the-know-it-all Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? YesPolitics 612.75 shares	16.0¢ / 3.9¢	-$74.1 (-75.6%)	$98 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:49 AM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? YesPolitics 142.86 shares	14.0¢ / 4.5¢	-$13.6 (-67.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:57 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	65.9¢ / 100.0¢	$31.4 (40.9%)	$76.7 · 5	$22.1 · 5	$0	Dec 3, 2025 11:16 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	27.7¢ / 100.0¢	$14.9 (185.8%)	$8 · 2	$22.9 · 2	$0	Nov 17, 2025 7:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$10.8 (72.0%)	$15 · 2	$25.8 · 3	$0	Nov 17, 2025 10:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	45.7¢ / 100.0¢	$9.4 (94.0%)	$10 · 2	$7.5 · 2	$0	Nov 19, 2025 9:21 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1PM ET WonDownCrypto	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.85 (44.2%)	$20 · 1	$28.8 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 8:15 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.3 (55.3%)	$15 · 2	$13.5 · 2	$0	Dec 4, 2025 10:31 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	28.9¢ / 0.0¢	$8.16 (40.8%)	$20 · 1	$28.2 · 7	$0	Dec 8, 2025 11:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$7.7 (10.0%)	$77.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 9:03 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	41.6¢ / 100.0¢	$7.67 (38.4%)	$19.7 · 1	$27.6 · 4	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:02 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	50.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.56 (37.8%)	$19.7 · 1	$27.6 · 2	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:46 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	37.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.56 (26.3%)	$25 · 2	$31.6 · 4	$0	Dec 4, 2025 9:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	46.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.24 (39.0%)	$16 · 3	$22.2 · 5	$0	Nov 17, 2025 8:46 PM
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11? WonNoCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.08 (60.8%)	$10 · 1	$16.1 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:21 AM
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	38.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.03 (120.5%)	$4.93 · 1	$11 · 4	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:17 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	15.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.09 (17.4%)	$29.2 · 5	$34.4 · 5	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:30 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	49.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.99 (49.0%)	$9.84 · 1	$15.2 · 1	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	38.0¢ / 0.0¢	$4.97 (71.0%)	$7 · 1	$12 · 2	$0	Nov 19, 2025 7:32 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4PM ET WonDownCrypto	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.92 (49.2%)	$10 · 1	$14.9 · 2	$0	Dec 4, 2025 11:28 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.5 (58.3%)	$6 · 3	$9.5 · 4	$0	Nov 17, 2025 9:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	30.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3 (100.0%)	$3 · 2	$6 · 2	$0	Nov 17, 2025 8:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3 (75.0%)	$4 · 1	$7 · 3	$0	Nov 21, 2025 5:16 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (58.0%)	$5 · 1	$7.89 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 6:31 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.88 (57.6%)	$5 · 1	$7.87 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 6:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	49.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (44.7%)	$5.91 · 1	$8.73 · 2	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	39.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (51.4%)	$4.93 · 1	$7.56 · 2	$0	Feb 25, 2026 2:56 AM

