| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes 177.16 net shares | 95.0¢ / 96.3¢ | $0.25 (1.3%) | Jun 5, 2026 5:14 PM | |
 ↓ 57,500 Yes 40.00 net shares | 64.7¢ / 26.6¢ | -$9.53 (-58.9%) | Jun 5, 2026 4:49 PM | |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No -1,058.10 net shares | 98.1¢ / 96.0¢ | -$18.5 (-2.2%) | Jun 5, 2026 4:32 PM | |
 Gallrein 9%+ Yes 575.57 net shares | 98.3¢ / 99.7¢ | $25.3 (1.5%) | Jun 5, 2026 12:57 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 4.15 net shares | 73.1¢ / 79.0¢ | $6.93 (8.1%) | Jun 4, 2026 4:14 PM | |
 60+ No -636.60 net shares | 98.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (1.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 4:10 PM | |
 December 31 No 10.18 net shares | 59.0¢ / 58.0¢ | -$0.1 (-1.7%) | May 30, 2026 8:44 PM | |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes 70.62 net shares | 9.1¢ / 10.0¢ | $0.21 (9.4%) | May 30, 2026 6:17 AM | |
 Steve Witkoff Yes 90.20 net shares | 77.8¢ / 37.1¢ | -$18.3 (-52.3%) | May 25, 2026 9:15 PM | |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? Yes 206.37 net shares | 85.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$98.2 (-100.0%) | May 24, 2026 11:19 PM | |
J.D. Vance Yes 291.24 net shares | 73.6¢ / 55.9¢ | -$24.1 (-24.0%) | May 24, 2026 6:28 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 Yes 144.46 net shares | 13.1¢ / 8.0¢ | -$6.38 (-39.1%) | May 21, 2026 3:12 PM | |
 Elon Musk Yes 2,539.01 net shares | 95.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (4.4%) | May 16, 2026 3:52 PM | |
 9 (225 bps) Yes 3,215.25 net shares | 0.3¢ / 0.3¢ | $0 (2.5%) | May 16, 2026 2:57 PM | |
10 (250 bps) Yes 45,978.60 net shares | 0.3¢ / 0.3¢ | -$0.33 (-1.1%) | May 14, 2026 4:17 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 131.60 net shares | 97.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.7%) | May 12, 2026 4:05 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No 0.02 net shares | 97.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.6%) | May 12, 2026 1:46 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 80.00 net shares | 9.6¢ / 6.0¢ | -$2.13 (-37.2%) | May 12, 2026 7:48 AM | |
0 (0 bps) No 43.00 net shares | 58.2¢ / 21.7¢ | -$10.9 (-62.7%) | May 12, 2026 5:30 AM | |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 56.66 net shares | 13.5¢ / 9.0¢ | -$2.56 (-33.4%) | May 12, 2026 2:25 AM | |
 No Meeting before May 11 Yes 0.01 net shares | 95.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (4.5%) | May 10, 2026 5:47 AM | |
May 10 No -216.13 net shares | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (4.0%) | May 9, 2026 1:18 PM | |
 Nothing Ever Happens: April Nothing -12.97 net shares | 97.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.1%) | May 9, 2026 3:37 AM | |
May 9 No 26.98 net shares | 97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.6%) | May 8, 2026 6:55 AM | |
 May 7 No 223.03 net shares | 99.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.6%) | May 7, 2026 3:25 PM |
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