| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 December 31 No 10.81 net shares | 74.0¢ / 74.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 10, 2026 9:03 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 142.86 net shares | 7.3¢ / 7.3¢ | -$0.02 (-0.3%) | May 10, 2026 9:02 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 36.84 net shares | 32.3¢ / 33.0¢ | $0.12 (2.1%) | May 10, 2026 9:01 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 100.30 net shares | 11.9¢ / 12.0¢ | $0.04 (0.7%) | May 10, 2026 9:01 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes 17.80 net shares | 38.6¢ / 99.0¢ | $10.7 (156.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 7:05 PM | |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes 0.07 net shares | 73.0¢ / 74.0¢ | $0 (1.4%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:58 PM | |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 0.04 net shares | 90.1¢ / 91.7¢ | $0 (1.8%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:58 PM | |
 April 30 No 0.03 net shares | 92.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (8.6%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:57 PM | |
 Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 0.10 net shares | 17.3¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0.01 (-30.7%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:57 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 0.53 net shares | 25.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.03 (-20.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:47 PM | |
 June 30 Yes -0.22 net shares | 23.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$0.14 (-73.9%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:47 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? Yes 16.54 net shares | 8.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1.41 (-100.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:47 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Yes 0.51 net shares | 18.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.09 (-100.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:46 PM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 0.13 net shares | 29.0¢ / 17.0¢ | -$0.02 (-41.4%) | Apr 12, 2026 4:51 PM | |
 Péter Magyar Yes 0.09 net shares | 72.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.02 (38.8%) | Apr 12, 2026 4:50 PM | |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes 0.56 net shares | 21.0¢ / 9.6¢ | -$0.06 (-54.1%) | Apr 12, 2026 4:44 PM | |
 May 15 Yes 0.06 net shares | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.02 (44.9%) | Apr 9, 2026 7:20 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes 0.01 net shares | 77.0¢ / 93.5¢ | $0 (21.4%) | Mar 31, 2026 3:42 PM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 0.49 net shares | 6.9¢ / 2.6¢ | -$0.02 (-62.1%) | Mar 16, 2026 2:25 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 0.52 net shares | 27.0¢ / 7.1¢ | -$0.1 (-73.6%) | Mar 15, 2026 10:20 AM | |
 Bill Gates Yes 0.34 net shares | 19.0¢ / 2.2¢ | -$0.06 (-88.4%) | Mar 15, 2026 10:20 AM | |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 0.22 net shares | 19.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$0.03 (-63.2%) | Mar 14, 2026 12:06 PM | |
 Democratic Yes 0.05 net shares | 55.0¢ / 61.0¢ | $0 (10.9%) | Mar 14, 2026 11:58 AM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes 0.25 net shares | 4.2¢ / 1.9¢ | -$0.01 (-54.8%) | Mar 14, 2026 7:58 AM | |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 0.70 net shares | 10.3¢ / 6.9¢ | -$0.02 (-33.0%) | Mar 3, 2026 10:15 AM |
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