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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin… NoPolitics 0.93 shares | 91.2¢ / 86.8¢ | $0.68 (0.1%) | $658 · 3 | $658 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 2:39 AM | |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 0.72 shares | 4.1¢ / 1.6¢ | $1.01 (0.9%) | $112 · 3 | $113 · 5 | $0 | Jul 24, 2026 7:40 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 44.0¢ / 0.1¢ | $18 (11.7%) | $154 · 5 | $172 · 3 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:24 AM | |
78.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.96 (5.1%) | $116 · 3 | $122 · 1 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:26 AM | ||
51.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.85 (4.8%) | $123 · 2 | $128 · 4 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:26 AM | ||
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? WonNoPolitics | 10.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.57 (47.5%) | $11.7 · 1 | $17.3 · 1 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 12:36 AM | |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 2.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.52 (23.8%) | $14.8 · 2 | $18.3 · 8 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 8:29 PM | |
69.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.35 (43.9%) | $7.64 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 30, 2025 7:33 AM | ||
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9? WonNoPolitics | 94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.18 (3.4%) | $93.1 · 2 | $96.2 · 1 | $0 | Jun 10, 2026 8:09 AM | |
5.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.07 (64.8%) | $4.73 · 6 | $7.8 · 9 | $0 | Nov 20, 2025 1:50 PM | ||
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 85.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $1.9 (2.4%) | $80.8 · 1 | $82.7 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 4:47 AM | |
56.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.28 (1.1%) | $120 · 1 | $121 · 1 | $0 | May 4, 2026 8:22 PM | ||
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 3.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.18 (15.6%) | $7.55 · 1 | $8.73 · 4 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 1:24 PM | |
 Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February? WonNoEconomics | 94.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.94 (6.3%) | $15.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 13, 2025 3:38 AM | |
95.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.8 (4.9%) | $16.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 15, 2025 9:15 AM | ||
97.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.55 (2.4%) | $23.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 10, 2025 4:29 AM | ||
 Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? WonNoMentions | 97.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.52 (3.0%) | $17.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 28, 2025 8:15 AM | |
95.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.44 (4.6%) | $9.56 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 20, 2025 4:12 PM | ||
97.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.38 (1.6%) | $23.3 · 1 | $23.7 · 1 | $0 | Jun 4, 2025 2:41 AM | ||
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? WonNoPolitics | 98.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.34 (1.5%) | $22.6 · 1 | $22.9 · 1 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 11:18 AM | |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? WonNoCulture | 98.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.34 (1.9%) | $17.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 15, 2025 7:07 AM | |
90.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.34 (2.3%) | $14.5 · 1 | $10.8 · 1 | $0 | Nov 14, 2025 3:10 AM | ||
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21? WonNoMentions | 98.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.27 (1.6%) | $16.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 22, 2025 12:38 PM | |
96.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.23 (1.2%) | $18.3 · 1 | $18.5 · 1 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 8:08 AM | ||
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14? WonNoMentions | 98.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.22 (1.4%) | $15.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 4:42 AM | |
51.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.14 (1.4%) | $9.7 · 1 | $9.84 · 1 | $0 | May 4, 2026 8:21 PM | ||
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 92.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.13 (0.5%) | $23.1 · 1 | $23.3 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:40 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
117
Won
52
Lost
34
Win Rate
60.5%
Profit Factor
4.66x
Avg Win
$1.15
Avg Loss
-$0.38
Total Wins
$59.7
Total Losses
-$12.8
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
