Volume
$136
Txns
20
Traders
9
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 4, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump wears a red tie on July 4 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on photo or video of Donald Trump’s actions on July 4 which are made publicly available by July 5, 12:00 PM ET. Reporting without photos or videos will not be considered. Publication of photos or videos of Donald Trump taken prior to or after July 4 will not be considered. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date or does not wear a tie, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | AJSV | No / 25.0¢ | +1.33 | $0.33 | |
| 1h | Vkgohil | Yes / 75.0¢ | +1.33 | $1.01 | |
| 2h | Cromartie | No / 44.0¢ | +2.27 | $1.02 | |
| 2h | AJSV | Yes / 56.0¢ | +2.27 | $1.27 | |
| 12h | AJSV | No / 25.0¢ | +16.29 | $4.07 | |
| 12h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 24.3¢ | -16.29 | $3.95 | |
| 14h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 27.0¢ | -3.70 | $1 | |
| 14h | TomFBrady | No / 27.0¢ | +3.70 | $1.03 | |
| 14h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.54 | |
| 14h | woahnow | Yes / 78.0¢ | +20.00 | $15.6 | |
| 14h | AJSV | No / 19.0¢ | +0.69 | $0.13 | |
| 14h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 18.4¢ | -0.69 | $0.13 | |
| 14h | reverseengineer | Yes / 63.0¢ | -20.00 | $12.6 | |
| 14h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 36.1¢ | -20.00 | $7.21 | |
| 14h | L.X | Yes / 82.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.4 | |
| 14h | reverseengineer | Yes / 83.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.6 | |
| 14h | vinii | No / 17.3¢ | +61.00 | $10.9 | |
| 14h | woahnow | Yes / 83.0¢ | +21.00 | $17.4 | |
| 15h | Tuanzi4000 | No / 16.0¢ | +20.69 | $3.42 | |
| 15h | woahnow | Yes / 84.0¢ | +20.69 | $17.4 |
1–20
Will Trump insult someone on July 4?
Yes 91%$237volume
Will it rain in Denver on July 4?
Yes 49%$138volume
Will it rain in Atlanta on July 4?
Yes 48%$128volume
Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?
No 95%$117volume
Will it rain in Dallas on July 4?
Yes 46%$99.6volume
Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?
Yes 52%$95.1volume