| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 50+ bps increase Yes 199.85 net shares | 1.5¢ / 0.7¢ | -$0.8 (-53.4%) | Apr 28, 2026 7:22 PM | |
25 bps Increase Yes 4.90 net shares | 81.6¢ / 84.0¢ | $0.06 (2.9%) | Apr 28, 2026 7:22 PM | |
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes 19.84 net shares | 20.2¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0.72 (-35.5%) | Apr 28, 2026 7:21 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 33.33 net shares | 12.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.5 (-25.0%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:43 PM | |
 April 24 No 15.38 net shares | 13.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:42 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 28.57 net shares | 7.0¢ / 5.0¢ | -$0.29 (-28.6%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:39 PM | |
 December 31 No 11.43 net shares | 35.0¢ / 31.0¢ | -$0.23 (-11.4%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:37 PM | |
 May 31 No 16.67 net shares | 24.0¢ / 76.0¢ | $4.33 (216.7%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:36 PM | |
 2 (50 bps) Yes 11.11 net shares | 18.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$0.61 (-61.1%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:33 PM | |
 No change No 10.00 net shares | 7.0¢ / 2.5¢ | -$0.22 (-64.3%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:31 PM | |
 April 22 Yes 18.18 net shares | 11.0¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0.98 (-98.2%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:24 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 23.26 net shares | 43.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$3.49 (-69.8%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:20 PM | |
 Elly Schlein Yes 45.23 net shares | 24.2¢ / 15.0¢ | -$2.07 (-37.9%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:18 PM | |
 Giorgia Meloni No 47.63 net shares | 42.0¢ / 59.0¢ | $4.05 (40.5%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:18 PM | |
 Xi Jinping Yes 51.49 net shares | 1.9¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 7, 2026 10:58 PM | |
 Jordan Bardella Yes 10.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 23.0¢ | $0.3 (15.0%) | Apr 5, 2026 10:57 PM | |
 Trump out as President by June 30? Yes 16.20 net shares | 6.2¢ / 1.7¢ | -$0.73 (-73.3%) | Apr 5, 2026 10:56 PM | |
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 62.50 net shares | 16.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$3.12 (-31.2%) | Apr 5, 2026 10:56 PM | |
 Trump out as President by April 30? Yes 62.50 net shares | 1.6¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 5, 2026 10:55 PM | |
 Finland No 10.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0.8 (-40.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 10:24 PM | |
 Italy Yes 5.71 net shares | 35.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0.4 (-20.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 10:24 PM | |
 No meeting before 2027 No 10.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 21.0¢ | $0.1 (5.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 10:23 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 4.76 net shares | 42.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 10:35 AM | |
Finland No 15.92 net shares | 62.8¢ / 55.5¢ | -$0.58 (-11.6%) | Mar 25, 2026 8:10 PM | |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Yes 20.41 net shares | 9.8¢ / 3.8¢ | -$1.22 (-61.2%) | Mar 24, 2026 6:28 PM |
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