paulenskate Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
GTA 6 launch postponed again? NoCulture 210.16 shares	73.5¢ / 89.5¢	$33.7 (21.8%)	$154 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:42 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? NoPolitics 445.36 shares	83.3¢ / 93.8¢	$46.8 (11.6%)	$403 · 2	$32 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonYesTech	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (21.2%)	$1.37K · 5	$1.41K · 1	$0	Jul 25, 2026 5:17 PM
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? WonNoPolitics	45.8¢ / 100.0¢	$111 (111.4%)	$100 · 1	$211 · 1	$0	Apr 6, 2026 7:59 AM
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? WonYesPolitics	2.9¢ / 1.8¢	$80.7 (17.2%)	$450 · 1	$550 · 13	$0	Jul 25, 2026 5:21 PM
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? WonNoCulture	60.2¢ / 0.0¢	$63.1 (41.1%)	$150 · 1	$216 · 12	$0	May 16, 2026 3:32 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonYesTech	79.7¢ / 100.0¢	$49.7 (22.9%)	$215 · 1	$267 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 9:12 PM
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.8 (16.5%)	$132 · 1	$154 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2026 1:44 AM
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	82.8¢ / 100.0¢	$20.6 (19.1%)	$108 · 1	$128 · 1	$0	Jul 3, 2026 1:01 AM
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? WonNoPolitics	74.8¢ / 96.7¢	$16.2 (4.3%)	$370 · 1	$390 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:40 AM
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? WonNoPolitics	85.0¢ / 0.0¢	$11.8 (11.8%)	$100 · 1	$112 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 12:34 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30… WonYesFinance	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.32 (6.2%)	$151 · 1	$161 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2026 11:20 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.7 (7.7%)	$100 · 1	$108 · 1	$0	May 8, 2026 11:55 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.4 (3.9%)	$192 · 1	$199 · 6	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:10 AM
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.75 (2.9%)	$128 · 1	$132 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 5:30 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? WonYesPolitics	32.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3.13 (3.1%)	$100 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 5:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.97 (19.2%)	$9.7 · 1	$12.2 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 4:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	35.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.89 (181.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 4:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET WonUpCrypto	75.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (18.4%)	$9.81 · 1	$12 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 4:06 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET WonUpCrypto	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.96 (93.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 5:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET WonDownCrypto	89.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.59 (11.3%)	$5.15 · 1	$5.77 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 11:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	64.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.54 (54.3%)	$0.97 · 1	$1.54 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	65.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.52 (52.0%)	$0.97 · 1	$1.52 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET WonUpCrypto	49.6¢ / 0.0¢	$0.47 (22.8%)	$1.92 · 1	$2.54 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 1:00 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? LostYesPolitics	2.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.28 (-1.9%)	$15 · 1	$14.7 · 1	$0	Apr 8, 2026 6:24 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET LostUpCrypto	63.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.97 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:57 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET LostDownCrypto	39.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.04 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 29, 2026 9:50 AM

					Merge
GTA 6 launch postponed again? NoCulture 210.16 shares	73.5¢ / 89.5¢	$33.7 (21.8%)	$154 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:42 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? NoPolitics 445.36 shares	83.3¢ / 93.8¢	$46.8 (11.6%)	$403 · 2	$32 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonYesTech	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (21.2%)	$1.37K · 5	$1.41K · 1	$0	Jul 25, 2026 5:17 PM
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? WonNoPolitics	45.8¢ / 100.0¢	$111 (111.4%)	$100 · 1	$211 · 1	$0	Apr 6, 2026 7:59 AM
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? WonYesPolitics	2.9¢ / 1.8¢	$80.7 (17.2%)	$450 · 1	$550 · 13	$0	Jul 25, 2026 5:21 PM
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? WonNoCulture	60.2¢ / 0.0¢	$63.1 (41.1%)	$150 · 1	$216 · 12	$0	May 16, 2026 3:32 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonYesTech	79.7¢ / 100.0¢	$49.7 (22.9%)	$215 · 1	$267 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 9:12 PM
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.8 (16.5%)	$132 · 1	$154 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2026 1:44 AM
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	82.8¢ / 100.0¢	$20.6 (19.1%)	$108 · 1	$128 · 1	$0	Jul 3, 2026 1:01 AM
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? WonNoPolitics	74.8¢ / 96.7¢	$16.2 (4.3%)	$370 · 1	$390 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 7:40 AM
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? WonNoPolitics	85.0¢ / 0.0¢	$11.8 (11.8%)	$100 · 1	$112 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 12:34 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30… WonYesFinance	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.32 (6.2%)	$151 · 1	$161 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2026 11:20 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.7 (7.7%)	$100 · 1	$108 · 1	$0	May 8, 2026 11:55 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.4 (3.9%)	$192 · 1	$199 · 6	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:10 AM
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.75 (2.9%)	$128 · 1	$132 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 5:30 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? WonYesPolitics	32.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3.13 (3.1%)	$100 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 5:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET WonUpCrypto	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.97 (19.2%)	$9.7 · 1	$12.2 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 4:20 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	35.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.89 (181.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 4:04 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET WonUpCrypto	75.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.86 (18.4%)	$9.81 · 1	$12 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 4:06 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET WonUpCrypto	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.96 (93.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 5:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET WonDownCrypto	89.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.59 (11.3%)	$5.15 · 1	$5.77 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 11:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	64.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.54 (54.3%)	$0.97 · 1	$1.54 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET WonDownCrypto	65.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.52 (52.0%)	$0.97 · 1	$1.52 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:51 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET WonUpCrypto	49.6¢ / 0.0¢	$0.47 (22.8%)	$1.92 · 1	$2.54 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 1:00 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? LostYesPolitics	2.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.28 (-1.9%)	$15 · 1	$14.7 · 1	$0	Apr 8, 2026 6:24 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET LostUpCrypto	63.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.97 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 12:57 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET LostDownCrypto	39.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.04 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 29, 2026 9:50 AM

paulenskate Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$8.1

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.1

Open$188

High$192

Low$158

Close$180

Open positions5

USD balance$0

2-$2.81

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.81

Open$180

High$196

Low$170

Close$177

Open positions5

USD balance$0

3$2.57

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.57

Open$177

High$196

Low$164

Close$180

Open positions5

USD balance$0

4$10.1

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.1

Open$180

High$192

Low$161

Close$190

Open positions5

USD balance$0

5-$11.6

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.6

Open$190

High$204

Low$170

Close$178

Open positions5

USD balance$0

6$0.96

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.96

Open$178

High$194

Low$167

Close$179

Open positions5

USD balance$0

7$10.5

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.5

Open$179

High$210

Low$148

Close$190

Open positions4

USD balance$1.96K

8$12.5

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$12.5

Open$190

High$207

Low$188

Close$202

Open positions4

USD balance$1.96K

9$4.33

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.33

Open$202

High$207

Low$188

Close$207

Open positions4

USD balance$1.96K

10-$14.7

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$14.7

Open$207

High$211

Low$180

Close$192

Open positions4

USD balance$1.96K

11-$6.61

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.61

Open$192

High$197

Low$180

Close$186

Open positions4

USD balance$0

12-$0

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$186

High$190

Low$162

Close$186

Open positions4

USD balance$0

13$2.8

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.8

Open$186

High$201

Low$180

Close$188

Open positions4

USD balance$0

14-$30.2

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$30.2

Open$188

High$204

Low$138

Close$158

Open positions4

USD balance$1.92K

15$7.31

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.31

Open$158

High$165

Low$152

Close$165

Open positions4

USD balance$1.92K

16$173

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$173

Open$165

High$346

Low$138

Close$338

Open positions4

USD balance$2.2K

17$17.2

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$17.2

Open$338

High$356

Low$338

Close$356

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18-$2.69

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.69

Open$356

High$358

Low$330

Close$353

Open positions4

USD balance$0

19-$1.38

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.38

Open$353

High$355

Low$343

Close$352

Open positions4

USD balance$0

20-$2.93

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.93

Open$352

High$355

Low$344

Close$349

Open positions4

USD balance$0

21-$0.18

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open$349

High$354

Low$343

Close$348

Open positions4

USD balance$0

22-$2.53

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.53

Open$348

High$354

Low$323

Close$346

Open positions4

USD balance$0

23-$5.52

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.52

Open$346

High$355

Low$332

Close$340

Open positions4

USD balance$0

24-$0.21

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$340

High$351

Low$322

Close$340

Open positions4

USD balance$0

25$8.07

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.07

Open$340

High$351

Low$339

Close$348

Open positions2

USD balance$2.48K

26-$10

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10

Open$348

High$350

Low$338

Close$338

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$9.79

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.79

Open$338

High$350

Low$337

Close$348

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$7.31

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.31

Open$348

High$352

Low$341

Close$341

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$9.41

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.41

Open$341

High$352

Low$337

Close$350

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30-$8.26

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.26

Open$350

High$355

Low$342

Close$342

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.967D -$5.5330D $162

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

64.7%

Profit Factor

1.58x

Avg Win

$32.2

Avg Loss

-$37.4

Total Wins

$709

Total Losses

-$449

Avg. Hold Time

23d 2h 1m 48s

Best Win

$293

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Worst Loss

-$208

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Period

Best Period

$238, Jun 12 – Jun 18

Worst Period

-$248, Mar 31 – Apr 6

Longest Streak

7d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$266 (-634.2%)

Current DD

-$13.8 (-3.9%)

Max Runup

$664 (215.4%)

Rebates

$2.14(1)

Rewards

Yield

$0.06(7)

paulenskate

Analytics

Analytics

paulenskate

paulenskate

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

paulenskate

Trader DNA

Trader DNA