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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 17,300.34 shares | 22.6¢ / 36.6¢ | $5.88K (23.6%) | $24.9K · 15 | $24.5K · 19 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM | |
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… NoPolitics 4,143.31 shares | 25.7¢ / 23.5¢ | $1.36K (52.2%) | $2.52K · 1 | $0 | $3K | Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 3,201.13 shares | 45.0¢ / 55.0¢ | $320 (22.2%) | $1.44K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 14,934.09 shares | 79.8¢ / 72.1¢ | -$7.38K (-23.3%) | $31.7K · 9 | $10K · 14 | $3.5K | Jul 28, 2026 11:28 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 532.03 shares | 14.0¢ / 46.0¢ | $1.52K (196.3%) | $774 · 1 | $2.05K · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:28 PM | |
![]() Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 459.00 shares | 6.0¢ / 1.9¢ | -$18.8 (-68.3%) | $27.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YesPolitics 754.05 shares | 61.0¢ / 54.0¢ | -$92.5 (-0.8%) | $11K · 2 | $6.85K · 3 | $3.62K | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 1,201.14 shares | 80.8¢ / 93.6¢ | $154 (15.9%) | $970 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:22 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 81.0¢ / 88.0¢ | -$49.5 (-1.2%) | $4.05K · 1 | $3.82K · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:21 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? NoPolitics 24,765.41 shares | 33.9¢ / 41.0¢ | $1.76K (21.0%) | $8.39K · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:21 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? NoPolitics 2,702.53 shares | 40.7¢ / 45.0¢ | $117 (10.7%) | $1.1K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:21 PM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,300.00 shares | 57.3¢ / 42.0¢ | -$321 (-13.0%) | $2.46K · 2 | $1.6K · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:14 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 1,400.00 shares | 72.5¢ / 98.3¢ | $1.84K (16.0%) | $11.5K · 3 | $12K · 3 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:12 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 1,951.18 shares | 51.5¢ / 72.0¢ | $400 (39.8%) | $1.01K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:08 PM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? NoPolitics 3,000.00 shares | 89.7¢ / 94.1¢ | $132 (4.9%) | $2.69K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:01 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 31? NoPolitics 13,084.00 shares | 83.8¢ / 93.7¢ | -$178 (-0.5%) | $34.8K · 13 | $22.3K · 123 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:57 PM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 3,250.13 shares | 14.3¢ / 7.0¢ | $403 (21.2%) | $1.9K · 12 | $1.04K · 1 | $1.03K | Jul 28, 2026 10:53 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? YesPolitics 22,005.01 shares | 17.4¢ / 16.1¢ | -$226 (-5.7%) | $3.97K · 5 | $209 · 14 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:39 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by August 31? NoPolitics 4,710.43 shares | 46.6¢ / 69.0¢ | $1.06K (46.1%) | $2.31K · 2 | $0 | $120 | Jul 28, 2026 10:38 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 2,933.31 shares | 56.4¢ / 63.0¢ | $194 (11.7%) | $1.65K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:36 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? YesPolitics 1,625.00 shares | 9.0¢ / 0.6¢ | -$137 (-93.4%) | $147 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:28 PM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? YesPolitics 230.44 shares | 50.0¢ / 33.0¢ | -$36.8 (-1.2%) | $3K · 41 | $0 | $2.88K | Jul 28, 2026 10:24 PM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? YesPolitics 15,214.80 shares | 7.0¢ / 3.1¢ | -$401 (-34.6%) | $1.16K · 4 | $286 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:24 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 11,466.35 shares | 80.9¢ / 89.0¢ | -$10.5K (-26.8%) | $39.2K · 6 | $0 | $18.5K | Jul 28, 2026 10:15 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? YesPolitics 74,671.41 shares | 14.2¢ / 8.0¢ | -$2.67K (-22.6%) | $11.8K · 23 | $361 · 3 | $2.8K | Jul 28, 2026 10:13 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $23.8K (75.7%) | $31.4K · 37 | $18.5K · 70 | $36.7K | Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 29.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $15.1K (32.6%) | $46.1K · 98 | $61.2K · 69 | $2.92 | Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 12.2¢ / 10.0¢ | $14K (184.8%) | $7.59K · 20 | $3.1K · 2 | $18.5K | Jul 28, 2026 10:16 PM | |
60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $12.5K (36.7%) | $34.1K · 58 | $46.5K · 56 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 1:50 PM | ||
53.1¢ / 94.0¢ | $7.14K (11.5%) | $62.1K · 140 | $52.8K · 57 | $16.4K | Jul 7, 2026 3:24 PM | ||
91.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.08K (4.8%) | $127K · 88 | $133K · 156 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 8:27 AM | ||
70.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.23K (1.4%) | $303K · 238 | $270K · 748 | $36.7K | Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM | ||
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? WonNoPolitics | 22.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.15K (110.5%) | $3.76K · 6 | $4.33K · 12 | $3.58K | Jun 15, 2026 7:25 AM | |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 21.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.16K (375.7%) | $840 · 3 | $4K · 1 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:38 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 15? WonYesPolitics | 5.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.12K (577.7%) | $540 · 2 | $0 | $3.66K | Jul 16, 2026 6:08 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? WonYesPolitics | 8.9¢ / 27.9¢ | $2.88K (460.7%) | $625 · 3 | $0 | $3.5K | Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM | |
80.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.86K (10.9%) | $26.3K · 49 | $29.1K · 10 | $30.9 | Jun 2, 2026 6:24 PM | ||
![]() Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? WonYesFinance | 31.9¢ / 0.8¢ | $2.56K (56.9%) | $4.37K · 2 | $0 | $7.04K | Jul 28, 2026 9:17 PM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 19.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.4K (77.7%) | $3.08K · 15 | $5.31K · 38 | $175 | Jun 22, 2026 12:29 AM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 24? WonYesPolitics | 11.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.32K (124.8%) | $1.86K · 10 | $0 | $4.17K | Jul 25, 2026 6:05 AM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 9.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.24K (382.7%) | $585 · 2 | $2.65K · 9 | $175 | Jun 22, 2026 12:29 AM | |
66.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.09K (9.2%) | $22.7K · 27 | $24.8K · 7 | $22.7 | Jul 21, 2026 4:22 PM | ||
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.04K (6.1%) | $33.5K · 16 | $1.12K · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 1:50 PM | |
91.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.61K (39.7%) | $6.34K · 3 | $4.07K · 5 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:30 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? WonNoPolitics | 40.9¢ / 44.6¢ | $1.56K (22.9%) | $6.84K · 3 | $4.78K · 30 | $3.62K | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
95.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.42K (3.7%) | $38.4K · 21 | $22.8K · 33 | $0 | May 4, 2026 12:14 PM | ||
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? WonYesPolitics | 30.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.38K (62.3%) | $2.21K · 1 | $0 | $3.58K | Jun 15, 2026 7:24 AM | |
33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $843 (29.5%) | $2.86K · 13 | $3.7K · 5 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
25.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $759 (154.4%) | $1.14K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:34 PM | ||
43.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $694 (10.8%) | $6.45K · 16 | $7.14K · 28 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:25 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
110
Won
46
Lost
15
Win Rate
75.4%
Profit Factor
5.43x
Avg Win
$2.09K
Avg Loss
-$1.18K
Total Wins
$96.3K
Total Losses
-$17.7K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield