
Volume
$1K
Txns
83
Traders
35
Fees
$3
Ends
May 22, 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26.78 | $26.8 | |
| 1mo | draakul | Yes / 99.9¢ | -26.78 | $26.8 | |
| 1mo | Holymama | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.85 | $1.85 | |
| 1mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.85 | $1.85 | |
| 1mo | GiveMe1000USD | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1mo | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | ruletheworld | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x6f7f8Efe3621a229721F258D38d7C71AaC43fefB-1769897443498 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -9.37 | $9.32 | |
| 1mo | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +9.37 | $9.32 | |
| 1mo | cas1111 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1mo | neutralwave23 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -14.00 | $13.9 | |
| 1mo | 0x8fff...770482 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.00 | $3.96 | |
| 1mo | 0x6de9...67a8e5 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 1mo | neutralwave23 | Yes / 37.0¢ | +14.03 | $5.32 | |
| 1mo | 0x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-1733944114414 | Yes / 37.0¢ | -14.03 | $5.19 | |
| 1mo | 0x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-1733944114414 | Yes / 37.0¢ | -2.70 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1ee174B7794394CF22D07B00599F1096B8504fe-1772445682925 | Yes / 37.0¢ | +2.70 | $1.03 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 68.0¢ | +9.38 | $6.38 |
1–25
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
No 65%$0volume
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 60%$0volume
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume