Tkakenox Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? YesPolitics 40.00 shares	25.8¢ / 16.0¢	-$3.9 (-37.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:30 AM
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish pa… YesPolitics 436.43 shares	4.8¢ / 1.3¢	-$14.9 (-71.7%)	$20 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:54 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19? WonNoCrypto	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$53.2 (320.4%)	$16.6 · 1	$69.7 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 7:31 PM
Government shutdown on Saturday? WonNoPolitics	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.7 (178.5%)	$20 · 1	$55.7 · 1	$0	Feb 15, 2026 7:10 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? WonYesFinance	60.2¢ / 100.0¢	$22.6 (14.3%)	$158 · 7	$180 · 2	$0	Jan 24, 2026 9:15 AM
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? WonYesFinance	35.0¢ / 0.0¢	$21.1 (100.2%)	$21 · 1	$42 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	61.8¢ / 100.0¢	$16.6 (27.6%)	$60 · 1	$76.6 · 2	$0	Jan 21, 2026 12:10 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (38.3%)	$40 · 1	$55.3 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:43 PM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.8 (256.8%)	$5 · 1	$17.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25? WonYesCrypto	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.2 (127.3%)	$8.8 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 12:51 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21? WonYesCrypto	38.7¢ / 100.0¢	$5.88 (29.4%)	$20 · 1	$25.9 · 2	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:39 PM
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? WonYesPolitics	18.3¢ / 25.0¢	$5.03 (31.2%)	$15 · 1	$21.2 · 1	$0	May 26, 2026 8:02 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.51 (22.5%)	$20 · 1	$24.5 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:23 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3.53 (17.6%)	$20 · 1	$23.5 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 7:12 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February? WonNoFinance	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.25 (16.3%)	$20 · 1	$23.3 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:15 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 19? WonYesCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.23 (16.2%)	$20 · 1	$23.2 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 8:21 PM
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? WonGoldCrypto	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.04 (7.6%)	$40 · 1	$43 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 4:59 AM
S&P 500 all time high by February 20, 2026? WonYesFinance	6.9¢ / 0.0¢	$1.41 (14.1%)	$10 · 2	$11.4 · 1	$0	Feb 22, 2026 3:21 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.03 (1.0%)	$100 · 1	$101 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.3¢ / 91.0¢	$0.08 (0.8%)	$10 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	May 26, 2026 8:36 PM
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in February? LostYesFinance	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.65 (-13.1%)	$5 · 1	$4.35 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:30 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26? LostNoCrypto	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 3:23 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? LostNoFinance	55.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.98 (-5.0%)	$40 · 1	$38 · 1	$0	Mar 21, 2026 7:54 AM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? LostNoPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$2.09 (-10.4%)	$20 · 1	$17.9 · 1	$0	Jan 27, 2026 12:10 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21? LostYesCrypto	44.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.49 (-9.6%)	$26 · 2	$23.5 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:33 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? LostYesPolitics	15.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$3 (-100.0%)	$3 · 3	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:19 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? LostNoPolitics	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$3 (-100.0%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM

					Merge
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? YesPolitics 40.00 shares	25.8¢ / 16.0¢	-$3.9 (-37.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:30 AM
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish pa… YesPolitics 436.43 shares	4.8¢ / 1.3¢	-$14.9 (-71.7%)	$20 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:54 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19? WonNoCrypto	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$53.2 (320.4%)	$16.6 · 1	$69.7 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 7:31 PM
Government shutdown on Saturday? WonNoPolitics	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.7 (178.5%)	$20 · 1	$55.7 · 1	$0	Feb 15, 2026 7:10 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? WonYesFinance	60.2¢ / 100.0¢	$22.6 (14.3%)	$158 · 7	$180 · 2	$0	Jan 24, 2026 9:15 AM
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? WonYesFinance	35.0¢ / 0.0¢	$21.1 (100.2%)	$21 · 1	$42 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	61.8¢ / 100.0¢	$16.6 (27.6%)	$60 · 1	$76.6 · 2	$0	Jan 21, 2026 12:10 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? WonDownFinance	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (38.3%)	$40 · 1	$55.3 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 11:43 PM
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.8 (256.8%)	$5 · 1	$17.8 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25? WonYesCrypto	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.2 (127.3%)	$8.8 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 12:51 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21? WonYesCrypto	38.7¢ / 100.0¢	$5.88 (29.4%)	$20 · 1	$25.9 · 2	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:39 PM
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? WonYesPolitics	18.3¢ / 25.0¢	$5.03 (31.2%)	$15 · 1	$21.2 · 1	$0	May 26, 2026 8:02 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? WonNoCrypto	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.51 (22.5%)	$20 · 1	$24.5 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 7:23 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 0.0¢	$3.53 (17.6%)	$20 · 1	$23.5 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 7:12 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February? WonNoFinance	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.25 (16.3%)	$20 · 1	$23.3 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:15 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 19? WonYesCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.23 (16.2%)	$20 · 1	$23.2 · 1	$0	Jan 19, 2026 8:21 PM
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? WonGoldCrypto	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.04 (7.6%)	$40 · 1	$43 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 4:59 AM
S&P 500 all time high by February 20, 2026? WonYesFinance	6.9¢ / 0.0¢	$1.41 (14.1%)	$10 · 2	$11.4 · 1	$0	Feb 22, 2026 3:21 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.03 (1.0%)	$100 · 1	$101 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.3¢ / 91.0¢	$0.08 (0.8%)	$10 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	May 26, 2026 8:36 PM
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in February? LostYesFinance	17.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.65 (-13.1%)	$5 · 1	$4.35 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:30 AM
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26? LostNoCrypto	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 20, 2026 3:23 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? LostNoFinance	55.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.98 (-5.0%)	$40 · 1	$38 · 1	$0	Mar 21, 2026 7:54 AM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? LostNoPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	-$2.09 (-10.4%)	$20 · 1	$17.9 · 1	$0	Jan 27, 2026 12:10 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21? LostYesCrypto	44.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$2.49 (-9.6%)	$26 · 2	$23.5 · 1	$0	Jan 21, 2026 8:33 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? LostYesPolitics	15.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$3 (-100.0%)	$3 · 3	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:19 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? LostNoPolitics	3.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$3 (-100.0%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM

