Volume
$164
Txns
45
Traders
24
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$917
Ends
Jun 18, 2026
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$27Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$14.3Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.28Mvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
No 100%$589Kvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$7.12Mvolume
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$854Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8m | DerDon | No / 60.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.83 | |
| 8m | 0xe106...7efde1 | Yes / 40.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.25 | |
| 15m | 0xae57...440585 | No / 61.0¢ | +16.26 | $10.1 | |
| 15m | ultralisk | Yes / 39.0¢ | +7.45 | $2.91 | |
| 15m | 21fd0hb213fdg | Yes / 39.0¢ | +8.81 | $3.44 | |
| 41m | 0x8061...0ace9b | No / 61.0¢ | +8.13 | $5.04 | |
| 41m | 21fd0hb213fdg | Yes / 39.0¢ | +8.13 | $3.17 | |
| 1h | 21fd0hb213fdg | Yes / 39.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.19 | |
| 1h | 0xf92Ac09C9f7ADB0A98dADa9d72Fd50A22545708D-1773123366385 | No / 61.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.89 | |
| 1h | DerDon | No / 60.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.83 | |
| 1h | 0x3217...a5999c | Yes / 40.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.25 | |
| 1h | 0x2274...ff4ece | No / 61.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.89 | |
| 1h | 0x5f4fc359460Dbe427Ae7D4F81b4a34B3678Cc2F1-1766878911831 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +3.05 | $1.19 | |
| 1h | 0x607c...58b9bc | No / 61.0¢ | +8.20 | $5.08 | |
| 1h | 0x5f4fc359460Dbe427Ae7D4F81b4a34B3678Cc2F1-1766878911831 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +8.20 | $3.2 | |
| 2h | DerDon | No / 60.0¢ | +9.80 | $5.88 | |
| 2h | 0xea21...d8ff2b | Yes / 40.0¢ | +9.80 | $4.01 | |
| 20h | ultralisk | Yes / 39.0¢ | +5.36 | $2.09 | |
| 20h | nani | Yes / 38.0¢ | -5.36 | $2.04 | |
| 21h | 0x5e4a...141104 | No / 61.0¢ | +5.36 | $3.32 | |
| 21h | nani | Yes / 39.0¢ | +5.36 | $2.09 | |
| 21h | ultralisk | Yes / 39.0¢ | +12.90 | $5.03 | |
| 21h | nani | Yes / 38.0¢ | -12.90 | $4.91 | |
| 22h | 0x7bdd...e1742e | Yes / 40.0¢ | +9.80 | $4.01 | |
| 22h | 0xa518...5491a3 | No / 61.0¢ | +9.66 | $5.98 |
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