Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

The New York City mayoral general election is scheduled to occur on November 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani wins over 50% of the votes cast in the general election for Mayor of New York City in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no general election for Mayor of New York City occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City Board of Elections, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.