muppet-master Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 88.68 shares	53.0¢ / 59.0¢	$5.32 (11.3%)	$47 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:59 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	55.8¢ / 100.0¢	$115 (70.3%)	$164 · 6	$279 · 1	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:05 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? WonNoPolitics	88.0¢ / 93.0¢	$84.2 (420.8%)	$20 · 2	$104 · 9	$0	Jun 28, 2026 9:56 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? WonNoPolitics	74.3¢ / 100.0¢	$32.9 (22.7%)	$145 · 6	$85.1 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 11:28 AM
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday? WonNoPolitics	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (14.6%)	$167 · 7	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 11:18 AM
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.6 (81.8%)	$26.4 · 1	$48 · 2	$0	Jan 31, 2026 3:39 AM
DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by June 30? WonNoPolitics	— / 90.5¢	$16.2 (11809.1%)	$0	$16.4 · 1	$0	Jun 22, 2026 3:01 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? WonNoPolitics	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.3 (66.7%)	$21.4 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 22, 2026 2:42 PM
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%? WonNoFinance	71.9¢ / 100.0¢	$13.3 (39.1%)	$33.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 24, 2026 11:56 PM
Will the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer? WonNoPolitics	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$12.3 (236.7%)	$5.21 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 25, 2026 2:25 PM
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? WonNoPolitics	65.1¢ / 72.0¢	$8.72 (21.9%)	$39.6 · 2	$48.6 · 2	$0	Jun 27, 2026 11:39 PM
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? WonNoPolitics	72.1¢ / 99.5¢	$5.82 (34.4%)	$16.9 · 1	$22.8 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 9:12 AM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? WonNoPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.71 (53.8%)	$10.6 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 3:36 PM
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.52 (23.7%)	$23.3 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:20 AM
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? WonNoPolitics	— / 0.0¢	$5.22	$0	$5.22 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 8:30 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	82.6¢ / 100.0¢	$4.48 (15.5%)	$29 · 1	$33.5 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.37 (19.0%)	$23 · 1	$27.4 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 12:17 PM
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? WonNoPolitics	61.4¢ / 82.0¢	$4.3 (11.2%)	$37.8 · 3	$42.7 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 8:41 PM
US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.05 (25.0%)	$16.2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 5, 2026 12:16 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (14.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 27, 2026 10:41 AM
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? WonNoPolitics	62.8¢ / 71.0¢	$2.23 (11.4%)	$19.3 · 1	$21.8 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:34 AM
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? WonNoPolitics	70.3¢ / 85.0¢	$2.2 (29.4%)	$7.44 · 1	$9.66 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2026 8:43 AM
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? WonNoPolitics	74.0¢ / 92.0¢	$1.78 (14.9%)	$12 · 1	$13.8 · 1	$0	Jun 25, 2026 7:46 AM
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? WonNoPolitics	83.9¢ / 84.5¢	$1.64 (8.1%)	$20 · 1	$21.9 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 5:23 PM
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 99.7¢	$1.54 (7.7%)	$20 · 1	$21.5 · 4	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:56 PM
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.49 (11.1%)	$13.4 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 3:36 PM

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 88.68 shares	53.0¢ / 59.0¢	$5.32 (11.3%)	$47 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:59 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonNoPolitics	55.8¢ / 100.0¢	$115 (70.3%)	$164 · 6	$279 · 1	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:05 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? WonNoPolitics	88.0¢ / 93.0¢	$84.2 (420.8%)	$20 · 2	$104 · 9	$0	Jun 28, 2026 9:56 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? WonNoPolitics	74.3¢ / 100.0¢	$32.9 (22.7%)	$145 · 6	$85.1 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 11:28 AM
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday? WonNoPolitics	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (14.6%)	$167 · 7	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 11:18 AM
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.6 (81.8%)	$26.4 · 1	$48 · 2	$0	Jan 31, 2026 3:39 AM
DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by June 30? WonNoPolitics	— / 90.5¢	$16.2 (11809.1%)	$0	$16.4 · 1	$0	Jun 22, 2026 3:01 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? WonNoPolitics	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.3 (66.7%)	$21.4 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 22, 2026 2:42 PM
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%? WonNoFinance	71.9¢ / 100.0¢	$13.3 (39.1%)	$33.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 24, 2026 11:56 PM
Will the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer? WonNoPolitics	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$12.3 (236.7%)	$5.21 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 25, 2026 2:25 PM
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? WonNoPolitics	65.1¢ / 72.0¢	$8.72 (21.9%)	$39.6 · 2	$48.6 · 2	$0	Jun 27, 2026 11:39 PM
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? WonNoPolitics	72.1¢ / 99.5¢	$5.82 (34.4%)	$16.9 · 1	$22.8 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 9:12 AM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? WonNoPolitics	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.71 (53.8%)	$10.6 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 3:36 PM
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	80.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.52 (23.7%)	$23.3 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:20 AM
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? WonNoPolitics	— / 0.0¢	$5.22	$0	$5.22 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 8:30 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	82.6¢ / 100.0¢	$4.48 (15.5%)	$29 · 1	$33.5 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.37 (19.0%)	$23 · 1	$27.4 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 12:17 PM
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? WonNoPolitics	61.4¢ / 82.0¢	$4.3 (11.2%)	$37.8 · 3	$42.7 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 8:41 PM
US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.05 (25.0%)	$16.2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 5, 2026 12:16 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (14.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 27, 2026 10:41 AM
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? WonNoPolitics	62.8¢ / 71.0¢	$2.23 (11.4%)	$19.3 · 1	$21.8 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:34 AM
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? WonNoPolitics	70.3¢ / 85.0¢	$2.2 (29.4%)	$7.44 · 1	$9.66 · 1	$0	Jun 27, 2026 8:43 AM
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? WonNoPolitics	74.0¢ / 92.0¢	$1.78 (14.9%)	$12 · 1	$13.8 · 1	$0	Jun 25, 2026 7:46 AM
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? WonNoPolitics	83.9¢ / 84.5¢	$1.64 (8.1%)	$20 · 1	$21.9 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 5:23 PM
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 99.7¢	$1.54 (7.7%)	$20 · 1	$21.5 · 4	$0	Jun 28, 2026 11:56 PM
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.49 (11.1%)	$13.4 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 3:36 PM

muppet-master Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$7.74

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.74

Open$58.3

High$77.7

Low$54.7

Close$66

Open positions4

USD balance$0

2$3.52

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.52

Open$66

High$75.8

Low$62.4

Close$69.5

Open positions4

USD balance$0

3$0.92

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.92

Open$69.5

High$82.6

Low$64.8

Close$70.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0.33

4$6.05

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.05

Open$70.5

High$76.5

Low$61.2

Close$76.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0.33

5-$8.22

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.22

Open$76.5

High$82.3

Low$46.3

Close$68.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$58.6

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$58.6

Open$68.3

High$127

Low$61.1

Close$127

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$23.2

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$23.2

Open$127

High$130

Low$98.4

Close$104

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8$4.5

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.5

Open$104

High$125

Low$98.1

Close$108

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$4.5

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.5

Open$108

High$119

Low$75.7

Close$104

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$21.4

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$21.4

Open$104

High$136

Low$99.2

Close$125

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11-$69.5

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$69.5

Open$125

High$136

Low-$17.5

Close$55.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$58.1

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$58.1

Open$55.5

High$88.1

Low-$39.6

Close-$2.63

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$44

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$44

Open-$2.63

High$7.59

Low-$122

Close-$46.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$196

Jun 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$196

Open-$46.6

High$33

Low-$254

Close-$242

Open positions1

USD balance$0.58

15$4.41

Jun 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.41

Open-$242

High-$238

Low-$244

Close-$238

Open positions1

USD balance$0.06

16$3.29

Jun 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.29

Open-$238

High-$235

Low-$238

Close-$235

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$1.2

Jun 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open-$235

High-$233

Low-$235

Close-$233

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18-$14.9

Jun 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$14.9

Open-$233

High-$233

Low-$248

Close-$248

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$1.42

Jun 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.42

Open-$248

High-$247

Low-$248

Close-$247

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20-$3.33

Jun 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.33

Open-$247

High-$238

Low-$250

Close-$250

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$7.11

Jun 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.11

Open-$250

High-$243

Low-$250

Close-$243

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22$1.42

Jun 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.42

Open-$243

High-$242

Low-$243

Close-$242

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$4.73

Jun 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.73

Open-$242

High-$237

Low-$242

Close-$237

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$12.8

Jun 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$12.8

Open-$237

High-$224

Low-$251

Close-$224

Open positions0

USD balance$47.4

25-$5.32

Jun 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.32

Open-$224

High-$224

Low-$230

Close-$230

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$3.55

Jun 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.55

Open-$230

High-$226

Low-$230

Close-$226

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27$0.89

Jun 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.89

Open-$226

High-$225

Low-$226

Close-$225

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$6.21

Jun 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.21

Open-$225

High-$215

Low-$225

Close-$219

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$4.437D $22.830D -$268

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

68.4%

Profit Factor

0.52x

Avg Win

$9.28

Avg Loss

-$38.5

Total Wins

$241

Total Losses

-$462

Avg. Hold Time

24d 5h 14m 37s

Best Win

$115

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$271

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$99.8, May 25 – May 31

Worst Period

-$360, Jun 10 – Jun 16

Longest Streak

12d W / 7d L

Current Streak

3d W

Max Drawdown

-$377 (-297.3%)

Current DD

-$346 (-272.6%)

Max Runup

$223 (231.9%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

muppet-master

Analytics

Analytics

muppet-master

muppet-master

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

muppet-master

Trader DNA

Trader DNA