| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? WonNoPolitics | 80.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $18 (24.8%) | $72.7 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 10:25 AM | |
49.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.5 (85.2%) | $15.8 · 3 | $5.05 · 1 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 5:22 AM | ||
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 43.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.3 (132.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 10:07 AM | |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 72.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $13 (23.1%) | $55.9 · 5 | $68.9 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:19 AM | |
97.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.2 (2.4%) | $425 · 8 | $435 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 5:00 AM | ||
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? WonNoPolitics | 96.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.81 (4.2%) | $115 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Mar 7, 2026 4:05 PM | |
85.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.64 (16.4%) | $28.4 · 5 | $33 · 1 | $0 | Mar 6, 2026 7:58 PM | ||
94.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.64 (6.3%) | $73.8 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 6:40 AM | ||
83.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.37 (8.0%) | $41.9 · 3 | $45.2 · 4 | $0 | Mar 6, 2026 7:58 PM | ||
92.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.06 (8.3%) | $25 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 5:22 AM | ||
98.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.02 (1.5%) | $137 · 16 | $139 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 5:00 AM | ||
56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2 (17.9%) | $11.2 · 1 | $13.2 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | ||
 Another US bank failure by March 31? WonNoFinance | 84.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2 (14.3%) | $14 · 1 | $16 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:04 AM | |
96.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.98 (3.4%) | $58 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 10, 2026 2:43 PM | ||
83.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.96 (9.6%) | $10 · 1 | $11 · 2 | $0 | Feb 21, 2026 8:31 PM | ||
 Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday? WonNoPolitics | 98.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.83 (1.4%) | $59.4 · 6 | $60.3 · 1 | $0 | Feb 20, 2026 7:57 PM | |
98.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.64 (1.6%) | $39.6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Mar 7, 2026 4:05 PM | ||
97.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.63 (2.1%) | $29.3 · 1 | $30 · 4 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 4:20 AM | ||
91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.6 (7.5%) | $7.99 · 1 | $8.59 · 1 | $0 | Feb 16, 2026 2:46 PM | ||
89.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.59 (5.9%) | $9.98 · 1 | $10.6 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 2:30 AM | ||
 Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday? WonYesPolitics | 99.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.45 (0.9%) | $50 · 1 | $50.4 · 1 | $0 | Feb 20, 2026 7:57 PM | |
91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.43 (8.6%) | $4.99 · 1 | $5.43 · 1 | $0 | Feb 16, 2026 4:02 PM | ||
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 99.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.42 (0.7%) | $60 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 18, 2026 7:24 AM | |
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 99.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.3 (0.6%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 17, 2026 7:18 AM | |
97.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.1 (1.0%) | $10 · 1 | $10.1 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 2:29 AM |
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