hgreyf Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet… YesPolitics 150.00 shares	0.1¢ / 0.1¢	$0 (0.0%)	$0.15 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:00 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? WonYesPolitics	11.9¢ / 6.0¢	$70.6 (164.8%)	$41.9 · 2	$28.5 · 1	$85	Jul 29, 2026 3:29 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonNoTech	16.6¢ / 0.0¢	$13.6 (40.8%)	$33.2 · 1	$24.8 · 2	$21.9	Jun 30, 2026 7:26 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elect… WonYesPolitics	45.0¢ / 64.0¢	$4.55 (10.1%)	$45 · 1	$2.1 · 1	$47.5	Jul 29, 2026 8:02 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	70.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.99 (39.9%)	$9.89 · 1	$14 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 8:01 AM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonNoPolitics	77.7¢ / 73.0¢	$2.63 (1.9%)	$136 · 1	$139 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:42 AM
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? WonYesPolitics	2.9¢ / 0.3¢	$2.6 (69.0%)	$3.77 · 1	$6.37 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:03 AM
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight,… WonChristian Leroy DuncanSports	81.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (23.2%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 22, 2026 6:59 PM
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group… WonTheMongolzSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.22 (11.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	75.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (32.6%)	$4.91 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:54 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.08 (54.2%)	$1.97 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 22, 2026 6:59 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (5.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	16.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.88 (3.0%)	$28.7 · 1	$29.6 · 1	$0	Jul 15, 2026 12:13 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.8 (0.8%)	$99.2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
BMW Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Max Hans Rehberg WonVitaliy SachkoSports	88.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.66 (13.2%)	$4.98 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (6.4%)	$9.39 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 7:59 PM
Clippers vs. Bucks WonClippersSports	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.51 (5.4%)	$9.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (9.9%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 10:00 AM
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage WonNRGSports	75.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.48 (32.3%)	$1.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 12, 2026 10:51 AM
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 WonKT RolsterSports	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.48 (5.1%)	$9.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (2.2%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.41 (20.5%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 10:37 AM
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs WonVitalitySports	85.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.34 (17.1%)	$1.99 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13? WonNoWeather	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (0.5%)	$65.5 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? WonNoMentions	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (0.5%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:43 PM
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs WonTundra EsportsSports	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (3.1%)	$9.7 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 28, 2026 6:26 PM

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet… YesPolitics 150.00 shares	0.1¢ / 0.1¢	$0 (0.0%)	$0.15 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:00 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? WonYesPolitics	11.9¢ / 6.0¢	$70.6 (164.8%)	$41.9 · 2	$28.5 · 1	$85	Jul 29, 2026 3:29 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? WonNoTech	16.6¢ / 0.0¢	$13.6 (40.8%)	$33.2 · 1	$24.8 · 2	$21.9	Jun 30, 2026 7:26 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elect… WonYesPolitics	45.0¢ / 64.0¢	$4.55 (10.1%)	$45 · 1	$2.1 · 1	$47.5	Jul 29, 2026 8:02 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET WonDownCrypto	70.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.99 (39.9%)	$9.89 · 1	$14 · 1	$0	Mar 18, 2026 8:01 AM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonNoPolitics	77.7¢ / 73.0¢	$2.63 (1.9%)	$136 · 1	$139 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:42 AM
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? WonYesPolitics	2.9¢ / 0.3¢	$2.6 (69.0%)	$3.77 · 1	$6.37 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:03 AM
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight,… WonChristian Leroy DuncanSports	81.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.32 (23.2%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 22, 2026 6:59 PM
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group… WonTheMongolzSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.22 (11.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET WonUpCrypto	75.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (32.6%)	$4.91 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:54 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.08 (54.2%)	$1.97 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 22, 2026 6:59 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (5.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	16.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.88 (3.0%)	$28.7 · 1	$29.6 · 1	$0	Jul 15, 2026 12:13 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.8 (0.8%)	$99.2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
BMW Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Max Hans Rehberg WonVitaliy SachkoSports	88.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.66 (13.2%)	$4.98 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (6.4%)	$9.39 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 21, 2026 7:59 PM
Clippers vs. Bucks WonClippersSports	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.51 (5.4%)	$9.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 4, 2026 9:24 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (9.9%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	May 15, 2026 10:00 AM
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage WonNRGSports	75.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.48 (32.3%)	$1.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 12, 2026 10:51 AM
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 WonKT RolsterSports	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.48 (5.1%)	$9.49 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (2.2%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.41 (20.5%)	$2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 10:37 AM
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs WonVitalitySports	85.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.34 (17.1%)	$1.99 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13? WonNoWeather	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.33 (0.5%)	$65.5 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 21, 2026 8:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? WonNoMentions	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (0.5%)	$60 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 7:43 PM
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs WonTundra EsportsSports	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.3 (3.1%)	$9.7 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 28, 2026 6:26 PM

