
Volume
$150K
Txns
3,339
Traders
654
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +39.93 | $39.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x9F618EC9DCf65c6a91a3d3d0705c2A2C3bf76A55-1774573265195 | No / 99.9¢ | -39.93 | $39.9 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +253.59 | $253 | |
| 3mo | 0x9F618EC9DCf65c6a91a3d3d0705c2A2C3bf76A55-1774573265195 | No / 99.9¢ | -253.59 | $253 | |
| 3mo | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -71.90 | $71.8 | |
| 3mo | Barbs94 | No / 99.9¢ | -25.00 | $25 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +96.90 | $96.8 | |
| 3mo | oidoioi | No / 99.9¢ | -2,232.08 | $2.23K | |
| 3mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 3mo | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -770.92 | $770 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +209.54 | $0.21 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -199.65 | $199 | |
| 3mo | oidoioi | No / 99.9¢ | -351.48 | $351 | |
| 3mo | MoistLotion | No / 99.9¢ | +3,003.00 | $3K | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -215.33 | $215 | |
| 3mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +500.55 | $500 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 3mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +290.45 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | web5 | No / 99.4¢ | -10.10 | $10 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | droopyal | No / 99.4¢ | +10.10 | $10 | |
| 3mo | web5 | No / 99.4¢ | -10.10 | $10 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume