
Volume
$2K
Txns
116
Traders
38
Fees
$2
Ends
Apr 26, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a blue tie at any point on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +199.99 | $200 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +6.82 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | No / 0.1¢ | -6.82 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | No / 0.1¢ | -19.85 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +19.85 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 0.1¢ | +170.24 | $0.17 | |
| 3mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +170.23 | $170 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 1.9¢ | -52.63 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x6acB34f57CC98175113DD8b3Db76922E8e24b0bC-1773951591521 | No / 1.9¢ | +50.57 | $1 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 1.0¢ | +56.65 | $0.57 | |
| 3mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +3.25 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | polybettor | Yes / 99.0¢ | +59.88 | $59.3 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | No / 3.0¢ | +14.45 | $0.43 | |
| 3mo | polybettor | Yes / 97.0¢ | +14.43 | $14 | |
| 3mo | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 96.0¢ | -9.00 | $8.64 | |
| 3mo | polybettor | Yes / 96.0¢ | +8.99 | $8.64 | |
| 3mo | 0xb82d...4fd531 | No / 15.0¢ | +6.44 | $1 | |
| 3mo | AJSV | Yes / 85.0¢ | +6.67 | $5.67 | |
| 3mo | Yuyas-bcn | Yes / 80.0¢ | -3.04 | $2.41 | |
| 3mo | Macaquinhus | No / 20.0¢ | -3.04 | $0.61 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 72%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 91%$0volume
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 2…
Yes 100%$0volume