el-jefe-the-1st Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? NoSports 5.00 shares	57.0¢ / 15.3¢	-$2.08 (-73.1%)	$2.85 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:57 PM
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? YesSports 50.00 shares	26.0¢ / 1.6¢	-$12.2 (-93.8%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:46 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? WonYesSports	29.4¢ / 100.0¢	$23.8 (237.4%)	$10 · 1	$33.8 · 1	$0	May 22, 2026 2:02 PM
Patriots vs. Broncos WonPatriotsSports	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.3 (51.4%)	$20 · 1	$30.3 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:26 AM
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	29.6¢ / 0.0¢	$9.9 (26.8%)	$37 · 2	$46.9 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 7:17 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: January WonNoPolitics	49.5¢ / 100.0¢	$8.2 (41.4%)	$19.8 · 2	$28 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 11:26 AM
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? WonYesSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.5 (42.9%)	$17.5 · 2	$0	$0	May 26, 2026 4:10 PM
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25? WonYesSports	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.1 (244.8%)	$2.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 8:11 AM
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Aca… WonYesCulture	13.5¢ / 100.0¢	$6.49 (640.7%)	$1.01 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 10:45 PM
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24? WonYesSports	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.19 (162.9%)	$3.8 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 24, 2026 8:46 PM
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.1 (156.4%)	$3.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 8:44 AM
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown WonYesSports	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.64 (112.8%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 8:11 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? WonYesCrypto	19.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.86 (426.3%)	$1.14 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 10:09 PM
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? WonYesSports	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.79 (316.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 8:07 PM
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.79 (316.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:45 PM
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10? WonYesSports	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.49 (53.7%)	$6.5 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 11, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.4 (212.2%)	$1.6 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 5:59 PM
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? WonYesMentions	0.2¢ / 0.0¢	$3.38 (332.2%)	$1.02 · 1	$4.4 · 8	$0	Jan 11, 2026 11:26 AM
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18? WonYesSports	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.29 (49.1%)	$6.7 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:45 PM
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18? WonYesSports	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.2 (47.1%)	$6.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 19, 2026 9:06 PM
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (137.9%)	$2.1 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.6 (35.1%)	$7.4 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 8:44 AM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24? WonYesSports	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.49 (33.2%)	$7.5 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 24, 2026 8:55 PM
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonNoCrypto	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.4 (38.8%)	$3.6 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:07 PM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? WonNoPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.25 (41.0%)	$3.05 · 1	$4.3 · 1	$0	Jan 13, 2026 12:48 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	61.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.19 (23.6%)	$4.93 · 1	$6.24 · 1	$0	Feb 3, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Crypto" during the next White House press brie… WonNoMentions	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (26.6%)	$3.95 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 16, 2026 11:56 AM

					Merge
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? NoSports 5.00 shares	57.0¢ / 15.3¢	-$2.08 (-73.1%)	$2.85 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:57 PM
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? YesSports 50.00 shares	26.0¢ / 1.6¢	-$12.2 (-93.8%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 8:46 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? WonYesSports	29.4¢ / 100.0¢	$23.8 (237.4%)	$10 · 1	$33.8 · 1	$0	May 22, 2026 2:02 PM
Patriots vs. Broncos WonPatriotsSports	66.0¢ / 100.0¢	$10.3 (51.4%)	$20 · 1	$30.3 · 1	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:26 AM
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	29.6¢ / 0.0¢	$9.9 (26.8%)	$37 · 2	$46.9 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 7:17 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: January WonNoPolitics	49.5¢ / 100.0¢	$8.2 (41.4%)	$19.8 · 2	$28 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 11:26 AM
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? WonYesSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.5 (42.9%)	$17.5 · 2	$0	$0	May 26, 2026 4:10 PM
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25? WonYesSports	29.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.1 (244.8%)	$2.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 8:11 AM
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Aca… WonYesCulture	13.5¢ / 100.0¢	$6.49 (640.7%)	$1.01 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 10:45 PM
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24? WonYesSports	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.19 (162.9%)	$3.8 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 24, 2026 8:46 PM
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.1 (156.4%)	$3.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 8:44 AM
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown WonYesSports	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.64 (112.8%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 26, 2026 8:11 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? WonYesCrypto	19.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.86 (426.3%)	$1.14 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 10:09 PM
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? WonYesSports	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.79 (316.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 8:07 PM
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? WonYesSports	24.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.79 (316.3%)	$1.2 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:45 PM
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10? WonYesSports	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.49 (53.7%)	$6.5 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 11, 2026 12:05 AM
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.4 (212.2%)	$1.6 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 5:59 PM
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? WonYesMentions	0.2¢ / 0.0¢	$3.38 (332.2%)	$1.02 · 1	$4.4 · 8	$0	Jan 11, 2026 11:26 AM
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18? WonYesSports	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.29 (49.1%)	$6.7 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:45 PM
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18? WonYesSports	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.2 (47.1%)	$6.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 19, 2026 9:06 PM
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.9 (137.9%)	$2.1 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-17? WonYesSports	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.6 (35.1%)	$7.4 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 8:44 AM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24? WonYesSports	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.49 (33.2%)	$7.5 · 1	$9.99 · 1	$0	Jan 24, 2026 8:55 PM
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonNoCrypto	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.4 (38.8%)	$3.6 · 1	$5 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:07 PM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? WonNoPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.25 (41.0%)	$3.05 · 1	$4.3 · 1	$0	Jan 13, 2026 12:48 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	61.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.19 (23.6%)	$4.93 · 1	$6.24 · 1	$0	Feb 3, 2026 12:16 AM
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Crypto" during the next White House press brie… WonNoMentions	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.05 (26.6%)	$3.95 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 16, 2026 11:56 AM