					Merge
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? YesPolitics 612.75 shares	16.0¢ / 3.9¢	-$74.1 (-75.6%)	$98 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:49 AM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? YesPolitics 142.86 shares	14.0¢ / 4.5¢	-$13.6 (-67.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:57 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	65.9¢ / 100.0¢	$31.4 (40.9%)	$76.7 · 5	$22.1 · 5	$0	Dec 3, 2025 11:16 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	27.7¢ / 100.0¢	$14.9 (185.8%)	$8 · 2	$22.9 · 2	$0	Nov 17, 2025 7:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$10.8 (72.0%)	$15 · 2	$25.8 · 3	$0	Nov 17, 2025 10:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	45.7¢ / 100.0¢	$9.4 (94.0%)	$10 · 2	$7.5 · 2	$0	Nov 19, 2025 9:21 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1PM ET WonDownCrypto	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.85 (44.2%)	$20 · 1	$28.8 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 8:15 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	51.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.3 (55.3%)	$15 · 2	$13.5 · 2	$0	Dec 4, 2025 10:31 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	28.9¢ / 0.0¢	$8.16 (40.8%)	$20 · 1	$28.2 · 7	$0	Dec 8, 2025 11:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$7.7 (10.0%)	$77.1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 9:03 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	41.6¢ / 100.0¢	$7.67 (38.4%)	$19.7 · 1	$27.6 · 4	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:02 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	50.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.56 (37.8%)	$19.7 · 1	$27.6 · 2	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:46 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	37.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.56 (26.3%)	$25 · 2	$31.6 · 4	$0	Dec 4, 2025 9:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	46.2¢ / 100.0¢	$6.24 (39.0%)	$16 · 3	$22.2 · 5	$0	Nov 17, 2025 8:46 PM
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11? WonNoCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.08 (60.8%)	$10 · 1	$16.1 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:21 AM
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	38.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.03 (120.5%)	$4.93 · 1	$11 · 4	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:17 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	15.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.09 (17.4%)	$29.2 · 5	$34.4 · 5	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:30 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	49.7¢ / 100.0¢	$4.99 (49.0%)	$9.84 · 1	$15.2 · 1	$0	Jan 7, 2026 1:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	38.0¢ / 0.0¢	$4.97 (71.0%)	$7 · 1	$12 · 2	$0	Nov 19, 2025 7:32 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4PM ET WonDownCrypto	38.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.92 (49.2%)	$10 · 1	$14.9 · 2	$0	Dec 4, 2025 11:28 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	30.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.5 (58.3%)	$6 · 3	$9.5 · 4	$0	Nov 17, 2025 9:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	30.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3 (100.0%)	$3 · 2	$6 · 2	$0	Nov 17, 2025 8:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3 (75.0%)	$4 · 1	$7 · 3	$0	Nov 21, 2025 5:16 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET WonUpCrypto	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (58.0%)	$5 · 1	$7.89 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 6:31 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.88 (57.6%)	$5 · 1	$7.87 · 3	$0	Dec 4, 2025 6:46 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	49.1¢ / 100.0¢	$2.7 (44.7%)	$5.91 · 1	$8.73 · 2	$0	Jan 9, 2026 12:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET WonDownCrypto	39.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (51.4%)	$4.93 · 1	$7.56 · 2	$0	Feb 25, 2026 2:56 AM

the-know-it-all Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$10.1

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10.1

Open-$202

High-$202

Low-$213

Close-$212

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.14

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$212

High-$212

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.04

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$213

High-$212

Low-$217

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$2.12

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.12

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$216

Close-$215

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5$0.33

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$215

High-$213

Low-$215

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$0.04

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$214

High-$212

Low-$216

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$1.51

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.51

Open-$214

High-$213

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$2.41

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.41

Open-$213

High-$210

Low-$213

Close-$210

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$1.8

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.8

Open-$210

High-$210

Low-$212

Close-$212

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.71

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.71

Open-$212

High-$212

Low-$213

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$1.6

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.6

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$215

Close-$215

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.94

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.94

Open-$215

High-$213

Low-$216

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.61

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$214

High-$213

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$1.84

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.84

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$215

Close-$215

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$1.23

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.23

Open-$215

High-$212

Low-$216

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$0.43

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.43

Open-$214

High-$212

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17$0.61

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$213

High-$211

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.33

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$213

High-$212

Low-$213

Close-$212

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$1.37

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.37

Open-$212

High-$211

Low-$213

Close-$211

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$0.47

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.47

Open-$211

High-$209

Low-$212

Close-$210

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$210

High-$209

Low-$211

Close-$210

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$3.06

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.06

Open-$210

High-$210

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$0.61

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$214

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.61

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.61

Open-$213

High-$212

Low-$213

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$1.84

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.84

Open-$213

High-$213

Low-$216

Close-$215

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$1.45

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.45

Open-$215

High-$214

Low-$216

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$0.37

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.37

Open-$214

High-$213

Low-$215

Close-$214

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$1.51

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.51

Open-$214

High-$212

Low-$215

Close-$213

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.297D $0.930D -$0.2

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

90.0%

Profit Factor

16.73x

Avg Win

$6.39

Avg Loss

-$3.44

Total Wins

$230

Total Losses

-$13.8

Avg. Hold Time

146d 22h 5m 5s

Best Win

$31.4

Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Worst Loss

-$40

Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 5PM ET

Period

Best Period

$14.4, Nov 21 – Dec 3

Worst Period

-$75.7, Dec 31 – Jan 10

Longest Streak

7d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$236 (-1122.9%)

Current DD

-$234 (-1110.5%)

Max Runup

$15.7 (11.2%)

Rebates

$1.35(4)

Rewards

Yield

$0.96(167)

the-know-it-all

Analytics

Analytics

the-know-it-all

the-know-it-all

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

the-know-it-all

Trader DNA

Trader DNA