sam-musk Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? NoCrypto 100.00 shares	76.0¢ / 89.0¢	$13 (17.1%)	$76 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:25 PM
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO d… YesFinance 99.99 shares	81.7¢ / 90.7¢	-$52.1 (-29.0%)	$180 · 5	$37 · 1	$0	Jul 24, 2026 1:50 PM
Will Trump visit China by June 30? YesPoliticsRedeemable 100.00 shares	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13 (14.9%)	$87 · 1	$0	$0	May 13, 2026 4:23 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$90 (69.3%)	$130 · 5	$220 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:58 AM
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$67.2 (59.3%)	$113 · 1	$181 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 1:00 AM
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Mar… WonYesCulture	52.4¢ / 100.0¢	$41.9 (90.8%)	$46.1 · 7	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	53.2¢ / 100.0¢	$19.9 (21.1%)	$94.2 · 2	$39.1 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on… WonYesCulture	69.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.2 (44.8%)	$42.8 · 1	$61.9 · 1	$0	Mar 20, 2026 6:57 PM
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.2 (13.6%)	$104 · 1	$119 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 12:59 AM
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.2 (19.0%)	$58.8 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? WonYesTech	89.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.04 (11.2%)	$54 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 10, 2026 11:04 PM
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	51.9¢ / 0.0¢	$3.24 (7.2%)	$45.2 · 2	$48.4 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2026 11:46 PM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? WonYesCulture	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.12 (13.5%)	$23.1 · 2	$26.2 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 7:50 PM
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? WonYesCulture	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (4.2%)	$48 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.78 (0.9%)	$207 · 2	$209 · 1	$0	Mar 5, 2026 3:02 PM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.75 (3.7%)	$47 · 1	$48.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (13.6%)	$11 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 1:50 PM
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (11.9%)	$8.8 · 1	$9.85 · 1	$0	Mar 5, 2026 2:50 PM
ZachXBT investigation post over 4M views on day one? WonYesCrypto	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1 (4.2%)	$24 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 2:51 AM
ZachXBT investigation post over 2M views on day one? WonYesCrypto	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.42 (1.7%)	$24.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 2:51 AM
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (2.6%)	$9.74 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 1:00 AM
Will Trump visit China by March 31? WonNoPolitics	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (0.1%)	$99.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:27 AM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17? WonYesCulture	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$41 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:28 PM
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? WonYesCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (0.2%)	$7.91 · 1	$7.93 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 4:50 PM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? LostYesPolitics	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.84 (-1.4%)	$58.4 · 1	$57.6 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 1:07 AM
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? LostYesCrypto	1.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:31 PM
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? LostYesCrypto	63.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.2 (-34.9%)	$6.3 · 1	$4.1 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:59 AM
Will Trump visit China by April 30? LostNoPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$16.9 (-37.1%)	$45.5 · 1	$28.6 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 7:10 AM

					Merge
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? NoCrypto 100.00 shares	76.0¢ / 89.0¢	$13 (17.1%)	$76 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:25 PM
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO d… YesFinance 99.99 shares	81.7¢ / 90.7¢	-$52.1 (-29.0%)	$180 · 5	$37 · 1	$0	Jul 24, 2026 1:50 PM
Will Trump visit China by June 30? YesPoliticsRedeemable 100.00 shares	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13 (14.9%)	$87 · 1	$0	$0	May 13, 2026 4:23 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$90 (69.3%)	$130 · 5	$220 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:58 AM
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$67.2 (59.3%)	$113 · 1	$181 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 1:00 AM
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Mar… WonYesCulture	52.4¢ / 100.0¢	$41.9 (90.8%)	$46.1 · 7	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	53.2¢ / 100.0¢	$19.9 (21.1%)	$94.2 · 2	$39.1 · 1	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on… WonYesCulture	69.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.2 (44.8%)	$42.8 · 1	$61.9 · 1	$0	Mar 20, 2026 6:57 PM
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.2 (13.6%)	$104 · 1	$119 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 12:59 AM
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.2 (19.0%)	$58.8 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? WonYesTech	89.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.04 (11.2%)	$54 · 2	$0	$0	Mar 10, 2026 11:04 PM
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	51.9¢ / 0.0¢	$3.24 (7.2%)	$45.2 · 2	$48.4 · 1	$0	Mar 6, 2026 11:46 PM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? WonYesCulture	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.12 (13.5%)	$23.1 · 2	$26.2 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 7:50 PM
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? WonYesCulture	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (4.2%)	$48 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 7, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? WonYesCrypto	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.78 (0.9%)	$207 · 2	$209 · 1	$0	Mar 5, 2026 3:02 PM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.75 (3.7%)	$47 · 1	$48.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (13.6%)	$11 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 4, 2026 1:50 PM
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (11.9%)	$8.8 · 1	$9.85 · 1	$0	Mar 5, 2026 2:50 PM
ZachXBT investigation post over 4M views on day one? WonYesCrypto	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1 (4.2%)	$24 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 2:51 AM
ZachXBT investigation post over 2M views on day one? WonYesCrypto	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.42 (1.7%)	$24.6 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 27, 2026 2:51 AM
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? WonYesCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (2.6%)	$9.74 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 1:00 AM
Will Trump visit China by March 31? WonNoPolitics	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (0.1%)	$99.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:27 AM
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17? WonYesCulture	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$41 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:28 PM
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? WonYesCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (0.2%)	$7.91 · 1	$7.93 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 4:50 PM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? LostYesPolitics	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.84 (-1.4%)	$58.4 · 1	$57.6 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 1:07 AM
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? LostYesCrypto	1.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 2:31 PM
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? LostYesCrypto	63.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.2 (-34.9%)	$6.3 · 1	$4.1 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:59 AM
Will Trump visit China by April 30? LostNoPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$16.9 (-37.1%)	$45.5 · 1	$28.6 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 7:10 AM

sam-musk Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$5.39

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.39

Open$104

High$110

Low$101

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$4.94

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.94

Open$110

High$110

Low$104

Close$105

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$6.1

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.1

Open$105

High$114

Low$101

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4-$1.05

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.05

Open$111

High$113

Low$110

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5-$0.38

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open$110

High$112

Low$109

Close$109

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6-$0.67

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.67

Open$109

High$111

Low$109

Close$109

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7$1.94

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.94

Open$109

High$112

Low$109

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8-$0

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$111

High$112

Low$109

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$0.89

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.89

Open$111

High$111

Low$109

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$0.89

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.89

Open$110

High$111

Low$109

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11-$1

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1

Open$111

High$111

Low$108

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$1

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$110

High$111

Low$110

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$4.94

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.94

Open$111

High$111

Low$100

Close$106

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$0.95

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.95

Open$106

High$107

Low$99.3

Close$107

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$2.99

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.99

Open$107

High$110

Low$107

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$1.94

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.94

Open$110

High$110

Low$108

Close$108

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$4.94

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.94

Open$108

High$113

Low$108

Close$113

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$7.23

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.23

Open$113

High$113

Low$106

Close$106

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21$3.34

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.34

Open$106

High$111

Low$104

Close$109

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$2.11

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.11

Open$109

High$109

Low$104

Close$107

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24$3.99

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.99

Open$107

High$112

Low$107

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$0.31

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.31

Open$111

High$112

Low$109

Close$110

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$1

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1

Open$110

High$110

Low$109

Close$109

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28-$1.84

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.84

Open$109

High$110

Low$107

Close$108

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$3.84

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.84

Open$108

High$111

Low$108

Close$111

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $17D $3.5630D $7.06

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

83.3%

Profit Factor

1.94x

Avg Win

$14.2

Avg Loss

-$36.5

Total Wins

$284

Total Losses

-$146

Avg. Hold Time

9d 1h 46m 51s

Best Win

$87.8

Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Worst Loss

-$87.1

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Period

Best Period

$209, Feb 26 – Mar 4

Worst Period

-$66.6, Mar 26 – Apr 1

Longest Streak

6d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$154 (-69.2%)

Current DD

-$111 (-49.9%)

Max Runup

$222 (48730.7%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

sam-musk

Analytics

sam-musk

Analytics

sam-musk

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

sam-musk

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA