
Volume
$44K
Txns
688
Traders
189
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.5¢ | +1.05 | $1.04 | |
| 7mo | shwhana | No / 99.5¢ | -1.05 | $1.04 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 7mo | legsuop | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 7mo | oliverstans | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.5¢ | +16.76 | $16.7 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.19 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | DavidBeckham2025 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +732.95 | $1 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -23.81 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | DavidBeckham2025 | No / 99.9¢ | -23.81 | $23.8 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | UnstoppableLoxodont | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | guyontheearth | No / 99.5¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -13.00 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +57.10 | $57 | |
| 7mo | ElleKairo | No / 99.9¢ | -7.10 | $7.09 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 7mo | dxh001 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 |
1–25