
Volume
$54K
Txns
1,106
Traders
272
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.63Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | newtesting | No / 99.9¢ | -419.94 | $420 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -419.94 | $0.42 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.76 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Chak4L | No / 99.9¢ | -8.76 | $8.75 | |
| 7mo | HolyPost | No / 99.9¢ | -41.23 | $41.2 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -41.23 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | FreemanCasey | No / 99.9¢ | -6.81 | $6.8 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.81 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | NovelBadger | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | mw97 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | Vilipp | No / 99.8¢ | -59.12 | $59 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -59.12 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | th47 | No / 99.8¢ | -113.27 | $113 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -113.27 | $0.23 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.33 | $0 | |
| 7mo | zveroboy262 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.33 | $1.33 | |
| 7mo | Holgerdumm | No / 99.8¢ | -11.86 | $11.8 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -11.86 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 0.2¢ | -791.61 | $1.58 | |
| 7mo | emcor | No / 99.8¢ | -791.61 | $790 | |
| 7mo | KennyM | No / 99.7¢ | -106.24 | $106 | |
| 7mo | Yeahssd | No / 99.7¢ | +106.24 | $106 | |
| 7mo | Joseph-y | No / 99.6¢ | -56.79 | $56.6 |
1–25