| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 363.64 net shares | 55.0¢ / 54.0¢ | -$1.82 (-1.8%) | May 13, 2026 5:10 AM | |
 December 31 No 192.22 net shares | 67.6¢ / 64.0¢ | -$3.49 (-5.4%) | May 12, 2026 5:31 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 138.31 net shares | 31.4¢ / 93.0¢ | $57.7 (196.1%) | May 12, 2026 3:27 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -181.80 net shares | 11.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0 (-9.1%) | May 12, 2026 3:26 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No -174.00 net shares | 18.0¢ / 26.0¢ | $0 (44.8%) | May 10, 2026 10:39 AM | |
 December 31 No 340.00 net shares | 63.0¢ / 61.0¢ | -$3.4 (-3.2%) | May 2, 2026 7:58 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 268.66 net shares | 67.0¢ / 72.0¢ | $6.72 (7.5%) | Apr 26, 2026 8:17 AM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.01 net shares | 71.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (40.7%) | Apr 26, 2026 8:16 AM | |
June 30, 2026 No 160.71 net shares | 56.0¢ / 65.7¢ | $7.79 (17.3%) | Apr 22, 2026 1:53 PM | |
 Raphaël Glucksmann Yes 0.02 net shares | 2.2¢ / 2.5¢ | $0 (11.3%) | Apr 22, 2026 1:52 PM | |
 May 31 No 275.86 net shares | 58.0¢ / 86.0¢ | $38.6 (48.3%) | Apr 22, 2026 8:57 AM | |
 April 21 No -19.99 net shares | 22.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.01 (353.5%) | Apr 21, 2026 6:52 PM | |
 June 30 No -67.78 net shares | 59.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (52.5%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:58 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán out in 2026? Yes 0.01 net shares | 63.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (58.8%) | Apr 13, 2026 7:41 AM | |
 May 31 No 131.45 net shares | 45.6¢ / 85.0¢ | $51.7 (86.2%) | Apr 10, 2026 6:55 AM | |
 December 31 No 598.17 net shares | 28.4¢ / 71.0¢ | $255 (149.8%) | Mar 26, 2026 1:54 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 0.00 net shares | 70.8¢ / 90.9¢ | $0 (28.5%) | Feb 14, 2026 8:59 AM |
1–17
