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![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 250.00 shares | 42.3¢ / 45.0¢ | $38.8 (8.0%) | $487 · 4 | $413 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:13 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 50.00 shares | 49.5¢ / 66.7¢ | $17.7 (21.0%) | $84.2 · 2 | $68.5 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:10 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 50.00 shares | 55.4¢ / 44.0¢ | -$12.6 (-13.4%) | $94.2 · 2 | $59.6 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:06 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 44.0¢ / 42.0¢ | -$4 (-4.5%) | $88 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:05 AM | |
Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $139? YesFinance 61.57 shares | 50.2¢ / 43.0¢ | -$3.61 (-5.0%) | $71.4 · 5 | $21.7 · 4 | $20.5 | Jul 29, 2026 2:03 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 145.00 shares | 13.3¢ / 11.0¢ | -$3.35 (-17.4%) | $19.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:00 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 60.00 shares | 43.0¢ / 42.0¢ | -$13.2 (-5.0%) | $262 · 7 | $224 · 11 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:59 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 270.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $5.4 (2.4%) | $230 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:54 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 60.2¢ / 67.0¢ | $12.5 (8.3%) | $151 · 2 | $29 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:54 AM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 70.5¢ / 68.0¢ | -$5 (-3.5%) | $141 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:43 AM | |
Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $137.5? YesFinance 50.00 shares | 54.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$27 (-100.0%) | $27 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:28 AM | |
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2… NoPolitics 20.00 shares | 49.8¢ / 58.0¢ | $32.6 (22.2%) | $147 · 4 | $168 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:56 AM | |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by A… NoPolitics 40.00 shares | 61.0¢ / 51.5¢ | -$3.2 (-5.3%) | $61 · 2 | $37.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:55 AM | |
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD? NoFinance 22.00 shares | 72.8¢ / 72.0¢ | -$0.18 (-1.1%) | $15.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:48 AM | |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? YesPolitics 415.00 shares | 12.3¢ / 9.7¢ | -$11.1 (-21.7%) | $51.3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:42 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? NoPolitics 270.00 shares | 16.7¢ / 16.0¢ | -$4.7 (-7.6%) | $61.9 · 2 | $14 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:34 AM | |
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD? NoFinance 20.00 shares | 71.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$14.2 (-100.0%) | $14.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? NoPolitics 249.99 shares | 55.2¢ / 55.0¢ | -$18.8 (-2.8%) | $662 · 5 | $506 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:26 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? NoPolitics 415.00 shares | 73.2¢ / 79.0¢ | $24.2 (8.0%) | $304 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:26 AM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 1,120.08 shares | 59.7¢ / 68.6¢ | $115 (2.3%) | $5.05K · 85 | $4.35K · 65 | $42.5 | Jul 29, 2026 12:17 AM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by Sept… YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 0.5¢ / 0.6¢ | $0.2 (20.0%) | $1 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:16 AM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30,… YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 25.4¢ / 9.9¢ | -$31 (-61.0%) | $50.8 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:10 AM | |
![]() Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 202… YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 10.7¢ / 30.6¢ | $39.8 (186.0%) | $21.4 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:08 AM | |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s L… YesTech 30.00 shares | 17.1¢ / 9.0¢ | $6.09 (44.5%) | $12.8 · 1 | $17.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:06 AM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September… YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 29.2¢ / 24.8¢ | -$8.95 (-15.3%) | $58.5 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:49 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? WonYesSports | 17.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3K (454.1%) | $645 · 10 | $27.5 · 2 | $0 | Jun 25, 2026 10:16 PM | |
![]() Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? WonNoPolitics | 48.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.53K (47.7%) | $3.21K · 50 | $4.74K · 31 | $0 | Feb 15, 2026 7:16 AM | |
![]() Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 16.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.01K (177.9%) | $567 · 24 | $1.58K · 22 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 37.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $940 (143.5%) | $655 · 16 | $1.6K · 12 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 64.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $857 (12.8%) | $6.71K · 84 | $7.54K · 77 | $25 | Feb 14, 2026 7:03 AM | |
22.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $851 (21.4%) | $3.97K · 100 | $4.82K · 99 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:41 AM | ||
59.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $844 (18.0%) | $4.7K · 80 | $5.54K · 69 | $0 | Apr 26, 2026 10:15 PM | ||
![]() Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? WonYesPolitics | 29.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $709 (76.3%) | $929 · 30 | $1.64K · 32 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 11:38 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 66.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $651 (9.2%) | $7.1K · 71 | $7.69K · 97 | $63 | Jun 21, 2026 1:39 PM | |
![]() Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 43.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $597 (100.5%) | $594 · 29 | $1.19K · 25 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 9:21 AM | |
![]() Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 69.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $586 (13.4%) | $4.36K · 25 | $4.55K · 35 | $400 | Feb 16, 2026 7:49 AM | |
![]() Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 70.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $522 (2.9%) | $18K · 485 | $18.5K · 429 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 8:33 AM | |
21.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $507 (18.3%) | $2.77K · 367 | $3.28K · 142 | $0 | Feb 9, 2026 8:01 AM | ||
83.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $501 (17.4%) | $2.88K · 29 | $3.38K · 16 | $0 | Feb 17, 2026 3:41 PM | ||
48.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $478 (103.8%) | $458 · 16 | $938 · 2 | $0 | Jul 3, 2026 11:04 PM | ||
52.9¢ / 78.3¢ | $461 (5.4%) | $8.5K · 100 | $8.97K · 72 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:04 AM | ||
70.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $447 (36.7%) | $1.22K · 15 | $1.66K · 18 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 3:07 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 82.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $442 (3.9%) | $11.4K · 69 | $11.9K · 78 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:18 AM | |
53.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $422 (54.0%) | $781 · 25 | $1.2K · 19 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:55 AM | ||
19.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $396 (66.3%) | $597 · 22 | $735 · 17 | $259 | Jun 2, 2026 5:25 PM | ||
40.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $395 (27.9%) | $1.42K · 40 | $1.81K · 32 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 10:57 AM | ||
![]() Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 68.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $384 (16.7%) | $2.31K · 32 | $2.64K · 28 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 12:38 AM | |
![]() Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? WonYesPolitics | 29.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $375 (62.1%) | $603 · 37 | $978 · 19 | $0 | May 31, 2026 7:58 AM | |
24.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $373 (302.3%) | $124 · 10 | $497 · 2 | $0 | Jul 8, 2026 12:59 AM | ||
34.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $370 (54.7%) | $676 · 24 | $1.02K · 17 | $25 | May 1, 2026 6:47 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
1133
Won
673
Lost
295
Win Rate
69.5%
Profit Factor
2.88x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
-$47.6
Total Wins
$40.4K
Total Losses
-$14K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield