
Volume
$27K
Txns
707
Traders
189
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +974.03 | $973 | |
| 7mo | de100kman | No / 99.9¢ | -974.03 | $973 | |
| 7mo | FreeDom | Yes / 0.6¢ | +33.01 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.7¢ | +90.01 | $89.8 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | diamondhands221 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -166.66 | $1 | |
| 7mo | FreeDom | Yes / 0.6¢ | +166.66 | $1 | |
| 7mo | FreeDom | Yes / 0.6¢ | +0.33 | $0 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | -0.33 | $0 | |
| 7mo | diamondhands221 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +166.67 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | -166.67 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | -166.67 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Tamis | Yes / 0.6¢ | +166.67 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Hagmaxxerz | No / 99.9¢ | -32.89 | $32.9 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +64.00 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | ChoosePoverty | No / 99.9¢ | +465.47 | $465 | |
| 7mo | MAGA-2026 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | dcjuchsefe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Hagmaxxerz | No / 99.9¢ | -131.58 | $131 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
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