Blurry-Ball +$1.47K PnL

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 302.72 shares	12.5¢ / 17.6¢	$15.4 (40.7%)	$37.4 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:57 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 140.00 shares	16.2¢ / 20.1¢	$5.31 (9.6%)	$54.7 · 6	$32.4 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:57 PM
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 110.26 shares	14.6¢ / 38.5¢	$28.7 (64.5%)	$44.1 · 3	$30.8 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:57 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 766.18 shares	85.2¢ / 95.0¢	$74.8 (11.4%)	$649 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:57 PM
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 200.00 shares	12.1¢ / 13.9¢	$3.51 (14.5%)	$24.2 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:57 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? YesFinance 201.00 shares	77.8¢ / 92.7¢	$29.9 (19.1%)	$156 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:53 PM
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? YesWeather 109.89 shares	9.5¢ / 2.0¢	-$8.28 (-79.2%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 2:38 PM
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? NoSports 44.98 shares	80.5¢ / 73.0¢	-$3.36 (-9.3%)	$36 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:47 PM
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? YesTech 21.08 shares	34.1¢ / 2.1¢	-$6.74 (-93.8%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:46 PM
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? YesFinance 114.99 shares	40.3¢ / 69.0¢	$44.5 (41.6%)	$104 · 3	$72 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:40 PM
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? YesFinance 70.66 shares	53.9¢ / 28.0¢	-$18.3 (-48.1%)	$37.4 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:31 PM
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? NoFinance 156.00 shares	91.4¢ / 91.7¢	$0.52 (0.4%)	$142 · 4	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:30 PM
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? YesPolitics 426.67 shares	11.9¢ / 9.0¢	-$12.4 (-23.0%)	$53.9 · 5	$3.08 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:23 PM
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026? YesTech 282.53 shares	89.3¢ / 99.8¢	$29.6 (11.7%)	$251 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 1:14 PM
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 230.92 shares	59.3¢ / 50.0¢	-$21.4 (-15.7%)	$135 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 10:27 AM
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 267.13 shares	91.3¢ / 96.0¢	$12.5 (5.1%)	$243 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 11, 2026 6:06 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? WonNoSports	— / 100.0¢	$457	$0	$0	$0	Jul 10, 2026 11:05 PM
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? WonYesTech	60.9¢ / 100.0¢	$220 (64.1%)	$338 · 7	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 6:42 PM
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026? WonNoTech	72.3¢ / 100.0¢	$156 (38.3%)	$404 · 12	$145 · 1	$0	May 16, 2026 5:03 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonYesTech	82.1¢ / 100.0¢	$141 (10.9%)	$1.28K · 7	$1.43K · 10	$0	May 31, 2026 9:10 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonYesTech	81.8¢ / 100.0¢	$136 (22.2%)	$607 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 7:25 PM
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? WonYesTech	82.7¢ / 100.0¢	$80.8 (20.7%)	$391 · 6	$21.8 · 5	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:51 PM
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? WonYesFinance	60.5¢ / 100.0¢	$76.7 (52.1%)	$144 · 3	$224 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2026 10:33 PM
Will Artemis II launch by April 30? WonYesCulture	92.9¢ / 100.0¢	$76.6 (7.6%)	$1.01K · 13	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 7:30 AM
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? WonNoSports	85.3¢ / 100.0¢	$58.1 (141.4%)	$40.9 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 10, 2026 12:04 AM
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026? WonYesTech	93.2¢ / 100.0¢	$35.9 (7.2%)	$500 · 6	$99.5 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2026 6:19 PM
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonYesTech	88.8¢ / 100.0¢	$31.7 (12.6%)	$250 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026 7:24 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? WonYesTech	90.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.7 (10.2%)	$302 · 4	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:51 PM
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? WonYesTech	85.2¢ / 100.0¢	$28.5 (17.4%)	$163 · 5	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 8:51 PM
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	85.1¢ / 100.0¢	$23.4 (17.5%)	$133 · 5	$0	$0	Jun 27, 2026 7:05 AM
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? WonNoTech	76.3¢ / 100.0¢	$23.4 (25.5%)	$91.6 · 4	$115 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? WonNoTech	78.7¢ / 100.0¢	$21.6 (27.1%)	$79 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 16, 2026 6:06 AM
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	70.3¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (40.4%)	$48 · 3	$68 · 1	$0	Jun 28, 2026 3:33 AM
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? WonNoSports	86.4¢ / 100.0¢	$17.9 (15.8%)	$113 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 7, 2026 8:16 PM
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 WonYesTech	86.1¢ / 100.0¢	$17.8 (12.7%)	$140 · 2	$158 · 1	$0	Apr 2, 2026 4:31 PM
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	83.9¢ / 100.0¢	$17.8 (19.3%)	$92 · 4	$0	$0	Jun 27, 2026 5:46 AM
Claude 4.7 released by May 31? WonYesTech	58.6¢ / 100.0¢	$17 (59.0%)	$28.8 · 2	$44.2 · 3	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:11 PM
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? WonYesSports	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$16.1 (17.6%)	$91 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 16, 2026 7:26 AM
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports	66.7¢ / 100.0¢	$15.4 (50.0%)	$30.6 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 24, 2026 2:56 AM
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$15.2 (47.7%)	$31.6 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2026 4:10 AM
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? WonYesTech	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.1 (4.2%)	$361 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 10:21 PM

Blurry-Ball +$1.47K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$151

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$151

Open$1.03K

High$1.25K

Low$867

Close$1.18K

Open positions17

USD balance$389

2-$145

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$145

Open$1.18K

High$1.2K

Low$1.01K

Close$1.04K

Open positions18

USD balance$147

3$26.9

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$26.9

Open$1.04K

High$1.1K

Low$1.03K

Close$1.06K

Open positions18

USD balance$0.26

4$19

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$19

Open$1.06K

High$1.11K

Low$1.04K

Close$1.08K

Open positions20

USD balance$0

5$20.8

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$20.8

Open$1.08K

High$1.16K

Low$1.05K

Close$1.1K

Open positions19

USD balance$0

6$11.9

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.9

Open$1.1K

High$1.14K

Low$1.08K

Close$1.11K

Open positions18

USD balance$0

7$22.8

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$22.8

Open$1.11K

High$1.16K

Low$978

Close$1.14K

Open positions17

USD balance$0

8$19.1

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$19.1

Open$1.14K

High$1.19K

Low$1.12K

Close$1.16K

Open positions16

USD balance$0

9$16.2

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$16.2

Open$1.16K

High$1.21K

Low$1.14K

Close$1.17K

Open positions16

USD balance$0

10$287

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$287

Open$1.17K

High$1.46K

Low$1.16K

Close$1.46K

Open positions13

USD balance$0

11$13.7

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.7

Open$1.46K

High$1.49K

Low$1.44K

Close$1.47K

Open positions10

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $2557D $36530D $790

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

83.0%

Profit Factor

15.45x

Avg Win

$36

Avg Loss

-$11.3

Total Wins

$1.4K

Total Losses

-$90.8

Avg. Hold Time

24d 8h 20m 58s

Best Win

$253

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Worst Loss

-$206

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Period

Best Period

$517, May 27 – Jun 2

Worst Period

-$295, May 21 – May 27

Longest Streak

9d W / 4d L

Current Streak

9d W

Max Drawdown

-$349 (-68.8%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$1.57K (1571.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.73(82)

Blurry-Ball

Analytics

Analytics

Blurry-Ball

Blurry-Ball

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Blurry-Ball

Trader DNA

Trader DNA