Supernatural Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	82.0¢ / 81.4¢	-$0.59 (-0.7%)	$82 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:30 PM
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House YesPolitics 20.00 shares	54.0¢ / 43.0¢	-$2.2 (-20.4%)	$10.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:28 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? WonNoPolitics	63.7¢ / 100.0¢	$145 (56.9%)	$255 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 10:41 PM
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentar… WonYesPolitics	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$144 (770.9%)	$18.6 · 4	$162 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:43 PM
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics	22.5¢ / 100.0¢	$105 (232.5%)	$45 · 2	$49.6 · 2	$0	Jun 12, 2025 7:03 PM
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? WonYesPolitics	88.8¢ / 100.0¢	$52.7 (12.6%)	$418 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 3:50 PM
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hunga… WonYesPolitics	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$44 (305.4%)	$14.4 · 4	$58.4 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:34 PM
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3? WonYesPolitics	47.7¢ / 100.0¢	$35.1 (79.0%)	$44.4 · 6	$79.5 · 4	$0	Jul 23, 2025 5:19 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round… WonYesPolitics	54.9¢ / 100.0¢	$29.1 (66.3%)	$43.9 · 2	$73 · 3	$0	Jul 23, 2025 6:33 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic… WonNoPolitics	85.1¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (15.0%)	$142 · 9	$123 · 7	$0	Jul 23, 2025 9:09 PM
US military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$20.5 (104.9%)	$19.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 22, 2025 1:31 PM
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? WonYesSports	26.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20.3 (155.8%)	$13 · 4	$33.3 · 2	$0	Jul 14, 2025 12:00 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Ci… WonYesPolitics	31.2¢ / 100.0¢	$16 (128.2%)	$12.5 · 1	$28.5 · 3	$0	Jun 28, 2025 4:53 AM
Another US military action against Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics	29.9¢ / 100.0¢	$14.7 (70.3%)	$20.9 · 5	$35.6 · 5	$0	Jul 1, 2025 7:39 AM
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal? WonNoSports	58.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.7 (71.3%)	$19.3 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 10, 2025 12:40 AM
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democrat… WonYesPolitics	79.7¢ / 100.0¢	$13.6 (24.0%)	$56.6 · 4	$70.2 · 2	$0	Jul 23, 2025 6:28 AM
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup? WonYesSports	43.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (97.7%)	$12.9 · 1	$20.5 · 1	$0	Jun 24, 2025 8:19 AM
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayora… WonYesPolitics	25.0¢ / 0.0¢	$12 (120.0%)	$10 · 6	$22 · 1	$0	Jul 23, 2025 9:15 AM
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary electio… WonYesPolitics	17.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.7 (460.7%)	$2.55 · 1	$14.3 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:28 PM
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (61.3%)	$18.6 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 1:08 AM
UEFA Women’s Euro: Sweden vs. England (To Advance) WonEngland Sports	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8 (66.7%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 1:53 AM
TikTok sale announced in 2025? WonYesTech	36.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.98 (116.7%)	$6.84 · 1	$14.8 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 12:36 AM
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next… WonYesPolitics	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.48 (34.6%)	$21.6 · 1	$29.1 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:34 PM
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian P… WonYesPolitics	25.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.12 (284.8%)	$2.5 · 1	$9.62 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:37 PM
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	8.6¢ / 0.0¢	$6.93 (80.6%)	$8.6 · 7	$15.5 · 1	$0	Apr 3, 2026 11:37 AM
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	86.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.01 (15.4%)	$39 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 28, 2025 4:38 PM
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025? WonYesSports	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.8 (42.6%)	$13.6 · 1	$19.4 · 1	$0	Jul 12, 2025 7:17 PM

