Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
ResolvedVolume
$13,596,062
Txns
90,907
Traders
8,148
Fees
$5
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
Volume
$13,596,062
Txns
90,907
Traders
8,148
Fees
$5
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
No 100% · $169M volume
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes 100% · $20.7M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
No 100% · $21.1M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $33.4M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 97% · $10.9M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 94% · $1.2M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9.14 | $9.13 | |
| 2h | 0x7c33...33e721 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.14 | $9.13 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +1.45 | $1.45 | |
| 2h | 0x2768...351a08 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.45 | $1.45 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +2,165.72 | $2.16K | |
| 2h | traderbepis | No / 99.9¢ | -2,165.72 | $2.16K | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 2h | 0xeb95...c6ec05 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +28.34 | $28.3 | |
| 2h | Xenon129 | No / 99.9¢ | -28.34 | $28.3 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +156.59 | $156 | |
| 2h | Bear88 | No / 99.9¢ | -156.59 | $156 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 2h | 0x51A1594936783A3F526BA11c2197378E1225D654-1768341020180 | No / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2h | peepelooser | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2h | x.o | No / 99.9¢ | +4,562.71 | $4.56K | |
| 2h | qwerrrty | No / 99.9¢ | +7,007.00 | $7K | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9,999.00 | $9.99K | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9,998.00 | $9.99K | |
| 2h | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +4,555.00 | $4.55K | |
| 2h | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +4,342.18 | $4.34K | |
| 2h | Melody626 | No / 99.9¢ | -50,463.89 | $50.4K | |
| 2h | x.o | No / 99.9¢ | +12.15 | $12.1 |
1–25