Volume
$237
Txns
19
Traders
10
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on July 4 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53m | title1 | Yes / 91.1¢ | +22.50 | $20.6 | |
| 53m | qqqppp-l1 | No / 10.0¢ | +10.00 | $1 | |
| 53m | qqqppp-l1 | No / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1 | |
| 5h | 0x2d48...c1678c | No / 14.0¢ | +36.00 | $5.04 | |
| 5h | qqqppp-l1 | No / 13.0¢ | +7.69 | $1 | |
| 5h | Faston | Yes / 86.2¢ | +43.69 | $37.9 | |
| 10h | 0x8B52498fc11d163714801a388aD0989C4A1074b9-1781229749384 | No / 16.0¢ | +6.25 | $1.03 | |
| 10h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 84.0¢ | +6.25 | $5.25 | |
| 11h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 84.0¢ | +22.50 | $18.9 | |
| 11h | 0x2d48...c1678c | Yes / 84.0¢ | +40.00 | $33.6 | |
| 11h | 0x25F39548a1e4C22c08Cc59e5ae9BA5878bBec121-1781813913772 | No / 16.0¢ | +62.50 | $10.3 | |
| 14h | TomFBrady | No / 16.0¢ | +6.25 | $1.03 | |
| 14h | title1 | Yes / 84.0¢ | +6.25 | $5.25 | |
| 14h | title1 | Yes / 85.0¢ | +30.00 | $25.7 | |
| 14h | 0x2d48...c1678c | No / 15.0¢ | +30.00 | $4.5 | |
| 15h | 0xB4BA5CA84E9B4818566792Ac3A7c4d0CB6a04cEd-1776194410634 | Yes / 81.0¢ | +24.83 | $20.3 | |
| 15h | AJSV | No / 19.0¢ | +24.83 | $4.72 |
1–17
Will it rain in Denver on July 4?
Yes 49%$138volume
Will Trump wear a red tie on July 4?
Yes 75%$136volume
Will it rain in Atlanta on July 4?
Yes 48%$128volume
Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?
No 95%$117volume
Will it rain in Dallas on July 4?
Yes 46%$99.6volume
Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?
Yes 52%$95.1volume