Carsten16 Polymarket Trader

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Volume

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Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 700.00 shares	3.5¢ / 4.8¢	$8.82 (36.0%)	$24.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 9:07 PM
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? YesPolitics 120.00 shares	8.0¢ / 0.5¢	-$9 (-93.8%)	$9.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 7:41 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? WonYesPolitics	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$165 (128.2%)	$129 · 2	$294 · 1	$0	Jul 14, 2025 9:31 PM
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? WonNoCulture	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.6 (38.1%)	$93.6 · 4	$129 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 5:43 PM
Will the fight go the distance? WonNoSports	86.3¢ / 100.0¢	$24.2 (15.8%)	$153 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 12:02 AM
Will anyone say "America" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (42.9%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 2:37 PM
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? WonYesPolitics	76.4¢ / 100.0¢	$10.3 (4.3%)	$243 · 3	$253 · 4	$0	Nov 2, 2025 6:35 PM
Will New Zealand record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? WonYesSports	94.8¢ / 100.0¢	$9 (5.5%)	$164 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 19, 2026 11:33 AM
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	5.7¢ / 0.0¢	$1.84 (61.5%)	$3 · 1	$4.84 · 1	$0	Sep 23, 2025 12:13 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonYesCulture	29.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.67 (16.9%)	$4 · 1	$4.67 · 1	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? WonNoSports	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.46 (7.5%)	$6.05 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 14, 2025 7:34 AM
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? LostNoPolitics	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.77 (-17.7%)	$10 · 1	$8.23 · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 12:52 AM
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? LostYesCulture	5.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$4.08 (-81.7%)	$5 · 1	$0.92 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:40 AM
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? LostYesSports	76.6¢ / 100.0¢	-$5 (-28.7%)	$17.4 · 1	$12.4 · 1	$0	Feb 16, 2026 8:21 AM
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? LostYesCulture	0.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 23, 2025 8:11 PM
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? LostYesSports	89.0¢ / 24.8¢	-$9.04 (-5.6%)	$161 · 1	$152 · 1	$0	May 27, 2026 1:18 PM
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? LostYesMentions	40.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 12:06 AM
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals? LostNoPolitics	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$11 (-100.0%)	$11 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 14, 2025 7:34 AM
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? LostYesPolitics	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 2, 2025 4:26 PM
Will the fight end in Round 1? LostYesSports	61.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$13.1 (-65.7%)	$20 · 1	$6.86 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 8:37 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? LostNoPolitics	11.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? LostYesMentions	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 12:09 AM
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025? LostYesPolitics	15.0¢ / 0.8¢	-$24.8 (-41.4%)	$60 · 1	$35.2 · 1	$0	Dec 15, 2025 4:30 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? LostYesPolitics	37.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$40 (-100.0%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:20 AM
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? LostYesSports	25.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$55.6 (-55.6%)	$100 · 1	$44.4 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 8:27 PM

					Merge
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 700.00 shares	3.5¢ / 4.8¢	$8.82 (36.0%)	$24.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 9:07 PM
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? YesPolitics 120.00 shares	8.0¢ / 0.5¢	-$9 (-93.8%)	$9.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 11, 2026 7:41 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? WonYesPolitics	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$165 (128.2%)	$129 · 2	$294 · 1	$0	Jul 14, 2025 9:31 PM
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? WonNoCulture	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.6 (38.1%)	$93.6 · 4	$129 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 5:43 PM
Will the fight go the distance? WonNoSports	86.3¢ / 100.0¢	$24.2 (15.8%)	$153 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 12:02 AM
Will anyone say "America" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? WonYesMentions	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (42.9%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 2:37 PM
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? WonYesPolitics	76.4¢ / 100.0¢	$10.3 (4.3%)	$243 · 3	$253 · 4	$0	Nov 2, 2025 6:35 PM
Will New Zealand record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? WonYesSports	94.8¢ / 100.0¢	$9 (5.5%)	$164 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 19, 2026 11:33 AM
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	5.7¢ / 0.0¢	$1.84 (61.5%)	$3 · 1	$4.84 · 1	$0	Sep 23, 2025 12:13 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonYesCulture	29.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.67 (16.9%)	$4 · 1	$4.67 · 1	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? WonNoSports	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.46 (7.5%)	$6.05 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 14, 2025 7:34 AM
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? LostNoPolitics	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.77 (-17.7%)	$10 · 1	$8.23 · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 12:52 AM
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? LostYesCulture	5.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$4.08 (-81.7%)	$5 · 1	$0.92 · 1	$0	Jan 2, 2026 1:40 AM
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? LostYesSports	76.6¢ / 100.0¢	-$5 (-28.7%)	$17.4 · 1	$12.4 · 1	$0	Feb 16, 2026 8:21 AM
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? LostYesCulture	0.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 23, 2025 8:11 PM
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? LostYesSports	89.0¢ / 24.8¢	-$9.04 (-5.6%)	$161 · 1	$152 · 1	$0	May 27, 2026 1:18 PM
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? LostYesMentions	40.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 12:06 AM
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals? LostNoPolitics	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$11 (-100.0%)	$11 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 14, 2025 7:34 AM
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? LostYesPolitics	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$12 (-100.0%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 2, 2025 4:26 PM
Will the fight end in Round 1? LostYesSports	61.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$13.1 (-65.7%)	$20 · 1	$6.86 · 1	$0	Dec 20, 2025 8:37 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? LostNoPolitics	11.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? LostYesMentions	50.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 12:09 AM
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025? LostYesPolitics	15.0¢ / 0.8¢	-$24.8 (-41.4%)	$60 · 1	$35.2 · 1	$0	Dec 15, 2025 4:30 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? LostYesPolitics	37.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$40 (-100.0%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:20 AM
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? LostYesSports	25.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$55.6 (-55.6%)	$100 · 1	$44.4 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 8:27 PM

Carsten16 Polymarket Trader

Carsten16

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Carsten16

Carsten16

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Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

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Buy size distribution

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Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Carsten16

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Trader DNA