Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
ResolvedVolume
$84K
Txns
1,194
Traders
235
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 10, 2025
Volume
$84K
Txns
1,194
Traders
235
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 10, 2025
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 10, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$19.2Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.24Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.4Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$7.55Mvolume
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$305Kvolume
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$253Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0x212af34bef48df3922c77ae109f67b690e | No / 99.9¢ | +55.56 | $55.5 | |
| 6mo | Washedtimiz | No / 99.9¢ | -55.56 | $55.5 | |
| 6mo | 0x212af34bef48df3922c77ae109f67b690e | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 6mo | assertequal | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 6mo | Gohst | No / 99.0¢ | -167.21 | $166 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +167.21 | $166 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +450.00 | $446 | |
| 6mo | nobodyiam | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | nobodyiam | Yes / 1.0¢ | +450.00 | $4.5 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 6mo | nobodyiam | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | nobodyiam | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 6mo | Debosnys | No / 99.0¢ | +109.00 | $108 | |
| 6mo | 0x20a4...559f2e | Yes / 1.0¢ | +113.00 | $1.13 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +4.00 | $3.96 | |
| 6mo | Debosnys | No / 97.0¢ | +518.00 | $502 | |
| 6mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 3.0¢ | +518.00 | $15.5 | |
| 6mo | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | No / 97.0¢ | +50.00 | $48.5 | |
| 6mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 3.0¢ | +50.00 | $1.5 | |
| 6mo | pantomime | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 6mo | Debosnys | No / 99.0¢ | +446.00 | $442 | |
| 6mo | joseppe-peppah | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | nobodyiam | Yes / 1.0¢ | +446.00 | $4.46 |
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