
Volume
$733K
Txns
10,590
Traders
2,783
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 100%$246Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$438Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.14Mvolume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 78%$47.7Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | rpo | No / 99.9¢ | +988.97 | $988 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -988.97 | $988 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | unbearablelighteness | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Flarp | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | BurKinch | No / 99.9¢ | -8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | weMasster | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | andrewjenkins | No / 99.9¢ | -18.00 | $18 | |
| 1y | vchung | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | lexiras | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +1,728.00 | $1.73K | |
| 1y | oliviayoung | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Lebin2rous | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | -1,619.00 | $1.62K | |
| 1y | Winry | No / 99.8¢ | +57.48 | $57.4 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +0.48 | $0 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +57.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +57.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Winry | No / 99.8¢ | +57.00 | $56.9 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -39.50 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | HalogenPi | No / 99.6¢ | -252.27 | $251 | |
| 1y | syncope | No / 99.6¢ | +212.77 | $212 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.49 | $0.04 |
1–25