| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -157.89 net shares | 40.6¢ / 84.0¢ | $0 (107.0%) | Jun 4, 2026 5:07 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 490.62 net shares | 36.6¢ / 27.0¢ | -$20.7 (-26.3%) | May 26, 2026 5:18 AM | |
 December 31 No 289.77 net shares | 41.4¢ / 45.0¢ | $6.2 (8.7%) | May 21, 2026 7:14 PM | |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 36.9¢ / 97.3¢ | $0 (163.5%) | May 7, 2026 3:28 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -76.32 net shares | 26.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.01 (279.6%) | May 5, 2026 11:34 AM | |
 December 31 No 191.61 net shares | 52.2¢ / 64.0¢ | $13.2 (22.6%) | Apr 30, 2026 6:22 AM | |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 142.01 net shares | 57.3¢ / 62.0¢ | $0 (8.1%) | Apr 30, 2026 6:22 AM | |
 December 31, 2026 No -96.86 net shares | 56.8¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (58.5%) | Apr 25, 2026 5:07 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -60.34 net shares | 58.0¢ / 99.4¢ | $0 (71.4%) | Apr 25, 2026 4:39 PM | |
 Nicolás Maduro Yes 0.02 net shares | 59.7¢ / 71.4¢ | $0 (19.6%) | Apr 20, 2026 6:26 AM | |
Delcy Rodríguez Yes 0.00 net shares | 59.4¢ / 16.0¢ | -$0 (-73.0%) | Apr 18, 2026 3:18 AM | |
Nicolás Maduro No 0.01 net shares | 59.4¢ / 27.5¢ | -$0 (-53.7%) | Apr 16, 2026 7:32 AM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -55.70 net shares | 65.8¢ / 56.0¢ | -$0 (-14.9%) | Apr 16, 2026 7:25 AM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 32.33 net shares | 65.7¢ / 84.0¢ | $5.91 (27.8%) | Mar 21, 2026 10:15 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 0.01 net shares | 65.0¢ / 83.0¢ | $0 (27.7%) | Mar 14, 2026 2:48 PM | |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 72.1¢ / 87.0¢ | $0 (20.7%) | Mar 11, 2026 11:30 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 120.94 net shares | 53.4¢ / 1.0¢ | -$63.4 (-98.1%) | Feb 13, 2026 10:45 AM | |
 China invades Taiwan No 0.01 net shares | 49.0¢ / 50.0¢ | $0 (2.0%) | Jan 9, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 No meeting before 2027 Yes 235.70 net shares | 59.4¢ / 81.0¢ | $25.5 (36.4%) | Dec 29, 2025 5:00 PM | |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No 0.01 net shares | 59.0¢ / 84.0¢ | $0 (42.4%) | Dec 15, 2025 9:25 AM | |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 79.65 net shares | 65.3¢ / 88.0¢ | $18.1 (34.8%) | Dec 4, 2025 9:53 AM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 102.10 net shares | 58.8¢ / 85.0¢ | $26.8 (44.6%) | Dec 4, 2025 9:53 AM | |
No meeting by June 30 Yes 0.01 net shares | 17.4¢ / 98.9¢ | $0.01 (467.8%) | Nov 19, 2025 3:33 PM | |
— / 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
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