YChao Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 2.63 shares	76.9¢ / 75.1¢	-$0.05 (-2.4%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:54 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	58.6¢ / 100.0¢	$27.1 (67.7%)	$40 · 1	$67.1 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM
US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (51.1%)	$50 · 1	$75.5 · 1	$0	Apr 9, 2026 12:34 AM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.8 (247.8%)	$10 · 1	$34.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? WonYesPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.2 (96.0%)	$20 · 1	$39.2 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET WonDownCrypto	67.2¢ / 100.0¢	$15.6 (47.4%)	$32.7 · 13	$48.6 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:21 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics	70.1¢ / 100.0¢	$14.1 (41.6%)	$34 · 17	$48.1 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 5:02 PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	72.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (36.7%)	$29 · 18	$40.1 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2026 12:37 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	58.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9 (69.2%)	$12.8 · 7	$22 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:40 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	41.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.24 (137.3%)	$5.92 · 4	$14.2 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:16 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	49.1¢ / 100.0¢	$8.14 (101.7%)	$7.89 · 4	$16.1 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:01 AM
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? WonYesPolitics	57.1¢ / 100.0¢	$7.94 (61.1%)	$13 · 3	$20.9 · 1	$0	Mar 8, 2026 3:09 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	47.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.51 (107.2%)	$6.9 · 7	$14.5 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:30 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	11.7¢ / 0.0¢	$7.13 (333.4%)	$1.98 · 2	$9.27 · 2	$0	Mar 27, 2026 3:15 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	66.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (48.2%)	$12.8 · 8	$19.3 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:30 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	23.3¢ / 0.0¢	$5.65 (94.2%)	$6 · 2	$11.7 · 2	$0	Jun 1, 2026 12:21 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	63.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5.5 (55.0%)	$9.86 · 1	$15.5 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.43 (17.0%)	$31.8 · 8	$37.4 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.84 (96.9%)	$4.92 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 13, 2026 1:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	68.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.82 (43.8%)	$10.9 · 10	$15.8 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 10:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET WonUpCrypto	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.9 (38.8%)	$9.86 · 1	$14 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 3:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (330.4%)	$1.15 · 1	$4.96 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 3:16 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	35.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.64 (182.0%)	$1.97 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 13, 2026 6:11 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET WonDownCrypto	91.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.53 (8.6%)	$40.9 · 1	$44.5 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 7:10 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET WonDownCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.47 (15.1%)	$22.9 · 14	$26.5 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:40 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	36.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.44 (171.8%)	$1.97 · 2	$5.44 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 10:25 AM

					Merge
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 2.63 shares	76.9¢ / 75.1¢	-$0.05 (-2.4%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:54 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	58.6¢ / 100.0¢	$27.1 (67.7%)	$40 · 1	$67.1 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM
US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (51.1%)	$50 · 1	$75.5 · 1	$0	Apr 9, 2026 12:34 AM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.8 (247.8%)	$10 · 1	$34.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? WonYesPolitics	50.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.2 (96.0%)	$20 · 1	$39.2 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET WonDownCrypto	67.2¢ / 100.0¢	$15.6 (47.4%)	$32.7 · 13	$48.6 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:21 AM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics	70.1¢ / 100.0¢	$14.1 (41.6%)	$34 · 17	$48.1 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 5:02 PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	72.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (36.7%)	$29 · 18	$40.1 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2026 12:37 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	58.5¢ / 100.0¢	$9 (69.2%)	$12.8 · 7	$22 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:40 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	41.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.24 (137.3%)	$5.92 · 4	$14.2 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:16 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	49.1¢ / 100.0¢	$8.14 (101.7%)	$7.89 · 4	$16.1 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:01 AM
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? WonYesPolitics	57.1¢ / 100.0¢	$7.94 (61.1%)	$13 · 3	$20.9 · 1	$0	Mar 8, 2026 3:09 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	47.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.51 (107.2%)	$6.9 · 7	$14.5 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 9:30 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET WonDownCrypto	11.7¢ / 0.0¢	$7.13 (333.4%)	$1.98 · 2	$9.27 · 2	$0	Mar 27, 2026 3:15 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET WonDownCrypto	66.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (48.2%)	$12.8 · 8	$19.3 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:30 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	23.3¢ / 0.0¢	$5.65 (94.2%)	$6 · 2	$11.7 · 2	$0	Jun 1, 2026 12:21 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET WonUpCrypto	63.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5.5 (55.0%)	$9.86 · 1	$15.5 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 2:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET WonUpCrypto	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.43 (17.0%)	$31.8 · 8	$37.4 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:50 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4AM ET WonUpCrypto	50.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.84 (96.9%)	$4.92 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 13, 2026 1:29 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	68.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.82 (43.8%)	$10.9 · 10	$15.8 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 10:45 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET WonUpCrypto	61.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.9 (38.8%)	$9.86 · 1	$14 · 1	$0	Mar 3, 2026 3:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET WonUpCrypto	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.81 (330.4%)	$1.15 · 1	$4.96 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 3:16 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	35.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.64 (182.0%)	$1.97 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 13, 2026 6:11 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET WonDownCrypto	91.2¢ / 100.0¢	$3.53 (8.6%)	$40.9 · 1	$44.5 · 1	$0	Mar 2, 2026 7:10 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET WonDownCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.47 (15.1%)	$22.9 · 14	$26.5 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 12:40 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET WonDownCrypto	36.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.44 (171.8%)	$1.97 · 2	$5.44 · 1	$0	Mar 14, 2026 10:25 AM

