Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

This market will resolve according to the first round ranked-choice vote share for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the first RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.