
Volume
$369K
Txns
5,208
Traders
999
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$77,647
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h | EchoSphere08 | No / 97.0¢ | +2.27 | $2.2 | |
| 14h | Operate | No / 97.0¢ | -2.27 | $2.2 | |
| 18h | Mithrandir. | No / 96.3¢ | +3.58 | $3.45 | |
| 18h | Pangolin4173 | No / 96.3¢ | -3.58 | $3.45 | |
| 22h | Operate | No / 96.5¢ | +2.63 | $2.54 | |
| 22h | Dwarfmongoose510 | No / 96.5¢ | -2.63 | $2.54 | |
| 1d | Operate | No / 96.5¢ | +2.34 | $2.26 | |
| 1d | MysticFury808891 | No / 96.5¢ | -2.34 | $2.26 | |
| 1d | Matamataturtle1974 | No / 96.4¢ | -4.34 | $4.18 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 96.4¢ | +4.34 | $4.18 | |
| 2d | Emb3r2KWraith | No / 97.3¢ | +1.13 | $1.1 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 2.7¢ | +1.13 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 2.7¢ | +1.95 | $0.05 | |
| 2d | St0rmRder22 | No / 97.3¢ | +1.95 | $1.9 | |
| 3d | UpperCat | No / 97.3¢ | +20.05 | $19.5 | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 2.7¢ | +71.05 | $1.92 | |
| 3d | sigimundiasurya | No / 97.3¢ | +51.00 | $49.6 | |
| 3d | silverwolfie | No / 97.3¢ | +24.05 | $23.4 | |
| 3d | UpperCat | No / 97.3¢ | +30.95 | $30.1 | |
| 3d | DrOetker | No / 97.3¢ | -55.00 | $53.5 | |
| 3d | silverwolfie | No / 97.3¢ | +29.95 | $29.1 | |
| 3d | DrOetker | No / 97.3¢ | -61.00 | $59.4 | |
| 3d | eldermaven | No / 97.3¢ | +31.05 | $30.2 | |
| 4d | GhostRider37 | No / 97.3¢ | -4.13 | $4.02 | |
| 4d | eldermaven | No / 97.3¢ | +4.13 | $4.02 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 65%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 57%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume