Will it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".