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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 77.51 shares | 51.6¢ / 25.0¢ | -$20.7 (-51.6%) | $40 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:06 AM | |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 88.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $32.6 (10.8%) | $301 · 6 | $333 · 10 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 9:27 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $65.7 (65.7%) | $100 · 1 | $166 · 1 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 3:18 PM | |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? WonNoPolitics | 64.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $65.6 (31.7%) | $207 · 5 | $273 · 7 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 2:37 PM | |
 TikTok sale announced before May? WonNoPolitics | 60.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $42.8 (36.0%) | $119 · 7 | $162 · 9 | $0 | May 1, 2025 7:30 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? WonNoPolitics | 81.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $26.7 (22.0%) | $121 · 3 | $148 · 1 | $0 | Dec 1, 2024 7:12 AM | |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 66.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.3 (51.5%) | $25.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:43 AM | |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 58.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $11.5 (27.0%) | $42.7 · 1 | $54.3 · 5 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:33 AM | |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? WonNoCrypto | 78.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $11.5 (25.9%) | $44.5 · 1 | $56 · 1 | $0 | Dec 1, 2024 7:16 AM | |
75.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.5 (26.8%) | $39.1 · 2 | $49.5 · 3 | $0 | Mar 20, 2026 2:01 PM | ||
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 13.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $9 (46.2%) | $19.5 · 2 | $28.5 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:34 AM | |
36.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.37 (176.9%) | $3.6 · 1 | $9.97 · 1 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 2:48 PM | ||
 Will Russia capture Siversk before December? WonNoPolitics | 90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5 (10.0%) | $50 · 1 | $55 · 2 | $0 | Dec 1, 2024 7:06 AM | |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? WonYesPolitics | 38.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.6 (9.2%) | $49.9 · 3 | $54.5 · 4 | $0 | Mar 25, 2025 7:15 PM | |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 12.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.2 (22.3%) | $18.8 · 3 | $23 · 4 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:35 AM | |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9? WonNoPolitics | 79.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $4 (16.2%) | $24.7 · 3 | $28.7 · 2 | $0 | May 10, 2025 7:47 AM | |
 Will Trump save TikTok in first week? WonYesPolitics | 93.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.87 (6.6%) | $28.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 21, 2025 9:12 AM | |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? WonNoPolitics | 0.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.8 (180.0%) | $1 · 1 | $2.8 · 2 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 12:32 AM | |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonYesPolitics | 26.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.5 (5.8%) | $26 · 1 | $27.5 · 2 | $0 | Apr 24, 2025 1:00 AM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? WonNoPolitics | 11.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.68 (58.6%) | $1.16 · 1 | $1.84 · 1 | $0 | Mar 25, 2025 2:35 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
49
Won
18
Lost
29
Win Rate
38.3%
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$15.9
Avg Loss
-$13.2
Total Wins
$287
Total Losses
-$384
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
