Loading open positions...
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 1.28 shares | 78.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $0.04 (3.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:15 PM | |
![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? NoPolitics 1.39 shares | 72.0¢ / 58.0¢ | -$0.19 (-19.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:13 PM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.04 shares | 96.0¢ / 97.5¢ | $0.02 (1.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:13 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 2.70 shares | 37.0¢ / 33.0¢ | -$0.11 (-10.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:10 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? YesPolitics 1.11 shares | 90.0¢ / 96.5¢ | $0.07 (7.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:10 PM | |
![]() Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 4.33 shares | 23.8¢ / 27.9¢ | $0.18 (17.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:01 PM | |
![]() Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 13.89 shares | 14.9¢ / 11.1¢ | -$0.53 (-25.5%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:56 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? YesPolitics 1.22 shares | 82.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.12 (12.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:44 PM | |
![]() Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? NoPolitics 1.12 shares | 89.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:36 PM | |
![]() Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 35.71 shares | 5.8¢ / 9.2¢ | $1.21 (58.3%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:27 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? NoPolitics 4.11 shares | 73.0¢ / 83.0¢ | $0.41 (13.7%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:19 PM | |
![]() Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? NoPolitics 1.83 shares | 82.0¢ / 79.0¢ | -$0.05 (-3.7%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:16 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2.44 shares | 81.8¢ / 74.0¢ | -$0.19 (-9.5%) | $2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:57 PM | |
![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 13.25 shares | 15.6¢ / 20.0¢ | $0.58 (28.1%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:41 PM | |
![]() Xi Jinping out before 2027? NoPolitics 3.25 shares | 92.6¢ / 95.5¢ | $0.09 (3.1%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:29 PM | |
![]() Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 2.67 shares | 37.5¢ / 52.5¢ | $0.4 (40.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:56 PM | |
![]() Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin… YesPolitics 10.99 shares | 9.4¢ / 12.6¢ | $0.35 (33.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:55 PM | |
![]() NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.06 shares | 94.0¢ / 90.0¢ | -$0.04 (-4.3%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:22 PM | |
![]() Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 8.58 shares | 24.0¢ / 19.3¢ | -$0.4 (-19.6%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:25 AM | |
![]() Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 3.00 shares | 34.2¢ / 43.0¢ | $0.26 (25.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:23 AM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NoPolitics 1.10 shares | 91.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:52 AM | |
![]() Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 13.51 shares | 15.3¢ / 11.9¢ | -$0.46 (-22.4%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:34 AM | |
![]() Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? YesPolitics 29.41 shares | 3.6¢ / 3.4¢ | -$0.05 (-4.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:30 AM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.10 shares | 91.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:06 AM | |
![]() Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? NoPolitics 1.47 shares | 68.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $0.19 (19.1%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 6:07 AM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? WonYesSports | 71.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.8 (39.6%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 3:29 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 92.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.65 (8.1%) | $8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:11 AM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 44.0¢ / 63.0¢ | $0.41 (40.9%) | $1 · 1 | $1.41 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:41 PM | |
84.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.36 (17.9%) | $2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM | ||
74.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.35 (34.7%) | $1 · 1 | $1.35 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:19 PM | ||
93.9¢ / 98.4¢ | $0.23 (4.7%) | $5 · 1 | $5.25 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:40 PM | ||
94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.19 (6.4%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | ||
![]() Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 94.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.17 (5.8%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | |
![]() Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? WonYesSports | 94.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.12 (5.8%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 9:30 PM | |
95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.11 (5.3%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
98.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.08 (2.0%) | $4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:36 PM | ||
![]() Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.08 (2.6%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:04 AM | |
96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.04 (4.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 11:19 PM | ||
![]() US recession by end of 2026? WonNoEconomics | 84.3¢ / 86.4¢ | $0.03 (3.2%) | $1 · 1 | $1.04 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:26 PM | |
96.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (3.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 10:06 PM | ||
96.7¢ / 98.8¢ | $0.02 (2.1%) | $1 · 1 | $1.02 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:20 PM | ||
98.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.02 (1.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 10, 2026 11:56 AM | ||
![]() Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? LostYesPolitics | 13.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM | |
42.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 1:52 PM | ||
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? LostYesPolitics | 39.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 4:23 PM | |
![]() Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? LostYesPolitics | 11.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2026 1:52 PM | |
8.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | ||
![]() Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? LostYesPolitics | 16.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | |
0.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:31 AM | ||
![]() Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? LostYesPolitics | 0.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 1:14 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
68
Won
17
Lost
5
Win Rate
77.3%
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$0.22
Avg Loss
-$3.4
Total Wins
$3.68
Total Losses
-$17
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rewards
Yield