					Merge
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	82.0¢ / 81.4¢	-$0.59 (-0.7%)	$82 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:30 PM
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House YesPolitics 20.00 shares	54.0¢ / 43.0¢	-$2.2 (-20.4%)	$10.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:28 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? WonNoPolitics	63.7¢ / 100.0¢	$145 (56.9%)	$255 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 10:41 PM
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentar… WonYesPolitics	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$144 (770.9%)	$18.6 · 4	$162 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:43 PM
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics	22.5¢ / 100.0¢	$105 (232.5%)	$45 · 2	$49.6 · 2	$0	Jun 12, 2025 7:03 PM
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? WonYesPolitics	88.8¢ / 100.0¢	$52.7 (12.6%)	$418 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 3:50 PM
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hunga… WonYesPolitics	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$44 (305.4%)	$14.4 · 4	$58.4 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:34 PM
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3? WonYesPolitics	47.7¢ / 100.0¢	$35.1 (79.0%)	$44.4 · 6	$79.5 · 4	$0	Jul 23, 2025 5:19 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be between 35% and 40% in the first round… WonYesPolitics	54.9¢ / 100.0¢	$29.1 (66.3%)	$43.9 · 2	$73 · 3	$0	Jul 23, 2025 6:33 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic… WonNoPolitics	85.1¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (15.0%)	$142 · 9	$123 · 7	$0	Jul 23, 2025 9:09 PM
US military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics	48.8¢ / 100.0¢	$20.5 (104.9%)	$19.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 22, 2025 1:31 PM
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? WonYesSports	26.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20.3 (155.8%)	$13 · 4	$33.3 · 2	$0	Jul 14, 2025 12:00 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Ci… WonYesPolitics	31.2¢ / 100.0¢	$16 (128.2%)	$12.5 · 1	$28.5 · 3	$0	Jun 28, 2025 4:53 AM
Another US military action against Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics	29.9¢ / 100.0¢	$14.7 (70.3%)	$20.9 · 5	$35.6 · 5	$0	Jul 1, 2025 7:39 AM
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal? WonNoSports	58.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.7 (71.3%)	$19.3 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 10, 2025 12:40 AM
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democrat… WonYesPolitics	79.7¢ / 100.0¢	$13.6 (24.0%)	$56.6 · 4	$70.2 · 2	$0	Jul 23, 2025 6:28 AM
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup? WonYesSports	43.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (97.7%)	$12.9 · 1	$20.5 · 1	$0	Jun 24, 2025 8:19 AM
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayora… WonYesPolitics	25.0¢ / 0.0¢	$12 (120.0%)	$10 · 6	$22 · 1	$0	Jul 23, 2025 9:15 AM
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary electio… WonYesPolitics	17.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.7 (460.7%)	$2.55 · 1	$14.3 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:28 PM
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.4 (61.3%)	$18.6 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 21, 2026 1:08 AM
UEFA Women’s Euro: Sweden vs. England (To Advance) WonEngland Sports	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8 (66.7%)	$12 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 18, 2025 1:53 AM
TikTok sale announced in 2025? WonYesTech	36.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.98 (116.7%)	$6.84 · 1	$14.8 · 1	$0	Dec 26, 2025 12:36 AM
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next… WonYesPolitics	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.48 (34.6%)	$21.6 · 1	$29.1 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:34 PM
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian P… WonYesPolitics	25.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.12 (284.8%)	$2.5 · 1	$9.62 · 1	$0	Apr 18, 2026 10:37 PM
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	8.6¢ / 0.0¢	$6.93 (80.6%)	$8.6 · 7	$15.5 · 1	$0	Apr 3, 2026 11:37 AM
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? WonYesSports	86.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.01 (15.4%)	$39 · 2	$0	$0	Oct 28, 2025 4:38 PM
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025? WonYesSports	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.8 (42.6%)	$13.6 · 1	$19.4 · 1	$0	Jul 12, 2025 7:17 PM

Supernatural Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.44

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.44

Open$102

High$103

Low$102

Close$103

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.39

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.39

Open$103

High$103

Low$102

Close$102

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.39

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open$102

High$103

Low$102

Close$103

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.39

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.39

Open$103

High$103

Low$102

Close$102

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$0.34

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.34

Open$102

High$109

Low$95.7

Close$102

Open positions1

USD balance$526

7$0

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$102

High$103

Low$102

Close$102

Open positions1

USD balance$526

8-$0

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$102

High$103

Low$102

Close$102

Open positions1

USD balance$526

9$0.17

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open$102

High$103

Low$101

Close$103

Open positions2

USD balance$490

10-$2.25

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.25

Open$103

High$103

Low$100

Close$100

Open positions2

USD balance$478

11$9.09

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.09

Open$100

High$116

Low$96

Close$109

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$7.67

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.67

Open$109

High$128

Low$104

Close$117

Open positions2

USD balance$329

13-$20.7

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$20.7

Open$117

High$127

Low$79.6

Close$96.4

Open positions2

USD balance$299

14-$22.5

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$22.5

Open$96.4

High$130

Low$68.6

Close$73.9

Open positions4

USD balance$273

15-$0.99

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.99

Open$73.9

High$96.2

Low$59.4

Close$72.9

Open positions5

USD balance$191

16$24.7

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$24.7

Open$72.9

High$100

Low$58.8

Close$97.5

Open positions5

USD balance$191

17-$18

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$18

Open$97.5

High$97.5

Low$79.3

Close$79.5

Open positions5

USD balance$0

18$62.3

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$62.3

Open$79.5

High$145

Low$63.2

Close$142

Open positions5

USD balance$0.51

19$2.59

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.59

Open$142

High$144

Low$134

Close$144

Open positions5

USD balance$0.51

20-$3.12

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.12

Open$144

High$144

Low$132

Close$141

Open positions2

USD balance$485

21-$6.2

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.2

Open$141

High$141

Low$135

Close$135

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$4

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$135

High$140

Low$134

Close$139

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$1.2

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open$139

High$140

Low$138

Close$140

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$1

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$140

High$141

Low$140

Close$141

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$8.81

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.81

Open$141

High$141

Low$131

Close$132

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$6.61

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.61

Open$132

High$139

Low$132

Close$139

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$2.61

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.61

Open$139

High$139

Low$135

Close$136

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$5

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$136

High$141

Low$135

Close$141

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2

Open$141

High$141

Low$139

Close$139

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$3.61

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.61

Open$139

High$147

Low$137

Close$143

Open positions2

USD balance$0

31-$0

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$143

High$143

Low$143

Close$143

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $6.347D $2.230D $41

Markets

101

Won

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

53.1%

Profit Factor

1.26x

Avg Win

$16.4

Avg Loss

-$14.8

Total Wins

$835

Total Losses

-$665

Avg. Hold Time

98d 3h 2m 46s

Best Win

$145

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Worst Loss

-$181

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Period

Best Period

$282, Apr 7 – Apr 13

Worst Period

-$79.8, May 23 – May 29

Longest Streak

4d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$223 (-75.4%)

Current DD

-$153 (-51.6%)

Max Runup

$283 (2218.8%)

Rebates

Rewards

$2.96(2)

Yield

$0.11(109)

Supernatural

Analytics

Supernatural

Analytics

Supernatural

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Supernatural

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA