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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? NoPolitics 21.68 shares | 41.1¢ / 48.0¢ | $1.51 (16.9%) | $8.9 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:52 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 7.22 shares | 56.8¢ / 99.6¢ | $3.09 (75.4%) | $4.1 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:52 PM | |
![]() Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YesPolitics 12.07 shares | 70.4¢ / 78.3¢ | $0.95 (11.2%) | $8.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:47 PM | |
![]() Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? NoCulture 10.00 shares | 66.5¢ / 89.0¢ | $2.25 (33.8%) | $6.65 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:39 PM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? YesPolitics 15.00 shares | 6.3¢ / 5.6¢ | -$0.1 (-11.1%) | $0.94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:38 PM | |
![]() Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Aw… YesCulture 5.00 shares | 14.0¢ / 15.0¢ | $0.05 (7.1%) | $0.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:32 PM | |
![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 3.23 shares | 31.0¢ / 19.2¢ | -$0.38 (-38.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:29 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 12.08 shares | 36.8¢ / 45.0¢ | $0.99 (22.2%) | $4.45 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:28 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? YesPolitics 18.23 shares | 30.5¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0.81 (-14.6%) | $5.55 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:02 PM | |
![]() Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? YesCulture 17.13 shares | 32.7¢ / 81.3¢ | $8.32 (148.6%) | $5.6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:56 PM | |
![]() Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 11.11 shares | 18.0¢ / 11.7¢ | -$0.7 (-35.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:16 PM | |
![]() Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 1.83 shares | 55.5¢ / 59.0¢ | $0.15 (7.2%) | $2 · 1 | $1.09 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:09 AM | |
![]() Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? NoPolitics 12.00 shares | 40.4¢ / 88.0¢ | $9.95 (98.5%) | $10.1 · 3 | $9.49 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:41 PM | |
![]() No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 84.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.01 (19.0%) | $0.07 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 10:24 AM |
1–14
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? WonNoPolitics | 25.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $28.5 (295.6%) | $9.65 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 10:34 AM | |
30.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $19.6 (211.5%) | $9.26 · 7 | $28.8 · 2 | $0 | Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM | ||
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? WonNoPolitics | 35.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $16.1 (182.5%) | $8.85 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:17 AM | |
![]() Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 39.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.4 (146.9%) | $9.8 · 6 | $24.2 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:22 AM | |
43.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.6 (128.5%) | $8.28 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 5:21 PM | ||
![]() Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? WonNoPolitics | 19.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.72 (408.3%) | $2.38 · 2 | $12.1 · 2 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 7:58 AM | |
![]() Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports | 23.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.45 (166.8%) | $5.06 · 3 | $13.5 · 2 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM | |
![]() Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 47.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.49 (104.0%) | $7.2 · 5 | $14.7 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:27 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? WonNoPolitics | 33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.7 (203.0%) | $3.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 16, 2025 8:21 AM | |
60.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.2 (57.5%) | $9.05 · 3 | $14.3 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:52 AM | ||
![]() Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonNoPolitics | 52.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.17 (77.2%) | $6.69 · 6 | $11.9 · 2 | $0 | Apr 24, 2025 1:00 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? WonNoPolitics | 56.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.09 (78.3%) | $6.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2025 12:48 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 37.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.59 (163.8%) | $2.8 · 2 | $7.39 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | |
41.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.46 (42.6%) | $10.5 · 4 | $14.9 · 2 | $0 | Dec 23, 2025 1:37 AM | ||
49.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.89 (101.1%) | $3.85 · 3 | $7.73 · 2 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 7:21 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 62.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.75 (60.0%) | $6.25 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:27 AM | |
![]() Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first? WonLowerPolitics | 26.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.85 (284.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 13, 2025 5:22 AM | |
![]() U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 40.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.7 (135.0%) | $2 · 1 | $4.7 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:06 AM | |
48.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.6 (108.3%) | $2.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 11, 2025 9:24 PM | ||
![]() Trump approval Up or Down this week? WonDownPolitics | 45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.3 (122.2%) | $1.88 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 28, 2025 6:18 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 82.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.27 (21.7%) | $10.5 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:20 PM | |
![]() U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4? WonNoPolitics | 66.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.26 (51.5%) | $4.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 5, 2026 4:33 PM | |
45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.25 (100.0%) | $2.25 · 1 | $4.5 · 1 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
![]() Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May? WonYesPolitics | 14.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.25 (80.4%) | $2.8 · 1 | $5.05 · 5 | $0 | May 1, 2025 7:55 AM | |
![]() Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 56.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.91 (63.7%) | $3 · 2 | $4.9 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 7:46 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
144
Won
55
Lost
69
Win Rate
44.4%
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$3.55
Avg Loss
-$2.78
Total Wins
$195
Total Losses
-$192
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rewards
Yield