| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 24.00 net shares | 81.0¢ / 86.0¢ | $0.6 (6.2%) | Apr 27, 2026 6:49 AM | |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 20.00 net shares | 19.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$0.5 (-26.3%) | Apr 27, 2026 6:48 AM | |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes 16.00 net shares | 79.6¢ / 95.9¢ | $1.3 (20.5%) | Apr 24, 2026 11:34 PM | |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No 14.00 net shares | 89.2¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.34 (3.1%) | Apr 24, 2026 11:34 PM | |
 Japan No 12.00 net shares | 79.0¢ / 83.0¢ | $0.52 (5.1%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:22 PM | |
Japan Yes 24.00 net shares | 21.0¢ / 17.0¢ | -$0.92 (-19.0%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:21 PM | |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 10.00 net shares | 57.7¢ / 53.6¢ | -$0.2 (-7.1%) | Apr 22, 2026 11:21 PM | |
 Italy No -34.00 net shares | — / 84.0¢ | $27.3 | Apr 17, 2026 4:18 PM | |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No 10.00 net shares | 88.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.1 (2.3%) | Apr 15, 2026 3:51 PM | |
 United States Yes 22.00 net shares | 9.0¢ / 5.0¢ | -$0.88 (-44.4%) | Apr 11, 2026 9:12 AM | |
 December 31 No 11.00 net shares | 72.0¢ / 83.5¢ | $1.26 (15.9%) | Mar 28, 2026 7:02 PM | |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency? No 16.00 net shares | 69.0¢ / 68.0¢ | -$0.16 (-1.4%) | Mar 28, 2026 7:02 PM | |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No 16.00 net shares | 61.0¢ / 37.0¢ | -$3.84 (-39.3%) | Mar 28, 2026 7:02 PM | |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 7.00 net shares | 59.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $0.1 (16.9%) | Mar 28, 2026 7:02 PM | |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No 12.00 net shares | 30.7¢ / 32.3¢ | $0.08 (5.2%) | Mar 26, 2026 7:00 PM | |
 No meeting before 2027 No 70.00 net shares | 23.0¢ / 21.0¢ | -$0.12 (-8.7%) | Mar 24, 2026 5:02 PM | |
 4 (100 bps) Yes 36.00 net shares | 5.8¢ / 1.0¢ | -$0.86 (-82.8%) | Mar 16, 2026 6:18 PM | |
— / 95.2¢ | $0 | — | ||
 Belgium Yes | — / 29.0¢ | $0 | — | |
— / 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
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