YChao Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$1.19

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.19

Open$55.3

High$58.6

Low$55.1

Close$56.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2$0.7

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.7

Open$56.4

High$60.8

Low$55.8

Close$57.1

Open positions3

USD balance$216

3-$0.74

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open$57.1

High$62

Low$51.9

Close$56.4

Open positions3

USD balance$214

4$0.75

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.75

Open$56.4

High$60

Low$54.5

Close$57.2

Open positions4

USD balance$198

5-$1.9

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.9

Open$57.2

High$57.7

Low$54.7

Close$55.3

Open positions4

USD balance$198

6-$16.6

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16.6

Open$55.3

High$58.6

Low$38.2

Close$38.7

Open positions3

USD balance$199

7-$0.22

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open$38.7

High$39.4

Low$37.3

Close$38.5

Open positions2

USD balance$199

8-$0.42

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.42

Open$38.5

High$38.6

Low$37.5

Close$38.1

Open positions2

USD balance$199

9$3.29

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.29

Open$38.1

High$42

Low$37

Close$41.4

Open positions2

USD balance$199

10-$0.83

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.83

Open$41.4

High$41.8

Low$39.1

Close$40.5

Open positions2

USD balance$199

11-$6.19

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.19

Open$40.5

High$45.5

Low$33.8

Close$34.3

Open positions4

USD balance$192

12$0.08

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open$34.3

High$35.1

Low$33.1

Close$34.4

Open positions2

USD balance$192

13-$1.11

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.11

Open$34.4

High$34.5

Low$32.7

Close$33.3

Open positions2

USD balance$192

14-$17.9

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$17.9

Open$33.3

High$35

Low$15.4

Close$15.4

Open positions2

USD balance$192

15$0.07

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$15.4

High$15.5

Low$15.4

Close$15.5

Open positions1

USD balance$192

16$0.02

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$15.5

High$15.5

Low$15.4

Close$15.5

Open positions1

USD balance$192

17-$0.04

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$15.5

High$15.5

Low$15.4

Close$15.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.01

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$15.4

High$15.5

Low$15.4

Close$15.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$0.08

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$15.5

High$15.5

Low$15.3

Close$15.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.02

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$15.4

High$15.4

Low$15.3

Close$15.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.19

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.19

Open$15.4

High$15.4

Low$15.1

Close$15.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$0.21

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$15.2

High$15.2

Low$14.9

Close$15

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$0.09

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open$15

High$15

Low$14.8

Close$14.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.1

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.1

Open$14.9

High$15

Low$14.9

Close$15

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.04

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$15

High$15.2

Low$15

Close$15

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$0.21

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open$15

High$15.1

Low$14.8

Close$14.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$0.13

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.13

Open$14.8

High$15.1

Low$14.7

Close$15

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$0.02

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$15

High$15

Low$14.9

Close$14.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.17D -$0.2330D -$44.4

Markets

587

Won

411

Lost

166

Win Rate

71.2%

Profit Factor

1.26x

Avg Win

$1.05

Avg Loss

-$2.08

Total Wins

$433

Total Losses

-$345

Avg. Hold Time

2d 10h 11m 10s

Best Win

$27.1

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$25.7

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Period

Best Period

$42.9, Feb 27 – Mar 5

Worst Period

-$28.8, Feb 28 – Mar 6

Longest Streak

6d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$67.5 (-82.0%)

Current DD

-$67.4 (-81.8%)

Max Runup

$86.3 (2160.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.04(20)

YChao

Analytics

Analytics

YChao

YChao

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

YChao

Trader DNA

Trader DNA