| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 43.78 shares | 37.9¢ / 37.0¢ | $4.51 (7.3%) | $62 · 3 | $50.3 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:39 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 166.47 shares | 73.3¢ / 76.0¢ | $4.46 (3.7%) | $122 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:38 PM | |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? NoPolitics 122.79 shares | 60.0¢ / 11.9¢ | -$51.5 (-57.9%) | $89 · 3 | $22.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:38 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 17.0¢ / 3.8¢ | -$13.2 (-77.6%) | $17 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:38 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? YesPolitics 147.06 shares | 68.0¢ / 88.0¢ | $29.4 (29.4%) | $100 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:36 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 57.81 shares | 64.0¢ / 50.0¢ | -$8.09 (-21.9%) | $37 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YesPolitics 28.31 shares | 62.0¢ / 48.0¢ | -$26.9 (-21.5%) | $125 · 8 | $84.5 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15? NoPolitics 40.98 shares | 61.0¢ / 73.0¢ | $4.92 (19.7%) | $25 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 55.72 shares | 68.5¢ / 62.0¢ | -$5.01 (-4.6%) | $110 · 5 | $70.4 · 3 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 45.0¢ / 32.0¢ | -$13 (-28.9%) | $45 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:15 PM | |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? NoPolitics 281.54 shares | 57.5¢ / 73.0¢ | $43.5 (26.9%) | $162 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:14 PM | |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15? NoPolitics 68.56 shares | 65.6¢ / 74.0¢ | $5.74 (12.7%) | $45 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:12 PM | |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? NoPolitics 41.67 shares | 48.0¢ / 48.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $20 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:12 PM | |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? YesPolitics 49.78 shares | 65.0¢ / 55.0¢ | -$22.4 (-14.1%) | $158 · 4 | $109 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:11 PM | |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? NoPolitics 110.42 shares | 63.9¢ / 76.0¢ | $19.4 (20.6%) | $94 · 3 | $29.4 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:03 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 155.98 shares | 48.7¢ / 63.0¢ | $22.3 (29.3%) | $76 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:56 PM | |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? NoPolitics 31.76 shares | 79.7¢ / 68.7¢ | -$1.43 (-0.8%) | $181 · 4 | $157 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:46 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 211.07 shares | 39.3¢ / 49.0¢ | $20.4 (24.6%) | $83 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:23 PM | |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 298.33 shares | 63.4¢ / 71.0¢ | $15 (5.6%) | $270 · 7 | $73.2 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:09 PM | |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? NoPolitics 51.95 shares | 77.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $4.16 (10.4%) | $40 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:08 PM | |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 84.06 shares | 69.0¢ / 68.0¢ | -$0.84 (-1.4%) | $58 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:57 PM | |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? NoPolitics 138.68 shares | 54.8¢ / 64.0¢ | $12.8 (16.8%) | $76 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:12 PM | |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 25.0¢ / 23.0¢ | -$2 (-8.0%) | $25 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:42 PM | |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? NoPolitics 119.45 shares | 73.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $21.7 (7.8%) | $280 · 3 | $191 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:42 AM | |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 202… YesPolitics 256.10 shares | 7.8¢ / 4.8¢ | -$7.71 (-38.5%) | $20 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:43 AM |
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