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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 195.00 shares | 97.0¢ / 94.9¢ | -$3.97 (-2.1%) | $189 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:22 PM | |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 218.00 shares | 94.2¢ / 91.1¢ | -$6.73 (-3.3%) | $205 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:11 PM | |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? NoPolitics 125.00 shares | 80.2¢ / 95.3¢ | $18.9 (18.8%) | $100 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 5:47 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? WonNoPolitics | 80.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $37.4 (8.3%) | $449 · 12 | $486 · 5 | $0 | Jan 20, 2025 7:03 AM | |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024? WonYesPolitics | 8.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $34.8 (22.9%) | $152 · 14 | $187 · 9 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 8:59 AM | |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonNoPolitics | 50.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $24.8 (9.2%) | $270 · 9 | $294 · 25 | $0 | Apr 24, 2025 1:00 AM | |
 Will Trump claim victory by midnight? WonYesPolitics | 21.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $24.5 (90.6%) | $27 · 4 | $51.5 · 5 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 7:44 AM | |
80.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $22.8 (24.7%) | $92.2 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Dec 12, 2024 8:23 PM | ||
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? WonOpenAIFinance | 16.0¢ / 8.7¢ | $20 (62.5%) | $32 · 2 | $52 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:23 PM | |
 Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024? WonNoTech | 25.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.9 (286.8%) | $6.25 · 1 | $24.1 · 7 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 8:28 AM | |
 USDT depeg in 2025? WonYesCrypto | 12.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $16.8 (33.3%) | $50.4 · 1 | $67.2 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 7:18 AM | |
 Trump wins every swing state? WonNoPolitics | 5.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $15.4 (35.3%) | $43.8 · 5 | $59.2 · 4 | $0 | Nov 10, 2024 6:33 AM | |
11.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $11.3 (113.0%) | $10 · 4 | $21.3 · 1 | $0 | Nov 9, 2024 9:42 PM | ||
7.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $10 (1328.6%) | $0.75 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 7, 2024 1:00 PM | ||
10.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.78 (14.4%) | $40 · 2 | $45.8 · 3 | $0 | Nov 7, 2024 1:00 PM | ||
 Will Biden finish his term? WonYesPolitics | 86.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.17 (16.1%) | $32.1 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jan 24, 2025 11:28 PM | |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics | 2.5¢ / 9.4¢ | $5.11 (30.5%) | $16.7 · 6 | $21.8 · 1 | $0 | Apr 19, 2026 10:55 PM | |
 Will either candidate concede in November? WonNoPolitics | 15.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.79 (133.3%) | $3.6 · 1 | $8.39 · 1 | $0 | Nov 7, 2024 9:08 AM | |
 Will 538 call 43 states correctly? WonNoPolitics | 1.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.45 (8900.0%) | $0.05 · 1 | $4.5 · 1 | $0 | Nov 11, 2024 1:08 AM | |
56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.4 (78.6%) | $5.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 24, 2025 11:28 PM | ||
91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.4 (9.6%) | $45.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 1, 2025 5:27 PM | ||
 GPT-5 released in 2024? WonNoTech | 75.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.1 (27.2%) | $15.1 · 2 | $19.2 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 8:28 AM | |
 Unrealized gains tax passed before election day? WonNoPolitics | 99.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.71 (0.7%) | $525 · 12 | $526 · 14 | $0 | Nov 9, 2024 10:20 AM | |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024? WonYesPolitics | 16.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.5 (43.8%) | $8 · 1 | $11.5 · 1 | $0 | Dec 16, 2024 5:34 PM | |
 U.S. Recession in 2024? WonNoFinance | 97.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.08 (0.9%) | $358 · 21 | $361 · 9 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 9:02 AM | |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? WonYesCrypto | 5.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $3 (11.8%) | $25.5 · 2 | $28.5 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 7:48 AM | |
 Megaquake in November? WonNoWeather | 91.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.92 (2.6%) | $112 · 4 | $115 · 8 | $0 | Dec 1, 2024 7:26 AM | |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025? WonNoEconomics | 93.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.73 (5.6%) | $48.9 · 3 | $51.6 · 1 | $0 | Dec 23, 2025 3:36 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
74
Won
49
Lost
20
Win Rate
71.0%
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$6.54
Avg Loss
-$24.3
Total Wins
$320
Total Losses
-$485
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
