Volume
$329
Txns
25
Traders
14
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$148
Ends
Jul 4, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump wears a blue tie on July 4 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on photo or video of Donald Trump’s actions on July 4 which are made publicly available by July 5, 12:00 PM ET. Reporting without photos or videos will not be considered. Publication of photos or videos of Donald Trump taken prior to or after July 4 will not be considered. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date or does not wear a tie, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | rovim-plymkt | No / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 2h | em...well | Yes / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.19 | |
| 6h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6h | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6h | yen4u | No / 99.9¢ | +169.00 | $169 | |
| 6h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6h | 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6h | Relaccsed | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 6h | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 6h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10h | polymakemoney | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10h | Savage-Snow | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11h | polymakemoney | Yes / 1.0¢ | -25.00 | $0.24 | |
| 11h | Savage-Snow | No / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 11h | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11h | hesure | Yes / 5.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 11h | polymakemoney | Yes / 4.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.48 | |
| 3d | Fallon | No / 65.0¢ | +6.15 | $4.06 | |
| 3d | L.X | No / 65.0¢ | -6.15 | $4 | |
| 3d | polymakemoney | Yes / 36.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.38 | |
| 3d | L.X | No / 64.0¢ | +20.00 | $12.8 | |
| 3d | polymakemoney | Yes / 41.0¢ | +20.00 | $8.2 | |
| 3d | Savage-Snow | No / 59.0¢ | +20.00 | $12 | |
| 3d | rovim-plymkt | No / 72.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.6 | |
| 3d | L.X | Yes / 28.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.6 |
1–25
Will it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?
Yes 80%$0volume
Will Trump hug someone on July 4?
Yes 95%$0volume
Will it rain in Atlanta on July 4?
No 93%$0volume
Will it rain in Dallas on July 4?
No 93%$0volume
Will Trump kiss someone on July 4?
No 99%$0volume
Will Trump sign an executive order on July 4?
No 99%$0volume