hgreyf Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$1.66

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.66

Open-$83.3

High-$83.2

Low-$84.9

Close-$84.9

Open positions1

USD balance$43.4

2$0.8

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.8

Open-$84.9

High-$83.1

Low-$86.3

Close-$84.1

Open positions1

USD balance$43.4

3-$0.08

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open-$84.1

High-$83.9

Low-$87

Close-$84.2

Open positions4

USD balance$0.33

4-$0.11

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$84.2

High-$83.9

Low-$86.1

Close-$84.3

Open positions2

USD balance$156

5-$0.2

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open-$84.3

High-$84.1

Low-$84.7

Close-$84.5

Open positions2

USD balance$156

6-$0.01

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open-$84.5

High-$84.1

Low-$84.8

Close-$84.5

Open positions2

USD balance$156

7$0.12

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open-$84.5

High-$84.2

Low-$84.9

Close-$84.4

Open positions2

USD balance$156

8-$0.82

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.82

Open-$84.4

High-$84

Low-$85.3

Close-$85.2

Open positions3

USD balance$139

9-$1.5

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.5

Open-$85.2

High-$85.1

Low-$87.6

Close-$86.7

Open positions3

USD balance$139

10$0.33

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$86.7

High-$85.7

Low-$87.7

Close-$86.4

Open positions3

USD balance$139

11$0.59

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$86.4

High-$85.8

Low-$87.9

Close-$85.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12-$0.22

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open-$85.8

High-$85.7

Low-$87.9

Close-$86

Open positions5

USD balance$126

13-$0.2

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open-$86

High-$85

Low-$87.7

Close-$86.2

Open positions5

USD balance$6.48

14-$0.47

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.47

Open-$86.2

High-$85.2

Low-$87.2

Close-$86.7

Open positions4

USD balance$15.5

15$0.22

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open-$86.7

High-$84.1

Low-$87.6

Close-$86.5

Open positions4

USD balance$15.5

16-$0.21

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.21

Open-$86.5

High-$85.7

Low-$88.2

Close-$86.7

Open positions4

USD balance$15.5

17$0.61

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$86.7

High-$85.3

Low-$87.1

Close-$86.1

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18-$0.48

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.48

Open-$86.1

High-$85

Low-$87.6

Close-$86.6

Open positions5

USD balance$124

19$0.78

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.78

Open-$86.6

High-$85.7

Low-$87.2

Close-$85.8

Open positions4

USD balance$130

20-$0.09

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open-$85.8

High-$85.7

Low-$86.6

Close-$85.9

Open positions4

USD balance$130

21-$0.72

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.72

Open-$85.9

High-$85.7

Low-$86.6

Close-$86.6

Open positions2

USD balance$146

22$0.75

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.75

Open-$86.6

High-$85.7

Low-$86.6

Close-$85.8

Open positions1

USD balance$156

23-$0.74

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open-$85.8

High-$85.7

Low-$86.8

Close-$86.6

Open positions1

USD balance$156

24$0.74

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.74

Open-$86.6

High-$85.7

Low-$86.7

Close-$85.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25-$1.05

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.05

Open-$85.8

High-$85.7

Low-$87.6

Close-$86.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$1.2

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open-$86.9

High-$85.7

Low-$87.6

Close-$85.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$0.15

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$85.7

High-$85.5

Low-$85.7

Close-$85.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$0.15

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.15

Open-$85.5

High-$85.5

Low-$85.7

Close-$85.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D $0.1530D -$0.76

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

89.7%

Profit Factor

4.24x

Avg Win

$0.41

Avg Loss

-$0.85

Total Wins

$25.2

Total Losses

-$5.95

Avg. Hold Time

8d 6h 39m 14s

Best Win

$3.99

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Worst Loss

-$100

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?

Period

Best Period

$4.8, Mar 29 – Apr 4

Worst Period

-$2.52, Jul 3 – Jul 9

Longest Streak

6d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$6.6 (-8.2%)

Current DD

-$5.4 (-6.7%)

Max Runup

$15.7 (16.4%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.06(5)

hgreyf

Analytics

Analytics

hgreyf

hgreyf

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

hgreyf

Trader DNA

Trader DNA