
Volume
$29K
Txns
753
Traders
132
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 10, 2025
This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2024. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question. This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for December 2024 is 4.1% or less, otherwise it will resolve to “No”. The next data release is scheduled for January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
No 58%$0volume
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Yes 58%$0volume
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
No 77%$0volume
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | enochsmiles | Yes / 99.9¢ | -800.00 | $799 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -799.10 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.90 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -1,050.00 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | amarques | No / 0.1¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | moomoomoo | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Threek | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Qu33ch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -130.00 | $130 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +130.00 | $130 | |
| 1y | PennyStacker | Yes / 99.9¢ | -55.55 | $55.5 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +55.55 | $55.5 | |
| 1y | bebetter | Yes / 99.0¢ | -41.00 | $40.6 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +41.00 | $40.6 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +520.10 | $515 | |
| 1y | dasd898 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -520.10 | $515 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +19.78 | $19.6 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -19.78 | $19.6 | |
| 1y | FreeCityIndividual | No / 2.0¢ | +500.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Haradwaith | Yes / 21.0¢ | -7.00 | $1.47 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | No / 78.0¢ | +50.00 | $39 | |
| 1y | acc-1 | No / 79.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.9 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 88.9¢ | +587.00 | $522 |
1–25