lavy Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 186.90 shares	98.5¢ / 98.7¢	$0.34 (0.2%)	$184 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:10 PM
OKX IPO in 2026? NoCrypto 400.00 shares	90.4¢ / 93.0¢	$10.6 (2.9%)	$360 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 8:33 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$77.7 (26.3%)	$295 · 1	$373 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.4 (10.8%)	$291 · 1	$323 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds WonAtlanta BravesSports	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$26.3 (2.9%)	$897 · 6	$924 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 2:03 AM
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? WonNoSports	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (5.2%)	$465 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 11:09 PM
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? WonYesEconomics	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$23.4 (22.1%)	$106 · 1	$130 · 1	$0	Mar 19, 2026 6:38 AM
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 93.0¢	$20.2 (2.4%)	$850 · 1	$870 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:00 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.1 (4.6%)	$439 · 2	$459 · 3	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	97.3¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (2.6%)	$602 · 1	$618 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:13 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? WonNoFinance	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (0.6%)	$1.78K · 2	$1.8K · 2	$0	May 29, 2026 11:53 PM
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$8.61 (1.6%)	$535 · 2	$544 · 1	$0	Jul 12, 2026 7:02 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? WonNoFinance	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.46 (1.0%)	$870 · 2	$879 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 2:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.26 (7.3%)	$113 · 1	$121 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will Base launch a token in 2025? WonNoCrypto	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$7.65 (2.7%)	$287 · 3	$295 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$7.23 (1.3%)	$548 · 1	$555 · 1	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Crude Oil all time high by April 30? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$7.14 (0.8%)	$886 · 1	$0	$0	May 2, 2026 12:55 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? WonNoFinance	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.75 (0.8%)	$879 · 1	$886 · 2	$0	May 1, 2026 2:22 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.54 (0.2%)	$3.26K · 1	$0	$0	Oct 27, 2025 6:29 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decembe… WonYesTech	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.32 (6.5%)	$98 · 1	$104 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 1:13 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.14 (0.7%)	$914 · 2	$921 · 7	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	96.3¢ / 100.0¢	$5.42 (2.2%)	$249 · 1	$254 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.93 (0.5%)	$930 · 1	$935 · 3	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:15 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.17 (0.5%)	$796 · 1	$800 · 3	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.83 (1.3%)	$287 · 1	$291 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:28 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22? WonNoCrypto	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.77 (1.8%)	$211 · 1	$214 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 7:08 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 mee… WonNoPolitics	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.59 (0.5%)	$679 · 3	$682 · 7	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 186.90 shares	98.5¢ / 98.7¢	$0.34 (0.2%)	$184 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:10 PM
OKX IPO in 2026? NoCrypto 400.00 shares	90.4¢ / 93.0¢	$10.6 (2.9%)	$360 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 8:33 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$77.7 (26.3%)	$295 · 1	$373 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.4 (10.8%)	$291 · 1	$323 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds WonAtlanta BravesSports	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$26.3 (2.9%)	$897 · 6	$924 · 1	$0	May 31, 2026 2:03 AM
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? WonNoSports	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (5.2%)	$465 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 11:09 PM
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? WonYesEconomics	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$23.4 (22.1%)	$106 · 1	$130 · 1	$0	Mar 19, 2026 6:38 AM
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 93.0¢	$20.2 (2.4%)	$850 · 1	$870 · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 1:00 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.1 (4.6%)	$439 · 2	$459 · 3	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	97.3¢ / 100.0¢	$15.7 (2.6%)	$602 · 1	$618 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:13 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? WonNoFinance	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$11.1 (0.6%)	$1.78K · 2	$1.8K · 2	$0	May 29, 2026 11:53 PM
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$8.61 (1.6%)	$535 · 2	$544 · 1	$0	Jul 12, 2026 7:02 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? WonNoFinance	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$8.46 (1.0%)	$870 · 2	$879 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 2:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.26 (7.3%)	$113 · 1	$121 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will Base launch a token in 2025? WonNoCrypto	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$7.65 (2.7%)	$287 · 3	$295 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$7.23 (1.3%)	$548 · 1	$555 · 1	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Crude Oil all time high by April 30? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$7.14 (0.8%)	$886 · 1	$0	$0	May 2, 2026 12:55 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? WonNoFinance	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.75 (0.8%)	$879 · 1	$886 · 2	$0	May 1, 2026 2:22 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$6.54 (0.2%)	$3.26K · 1	$0	$0	Oct 27, 2025 6:29 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decembe… WonYesTech	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.32 (6.5%)	$98 · 1	$104 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 1:13 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.14 (0.7%)	$914 · 2	$921 · 7	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	96.3¢ / 100.0¢	$5.42 (2.2%)	$249 · 1	$254 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.93 (0.5%)	$930 · 1	$935 · 3	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:15 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.17 (0.5%)	$796 · 1	$800 · 3	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.83 (1.3%)	$287 · 1	$291 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:28 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22? WonNoCrypto	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.77 (1.8%)	$211 · 1	$214 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 7:08 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 mee… WonNoPolitics	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.59 (0.5%)	$679 · 3	$682 · 7	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM

lavy Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$3.4

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.4

Open$217

High$221

Low$211

Close$221

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$0.37

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.37

Open$221

High$222

Low$216

Close$221

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

3$0.88

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.88

Open$221

High$223

Low$218

Close$222

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

4-$1.14

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.14

Open$222

High$223

Low$219

Close$221

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

5$1.97

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.97

Open$221

High$223

Low$220

Close$223

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

6-$1.73

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.73

Open$223

High$223

Low$218

Close$221

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

7-$2.62

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.62

Open$221

High$221

Low$214

Close$218

Open positions2

USD balance$0.36

8$1.32

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.32

Open$218

High$221

Low$214

Close$220

Open positions1

USD balance$738

9-$1.13

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.13

Open$220

High$221

Low$219

Close$219

Open positions1

USD balance$738

10$7.71

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.71

Open$219

High$226

Low$217

Close$226

Open positions1

USD balance$0.47

11$0.55

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.55

Open$226

High$227

Low$219

Close$227

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12$6.17

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.17

Open$227

High$234

Low$220

Close$233

Open positions2

USD balance$0.44

13-$0.05

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$233

High$233

Low$231

Close$233

Open positions2

USD balance$0.44

14$0.05

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open$233

High$233

Low$225

Close$233

Open positions2

USD balance$0.44

15$4.15

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.15

Open$233

High$237

Low$231

Close$237

Open positions2

USD balance$0.44

16$0

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$237

High$237

Low$237

Close$237

Open positions2

USD balance$0.44

17$0.4

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.4

Open$237

High$241

Low$231

Close$238

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$3.82

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.82

Open$238

High$241

Low$237

Close$241

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$4.22

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.22

Open$241

High$241

Low$237

Close$237

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$3.96

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.96

Open$237

High$241

Low$233

Close$233

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$233

High$233

Low$233

Close$233

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$1.26

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.26

Open$233

High$257

Low$225

Close$232

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$232

High$232

Low$232

Close$232

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$9.07

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.07

Open$232

High$241

Low$231

Close$241

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$0.37

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.37

Open$241

High$241

Low$239

Close$241

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$0.99

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.99

Open$241

High$242

Low$240

Close$240

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$6.82

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.82

Open$240

High$241

Low$234

Close$234

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$8.16

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.16

Open$234

High$257

Low$234

Close$242

Open positions1

USD balance$0

30$4.2

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.2

Open$242

High$246

Low$241

Close$246

Open positions2

USD balance$0.14

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.367D $1430D $25.3

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

95.2%

Profit Factor

2.42x

Avg Win

$6.67

Avg Loss

-$55.1

Total Wins

$400

Total Losses

-$165

Avg. Hold Time

20d 17h 48m 19s

Best Win

$77.7

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Worst Loss

-$147

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$69.4, Dec 18 – Dec 24

Worst Period

-$140, Jan 1 – Jan 7

Longest Streak

10d W / 3d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$149 (-105.9%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$254 (3080.8%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.46(7)

lavy

Analytics

Analytics

lavy

lavy

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

lavy

Trader DNA

Trader DNA