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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? NoPolitics 11.12 shares | 60.5¢ / 52.0¢ | -$0.38 (-1.3%) | $29 · 4 | $22.8 · 3 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:15 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 25.64 shares | 78.0¢ / 71.0¢ | -$1.79 (-9.0%) | $20 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:14 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 12.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 59.0¢ | $1.08 (18.0%) | $6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:13 AM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 8.33 shares | 12.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.25 (-25.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 8:41 AM | |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? YesPolitics 15.38 shares | 13.0¢ / 3.7¢ | -$1.42 (-71.2%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 8:39 AM | |
![]() Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? YesPolitics 28.62 shares | 23.8¢ / 5.0¢ | -$5.35 (-23.6%) | $22.6 · 7 | $15.8 · 2 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 7:40 AM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? YesPolitics 58.83 shares | 17.1¢ / 3.7¢ | -$9.1 (-45.5%) | $20 · 4 | $8.72 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 5:10 AM | |
![]() U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? YesPolitics 6.25 shares | 16.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.44 (-43.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:47 AM | |
![]() Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? YesPolitics 7.69 shares | 13.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$0.38 (-38.5%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 4:53 PM | |
![]() European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 3… YesPolitics 7.69 shares | 13.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$0.15 (-15.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:28 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? WonYesPolitics | 55.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $36.3 (36.3%) | $100 · 2 | $136 · 1 | $0 | Mar 7, 2026 7:50 AM | |
![]() Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026? WonYesPolitics | 20.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.8 (238.5%) | $10 · 3 | $33.8 · 4 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 5:21 PM | |
![]() Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 27.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.7 (33.8%) | $64.2 · 10 | $85.9 · 2 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:31 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 30.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $16 (80.2%) | $20 · 1 | $36 · 1 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 12:36 AM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 60.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $12.9 (23.4%) | $55 · 2 | $67.9 · 2 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 6:46 AM | |
![]() Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? WonYesPolitics | 34.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.77 (162.8%) | $6 · 2 | $15.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:29 PM | |
![]() Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 59.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.19 (27.3%) | $30 · 3 | $38.2 · 2 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 12:42 AM | |
![]() Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? WonYesPolitics | 56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.14 (67.9%) | $12 · 1 | $20.1 · 1 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 3:25 PM | |
25.4¢ / 88.8¢ | $7.77 (244.2%) | $3 · 1 | $11 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:34 AM | ||
![]() Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 72.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.5 (37.5%) | $20 · 1 | $27.5 · 1 | $0 | Feb 12, 2026 6:07 PM | |
![]() US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 27.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.48 (74.8%) | $10 · 3 | $17.5 · 2 | $0 | Feb 14, 2026 7:40 AM | |
22.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.08 (354.1%) | $2 · 1 | $9.08 · 1 | $0 | Feb 25, 2026 9:39 AM | ||
![]() US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? WonNoPolitics | 24.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.76 (58.3%) | $11.6 · 2 | $18.4 · 2 | $0 | Feb 24, 2026 4:26 PM | |
![]() Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 40.0¢ / 38.0¢ | $6.68 (55.3%) | $12.1 · 2 | $18.8 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:08 PM | |
6.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.61 (660.5%) | $1 · 1 | $7.61 · 2 | $0 | Feb 12, 2026 8:22 AM | ||
![]() US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? WonYesPolitics | 20.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.25 (125.0%) | $5 · 1 | $11.3 · 1 | $0 | Feb 24, 2026 4:26 PM | |
![]() Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? WonNoPolitics | 13.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.24 (19.7%) | $31.7 · 9 | $38 · 6 | $0 | Feb 10, 2026 2:28 AM | |
![]() Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics | 1.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.23 (155.8%) | $4 · 3 | $10.2 · 3 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 8:25 AM | |
14.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.14 (613.6%) | $1 · 1 | $7.13 · 1 | $0 | Feb 25, 2026 8:26 AM | ||
15.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $6 (119.9%) | $5 · 3 | $11 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:29 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 32.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.98 (149.5%) | $4 · 3 | $9.98 · 1 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:35 PM | |
![]() Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 29.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.95 (19.8%) | $30 · 2 | $35.9 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:31 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 18.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.22 (52.2%) | $10 · 2 | $15.2 · 3 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 12:36 AM | |
![]() Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? WonYesPolitics | 30.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $5 (99.9%) | $5 · 1 | $10 · 1 | $0 | Jan 16, 2026 9:27 PM | |
30.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.66 (233.0%) | $2 · 1 | $6.65 · 1 | $0 | Feb 25, 2026 9:49 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
209
Won
89
Lost
75
Win Rate
54.3%
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$4.66
Avg Loss
-$4.87
Total Wins
$414
Total Losses
-$365
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield