 | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 0.1¢ | +35.53 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | superstation | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4,739.09 | $4.73K | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 0.1¢ | +2,840.00 | $2.84 | |
| 5mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | elmcap2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,579.09 | $9.57K | |
| 5mo | SaracensCapital2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 5mo | superstation | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.5¢ | +100.61 | $100 | |
| 5mo | yesNOmaybeIDK | Yes / 99.5¢ | -100.61 | $100 | |
| 5mo | 0x0cb1ABf4D3dbae5e0241FBD808d37a5c33499caB-1761068792810 | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | superstation | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x7C5478e50b39eBc3e4C668C40845190E49642D86-1758263674561 | No / 0.1¢ | -2,238.87 | $2.24 | |
| 5mo | superstation | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,238.87 | $2.24K | |
| 5mo | influenz.eth | No / 0.4¢ | +346.40 | $1.51 | |
| 5mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.6¢ | +222.00 | $221 |
1–25