Tkakenox Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.98

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.98

Open$38.5

High$39.9

Low$38.5

Close$39.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$1.57

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.57

Open$39.5

High$40.3

Low$37.9

Close$37.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$1.69

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.69

Open$37.9

High$40

Low$36.2

Close$36.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$1.12

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.12

Open$36.2

High$38.2

Low$36.2

Close$37.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$2.39

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.39

Open$37.3

High$37.3

Low$34.5

Close$34.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$2.36

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.36

Open$34.9

High$37.8

Low$34.9

Close$37.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0.6

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open$37.3

High$37.3

Low$35.8

Close$36.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$1.32

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.32

Open$36.7

High$36.8

Low$35.4

Close$35.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.44

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.44

Open$35.4

High$35.8

Low$34.5

Close$34.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.95

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.95

Open$34.9

High$35.4

Low$33.4

Close$34

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.66

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.66

Open$34

High$34

Low$32.2

Close$33.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.66

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.66

Open$33.3

High$34.2

Low$33.3

Close$34

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$2.77

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.77

Open$34

High$36.8

Low$32.2

Close$36.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0.68

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.68

Open$36.8

High$36.8

Low$35.5

Close$36.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$1

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1

Open$36.1

High$36.1

Low$35.1

Close$35.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$0.62

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.62

Open$35.1

High$35.7

Low$35.1

Close$35.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$0.4

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$35.7

High$35.7

Low$35.3

Close$35.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$1.72

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.72

Open$35.3

High$35.3

Low$33.6

Close$33.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$0.4

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.4

Open$33.6

High$34

Low$33.6

Close$34

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$34

High$34.4

Low$33.4

Close$34

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.67

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.67

Open$34

High$35.3

Low$33.4

Close$34.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$1.49

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.49

Open$34.6

High$36.1

Low$32.9

Close$36.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$5.24

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.24

Open$36.1

High$36.1

Low$28.5

Close$30.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0.44

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.44

Open$30.9

High$30.9

Low$30.5

Close$30.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.4

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$30.5

High$30.5

Low$30.1

Close$30.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0.96

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.96

Open$30.1

High$31

Low$30.1

Close$31

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$0.4

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$31

High$31

Low$30.6

Close$30.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0.84

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.84

Open$30.6

High$30.6

Low$29.6

Close$29.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30-$0.4

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$29.8

High$29.8

Low$29.4

Close$29.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.247D $0.2230D -$10.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

61.3%

Profit Factor

1.90x

Avg Win

$11.6

Avg Loss

-$9.72

Total Wins

$221

Total Losses

-$117

Avg. Hold Time

9d 23h 27m 17s

Best Win

$53.2

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19?

Worst Loss

-$40

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Period

Best Period

$70.5, Feb 12 – Feb 18

Worst Period

-$58.6, Jan 24 – Jan 30

Longest Streak

4d W / 5d L

Current Streak

3d L

Max Drawdown

-$144 (-108.0%)

Current DD

-$104 (-77.9%)

Max Runup

$121 (1045.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.03(29)

Tkakenox

Analytics

Analytics

Tkakenox

Tkakenox

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Tkakenox

Trader DNA

Trader DNA