el-jefe-the-1st Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.22

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open-$40.2

High-$40

Low-$40.4

Close-$40.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.14

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$40.4

High-$40.3

Low-$40.7

Close-$40.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$0.55

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open-$40.6

High-$40.4

Low-$41.2

Close-$41.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.16

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$41.1

High-$41

Low-$42

Close-$41.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.14

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$41.3

High-$41.2

Low-$41.6

Close-$41.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0.18

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open-$41.4

High-$41.4

Low-$41.7

Close-$41.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.12

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$41.6

High-$41.6

Low-$41.8

Close-$41.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.05

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$41.7

High-$41.7

Low-$41.8

Close-$41.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.03

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.03

Open-$41.8

High-$41.8

Low-$41.9

Close-$41.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.2

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open-$41.8

High-$41.8

Low-$42

Close-$42

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.22

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open-$42

High-$41.8

Low-$42

Close-$41.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.4

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.4

Open-$41.8

High-$38.1

Low-$42.1

Close-$41.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0.16

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$41.4

High-$41.1

Low-$41.6

Close-$41.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$0.14

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$41.6

High-$41.4

Low-$41.7

Close-$41.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$0.2

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open-$41.7

High-$41.4

Low-$41.7

Close-$41.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17$0.15

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$41.5

High-$41.2

Low-$41.5

Close-$41.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.43

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.43

Open-$41.3

High-$40.7

Low-$41.4

Close-$40.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.38

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open-$40.9

High-$40.7

Low-$41.4

Close-$41.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$0.11

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open-$41.3

High-$41.1

Low-$41.3

Close-$41.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21-$0.33

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.33

Open-$41.2

High-$41.2

Low-$41.6

Close-$41.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$0.12

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$41.5

High-$41.4

Low-$41.9

Close-$41.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.22

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open-$41.6

High-$41.6

Low-$41.9

Close-$41.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.27

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.27

Open-$41.9

High-$41.6

Low-$41.9

Close-$41.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0.01

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$41.6

High-$41.6

Low-$41.8

Close-$41.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.11

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$41.6

High-$41.6

Low-$41.9

Close-$41.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0.2

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open-$41.7

High-$41.4

Low-$41.7

Close-$41.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$0.18

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open-$41.5

High-$41.5

Low-$41.7

Close-$41.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.137D -$0.1830D -$1.23

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

57.3%

Profit Factor

0.84x

Avg Win

$2.81

Avg Loss

-$4.5

Total Wins

$143

Total Losses

-$171

Avg. Hold Time

56d 15h 50m 54s

Best Win

$23.8

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Worst Loss

-$15.8

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Period

Best Period

$43.9, Jan 21 – Jan 27

Worst Period

-$39.6, Mar 2 – Mar 8

Longest Streak

6d W / 10d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$82.9 (-600.9%)

Current DD

-$55.4 (-402.1%)

Max Runup

$51.9 (75.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.24(122)

el-jefe-the-1st

Analytics

Analytics

el-jefe-the-1st

el-jefe-the-1st

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

el-jefe-the-1st

Trader DNA

Trader DNA